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Dingwantssnow

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Posts posted by Dingwantssnow

    North West Cold Spell 10

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    you will hopefully be prevented from posting your repetetive nonsense in several threads. A bias re SE is simply not true, the fact many of the more knowledgeable posters live in this region is likely to give the impression it's just about SE. However all of them often comment on the UK at large.

    As for it being boring weather, then why bother wasting moments of your life posting on a weather forum. Maybe you need to find a new hobby.

    If you have a look back through this thread you will also see it not just me that thinks this. In fact i can garantee you that Not ALL of them post about the rest of the uk and even if they did it's a brief, and i mean brief mention.

    And just because most of the more "knowledgeable" posters live in that area it gives them the right to post what alot of others see as a biased opinion of the models?

    Theres a SE thread for that.

    As for hobbies i have a few weather being one of them, and like i have said before for new people here like me and others who actuallly do want to learn you simply cannot do that when theres that much posting of IMBY stuff. As for repetitive nonsense in SEVERAL threads?? think you will find that i either post in here or the model thread.

    As for western areas getting dry cold boring weather from this...i see no one has said anything different. So that, i assume, is right.

    North West Cold Spell 10

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Just psted this on the model thread mainly because im tired, at work, peeved off and sick of the bias

    Yay models showing cold dry and boring weather for the western side of the UK, really memorable this, infact so rememberable that the last time this happened was....... last year wooo im so excited.

    Reading through the posts i was expecting winter armeggedon then i realised most of the posters are SE based....oh what a supprise that was. Just had to check i was in the MODEL discussion thread and not the SE cold thread.

    Wonder how long it will last....or i last

    Cold Spell Discussion

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Published at 09:00 on 28th December

    All times are GMT (Europe/London, GMT+0000)

    (Next update at 09:00 on 4th Jan 2010)

    Written by Rob McElwee

    Summary

    Cold with more snow.

    This winter looks like going down as one of the more memorable "proper winters". The wind this coming month is anywhere from southeasterly to northerly - all cold at this time of the year.

    All parts of the UK can expect more snow at some time alongside below average daytime temperatures and hard night frosts.

    Monday 28 December 2009 to Sunday 3 January 2010

    Rain, wind, snow and ice.

    A low pressure area in Biscay pumps moisture into the cold air over us now. The result is a significant snow risk. At the moment, the most likely areas to be affected are Wales and mid to north England midweek, then southeast Britain for the New Year.

    At first, southern Britain will be mild, wet and windy - rain rather than snow. Northern Britain will remain cold, icy and at first fog-prone.

    A little more snow is possible in Scotland and northeast England, especially on Wednesday and Thursday in the northeasterly wind.

    Sunshine is in short supply with possible exception of northwest mainland Scotland.

    Monday 4 January 2010 to Sunday 10 January 2010

    Northerly wind all week.

    Below average daytime temperatures, moderate to severe night frosts.

    A reasonable breeze should prevent persistent fog and allow daytime sunshine; With the exception of those areas exposed to the windblown showers there should be above average sunshine.

    The windblown showers are likely to all be of snow and concentrated in northern Scotland. You can also expect a fair few in eastern England, including East Anglia.

    Monday 11 January 2010 to Sunday 24 January 2010

    Cold east or southeasterly wind.

    Temperatures will continue to be below average both day and night.

    Snow and sleet showers will be concentrated in eastern England, especially the northeast.

    Western Britain looks sunnier and drier than elsewhere because of the wind's direction. Northern Ireland maintains its average.

    Next week

    In my memory, February has always brought the coldest and snowiest weather. My memory may be deceiving me but if not...

    Monthly forecasting

    The weather beyond about a week ahead stretches even the most experienced weather forecaster. Complex numerical weather forecast models from the Met Office and the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting (ECMWF) are run many times for the month (and season) ahead to build up a picture of the likelihood of different weather types affecting the UK.

    What a forecast by the master :good:

    Bah!!! Cold and dry for NW england then...oh joy what exciting weather that is :whistling:

    General Model Output Discussion:

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Thing is its going to remain cold and dry for everyone north of the midlands unless your on the east coast according to the models. This in my view wouldnt constitute anything special. Sure its going to be COLDER then normal big deal but apart from that theres nothing really to be getting excited about IMBY.

    Theres still loads of posts on this thread that are misleading in regards to potential snow events etc ect. Especially in regards to where these events are likely to happen. I know its not done on purpose but when posts are made stating major snow events or extreme cold new people like me that are trying to learn from this get confused as to where exactly your refering to...which in 95% of the time is southern regions.

    Like the next LP system comming from the SW, if it turns into a channel low whats areas would be effected by that?? If it gets further north where would you expect the effected areas would be??

    Please dont take this as a dig im just trying to make heads and tails of where this will happen(IF they Happen)

    General Model Output Discussion:

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    You will not get any greater expert advice than what the latest faxes are showing other than

    up to date satallite and radar.

    As for the upcoming freeze as long as max daytime temperatures are +1c or lower so that lying

    snow does not thaw (even in sunshine) then anything colder is a bonus.

    The GEM model out to t168 seems to be more in line with what NOAA were saying yesterday in

    regards to the trough over the eastern US seaboard although the meto update does sound as

    though there is more of an east/northeast element to the weather next week.

    I would be slightly more inclined to side with NOAA as the meto updates change more often than

    the weather itself.

    Hi what were NOAA saying about the trough??

    Model Output Discussion - 26Th Dec 21:25-->

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    As a newbie this is getting ridiculous, reading the posts regarding this run its a disaster, improvement, upgrade, downgrade, etc etc etc. I know its ll about opinions but come on. Is there somewhere that summarises each models output, rationally without any regional bias.

    I 2nd that. Far to Much IMBY stuff going on. Also when people are mentioning northern parts of the country what is really ment is southern scotland...which is another country all together.

    It would probably mean alot of work for some one . But couldnt one of the more senior on here maybe post a summary in a sticket after the run Like ralphie suggests?

    North West Cold Spell 8

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by Dingwantssnow

    Well the past few days IMO have been the best we have had around here for at least the last 10 year in regards to wide spread snow lasting more than 24hrs. If i remember right it started thursday night of the easterly that we were never suppose to get anything off and has snowed more or less everyday since then.

    Best of all we may only need to endure another 4 days of the milder air before were plunged back into sub zero temps and more snow.

    Merry xmas to all on this thread and the forum as a whole and here looking to a stonking start to 2010(probably wont happen now that i said that)

    General Model Output Discussion Thursday December 24Th:

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    I can't really add to the excellent posts above; a strong possibility that we will be seeing height rises over the Atlantic/Greenland with low pressure over the Azores.

    Could winter 09/10 be the new 78/79 ?!

    It's simply to do with how far North the mild air gets before being pushed back South, subsequent runs will chop and change this boundary line; I think the double figure numbers will not extend as far North as the GFS 0z shows - either way the mild air won't be winning.

    Im sorry but that from you IB has made my christmas...thank you. Not having a dig at you mate but you were the instigator of the MW theory and to see you post that...... :D

    I would just like to add that i have really enjoyed following this thread over the past 2 months but i must say that there have been the odd few that have tried at every oppertunity to find a reason to say that it wont happen or just down right depressive when in fact what the models gave us a few weeks back has more or less played out.

    I wish to make a point though especially to thoswe who wish to continue rubishing model runs as not possible or unlikely. GP, CH and the others who at this time i cannot remember the names of who have been folowing the teleconnection side of this. Have been by far THE most consistant of any1. It was those people who said that this winter is going to be one to remember. It was GP who said that the next cold spell was comming and its those very same people who have told us time and time again what the trend for this winter will be. However it sems that every time they post its acknowledged and then a few posts later ignored.

    I would have thought when there is a 50/50 situation it would be more prudent to take note of what they suggest, which a massive predisposition for COLD. It is those people who have told us that the signals are all there for somthing special this year. And we must give those people some credit.

    Anyway im happy with what i got upto now. Its snowed in the NW region more or less everyday since the easterly and only today have i seen sleet. May the good time continue :D:D:drunk:

    North West Cold Spell Discussion

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    A measurement on how "wintry" a winter was. Depends on number of occasions of frosts, falling sleet/snow and lying snow being recordedand also the mean winter maximum temperature average

    The higher the value, the more wintry it was.

    Ha ha cheers for tht mate. This winter shaping up to be more wintry than 88. And with what GP has been suggesting and what the models are now spewing out looks like were in for the long haul on this one :rolleyes:

    North West Cold Spell Discussion

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Did that include areas that are currently missing out (ie, Wigan, manchester, merseyside,cheshire) or is it still from preston northwards?(i'm at work so i can't get the forecast)

    Looking at the Beeb forcast, meto and the radr i think south of preston wont see much shower activity. Of course i could and probably will be wrong but thats the way its looking to me.

    Could we get lake effect snow of the irish sea?

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