Day 9 Discussion & Trashed Car

[Paul Sherman]

Slight risk for Tuesday 8th May 2007

At the moment we are going to head south and west for the Midland / Odessa area, liking the New Mexico escarpment for storm initiation, hopefully get some clear skies and look for an old outflow boundary for storms to fire.

Paul Sherman

[Paul Sherman]

Nothing much happened on Day 8 apart from recharging of batteries and Ian's Gut !! The previous day saw us flying down rain soaked dirt roads, the car took a right hammering, even a Monsoon of epic proportions last night could not shift this lot.

Current Stats

----------------

Day 1 - Overnight in Oklahoma (Ok) Current Mileage 221 Miles - No Storms - SLIGHT RISK

Day 2 - Overnight in Decatur (Tx) Current Mileage 504 Miles - Overnight MCS - SLIGHT RISK

Day 3 - Overnight in Fredericksburg (Tx) Current Mileage 960 Miles - HP Supercell - SLIGHT RISK

Day 4 - Overnight in Fredericksburg (Tx) Current Mileage 1220 Miles - HP Supercell - SLIGHT RISK

Day 5 - Overnight in Amarillo (Tx) Current Mileage 1664 Miles - Travel Day - NO RISK

Day 6 - Overnight in Alva (Ok) Current Mileage 1996 Miles - LP Supercell - MODERATE RISK

Day 7 - Overnight in Ellsworth (Ks) Current Mileage 2459 Miles - Supe/Wall Cloud - HIGH RISK

Day 8 - Overnight in Weatherford (Ok) Current Mileage 2812 Miles - Wedge Tornado - MODERATE RISK

Day 9 - Overnight in Childress (Tx) Current Mileage 3107 Miles - Lightning - SLIGHT RISK

Paul Sherman

[NL]

I think today may be more of a stormhunt, than chase.

[NL]

Tornado watch over Childress..

[pottyprof]

Nothing much happened on Day 8 apart from recharging of batteries and Ian's Gut !! The previous day saw us flying down rain soaked dirt roads, the car took a right hammering, even a Monsoon of epic proportions last night could not shift this lot.

Paul Sherman

What you need is.........

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PHGE7bO6Mg8

[fantasyes]

Hi Ian, Paul and the rest of the team!!! I'm glad to see you have finally rested up some what and Paul I'm glad to see your taking good care of my little brother. He's like a puppy, needs fed often or else he might fade away

The pictures are awsome, elbow grease might work on the car!!LOL. And to Ian I have more than one phone incase I don't answer one of them. Well take care all and stay safe.

Pamela ( Ians big sis )

[pottyprof]

Location for today's adventure..

Today's outlook..

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0718 AM CDT TUE MAY 08 2007

VALID 081300Z - 091200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM SOUTHWEST TX INTO SOUTHERN

OK...

UPPER TROUGH OVER THE ROCKIES CONTINUES TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AND MOVE

EASTWARD THIS MORNING. MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN AGREEMENT THAT WESTERLY

MID LEVEL WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS TX TODAY AS TROUGH MOVES INTO

SOUTHWEST TX/NM...WHILE SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS REMAIN ACROSS THE

REGION. NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN ONGOING THIS MORNING FROM

THE ELP AREA INTO OK. THESE STORMS HAVE REINFORCED THE COLD

FRONT/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ACROSS THE REGION...WHICH WILL LIKELY ACT AS

THE MAIN FOCUS FOR STRONG/SEVERE STORMS TODAY.

...SOUTHEAST NM/SOUTHWEST TX...

PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT SCATTERED STRONG STORMS WILL PERSIST

THROUGH THE MORNING ACROSS PARTS OF WEST TX AND SOUTHEAST NM.

SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL/UPSLOPE FLOW ACROSS THIS REGION IS AIDING

LIFT...WHILE APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH PROVIDES FAVORABLE LARGE SCALE

ASCENT. SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR EXISTS ACROSS THIS REGION FOR

SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL. THIS ACTIVITY MAY HAVE A HARD

TIME MAINTAINING INTENSITY AS IT MOVES INTO MORE STABLE LOW-LEVEL

AIR MASS OVER WEST TX LATER TODAY.

...CENTRAL TX INTO SOUTHERN OK...

CONVECTIVE REINFORCED COLD FRONT CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM NEAR ABI

INTO SOUTHWEST OK. VERY MOIST AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS

RESIDES EAST OF THE BOUNDARY...WHERE SOME DAYTIME HEATING IS ALSO

LIKELY TODAY. SCATTERED STORMS ARE FORECAST TO INTENSIFY ALONG THIS

BOUNDARY BY MID AFTERNOON...SPREADING EASTWARD THROUGH THE EVENING.

VERTICAL SHEAR IS STRONGEST OVER OK/NORTH TX...AND WEAKENS WITH

SOUTHWARD EXTENT. A FEW STORMS IN THIS ZONE WILL BE CAPABLE OF

LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. STORMS MAY DEVELOP SOUTHWARD INTO

THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHERN MEXICO...AND SUBSEQUENTLY INTO THE RIO

GRANDE VALLEY OF WEST CENTRAL TX THIS EVENING.

...LOWER AND MID MS VALLEY...

A RELATIVELY MOIST AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS IS EXPECTED TO

DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON FROM PARTS OF IL SOUTHWESTWARD INTO MO/AR/LA

AND NORTHEAST TX. ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE

ALONG THIS AXIS...BUT VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE QUITE WEAK. HAIL AND

GUSTY WINDS COULD OCCUR WITH STRONGER CELLS...BUT ORGANIZED SEVERE

STORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED.

..HART/GRAMS.. 05/08/2007

[pottyprof]

Hopefully the team are in the Midland area as there are some pretty severe storms there at the moment and the whole area is under a tornado watch..

[Julie Cameron]

hi ian and team, ian bet that car makes you feel at home looks much like your bedroom lol

Hi ian its chelsey.. hope your having a good time and enjoying yourself... make sure you and the rest of the team stay safe.. the pictures are really good but quite scary.. rather you than me enjoy rest of your trip n c lots more storms Love Chelsey xx

[NL]

Hopefully the team are in the Midland area as there are some pretty severe storms there at the moment and the whole area is under a tornado watch..

Yeah been watchin' this line of storms for a few hours on and off, definately worth keepin' an eye on,

Hope the team are still there or just a few clicks down the road at Odessa, there's been circulation and

currently dropping 1and 3/4 hail.

[pottyprof]

The team are currently heading down the east side of the squall line towards Odessa. They confirm that it is very messy.

[tinybill]

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/maf/

http://www.ttuhsc.edu/webcams/ipc/ this one in odessa

hope our guys becarefull odessa looks like their are tornadoes their right now

[pottyprof]

The current radar image from the Midland doppler shows a couple of TVS's (Tornadic Vortex Signatures). They are the purple triangles on this image

[mettalfabrik]

JUST FOR INTEREST HERES THE LAST 24H WORTH OF METAR FOR ODESSA TX AND MIDLAND TX WHICH IS THE AIRPORT NEAR THE CENTER OF YOUR IMAGE POTTYPROF

[derby4life]

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/maf/

http://www.ttuhsc.edu/webcams/ipc/ this one in odessa

hope our guys becarefull odessa looks like their are tornadoes their right now

and a couple of streaming cams of odessa

http://www.odessa-tx.gov/public/webcams/webcam1.asp

[mettalfabrik]

SKYCAM PICS ON THIS LINK

http://www.kwes.com/Global/category.asp?C=...p;nav=menu505_3

[mettalfabrik]

LATEST METAR FROM THE ODESSA/LUBBOCK AREA

[Roger J Smith]

This looks like the sort of set-up where an extensive area gets downburst straight-line wind damage, if anyone is in touch with the team, tell them to be on the watch for more than just isolated tornadic winds here, could be a large-scale wind damage event with 70-120 mph winds as this intensifies -- usually 4 to 8 pm is the time for this to explode, currently 3:30 pm CDT but 2:30 MDT and they are well west in central time zone, so let's say around 2200z to 0200z.

[mettalfabrik]

ROTATION NEAR GARDEN CITY WEST OF ODESSA

http://www.kwes.com/Global/link.asp?L=232095

[pottyprof]

Just passed that on.. Thanks Roger..

[NL]

TornadoWarning - 08/2315

WFUS54 KSJT 082212

TORSJT

TXC447-082315-

/O.NEW.KSJT.TO.W.0061.070508T2212Z-070508T2315Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX

512 PM CDT TUE MAY 8 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

WESTERN THROCKMORTON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...

* UNTIL 615 PM CDT

* AT 507 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 13 MILES

SOUTHWEST OF THROCKMORTON...MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH.

* THE TORNADO IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR...

THE INTERSECTION OF US-380 AND HIGHWAY 222 BY 530 PM CDT...

THROCKMORTON BY 535 PM CDT...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT TUESDAY EVENING

FOR WESTERN TEXAS.

So where's about are the team Potty? Any idea's havent heard anything, not out on the 'hoy' already,.. just coz Childress was dry dont mean they can knock off early..!! .. Last i heard they were heading south east side of the storms..

[pottyprof]

Last I heard was the same..

Warning out for Haskell county now

3 tornadic signatures for Haskell now....

[NL]

Individual cells firing off now in font of the main storm line,

Tornado warned too..!

[pottyprof]

Yuck!!

Those cells to the east look clear enough though..

[Louby]

Were are the lads at Potty?