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lfcdude

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Posts posted by lfcdude

    The South West Of England Regional Discussion Thread

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    New NAE run gives key changes to any snow distribution and I've now checked the latest UK4 snow depth prog to 10z Fri.

    E Mids now more threat; W Country somewhat less (now mostly Cotswolds E'wards, as per previous forecast emphasis); more for Chilterns etc. Totals are generally less too. Hopefully therefore, this won't prove an issue for rush-hour through a fair part of M5 corridor (Bristol, Glos etc.) - maybe some wet snow not easily settling, prior to 0800hrs - but more of a problem M4/M40 corridors eastwards. Tricky call re amber warning (they're all impact-based nowadays, as you will all know) but will await UKMO conference in a few mins.

    Ian.

    Thanks for the update.. Nice to see you back in the regional thread

    The South West Of England Regional Discussion Thread

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Remember too everyone that height is going to be influential on whether you see snow or not. An example being that there's more chance for Warminster than Westbury or Trowbridge but not so much chance for Warminster as places up on Salisbury Plain.

    By the way, did anyone hear the sudden increase in wind overnight? Between about 02.30-04.00 some very strong gusts as that small LOW zipped through along with some heavy rain. Looking at the Met Office obs pages for Yeovilton, Boscombe Down, Larkhill and Lyneham from overnight, gusts went from less than 20mph to exceeding 40mph within an hour!

    Bleak day today with frequent heavy showers, our benefit of being downwind from the Bristol Channel despite it being an (inverted commas!) better day and calm ebfore the storm!

    Warminster is pretty much the same height as Devizes going by google earth :)

    very heavy sleet shower here now!

    The South West Of England Regional Discussion Thread

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by lfcdude

    meto still have me for heavy snow... im going to be watching that all day and hoping it dont change lol bit werid tho as looking on the meto forecast every where round me has sleet our rain.. and only warminster has heavy snow from 0600 0900 then sleet at 12 same as me... then Gloucester.. only has heavy snow at 0900 then rain again.. dont make sence to me... but yeh.. i like my forecast lol

    The South West Of England Regional Discussion Thread

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    I hope the most likely comes off too, but the damn NAE as gone with something very similar to the less likely map! Still great uncertainty! I think this is going to be a nowcast event! Get yourself as far north and as high up in the region you can people! Lol!

    aye just have to see what ian is going to go for on points west later, another good source is his twitter,

    anyways nice to see you back mullender :)

    Atlantic Storms - 12th December 2011 Onwards

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted · Edited by lfcdude

    I don't think so unfourtunately.

    Probably gusts of wind to no more then maybe 40mph now, and that is for both tuesdays and fridays storms. :wallbash:

    Even when the atlantic is as active as it is now we still don't seem to be able to have the fun and games.

    If you read the post earlier... your wrong... do u watch points west? ian Ferguson responded to me with this on twitter... fergieweather Ian Fergusson

    @johnpockos Tues storm threatens severe gales here; gusts 60mph+, but the Thurs-Fri event offers even more concern if it stays as per models

    So we will get stronger winds then 40 lol

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