2010 Atlantic Hurricane Season Could Rank In The Top Ten

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The upcoming hurricane season could be a top 10 active year, a stark contrast from the relatively calm 2009 season.

AccuWeather.com Chief Hurricane Meteorologist Joe laminate floori predicts a total of 16-18 storms this season. To put that in perspective, only eight years in the 160 years of records have had 16 or more storms in a season.

The season should start early with one or two threats by early July, and stay late with additional threats extending well into October.

His forecast team expects at least six storms to impact the United States coastline--slightly more than one out of every three. In a normal year, one out of every five named storms (20 percent) in the Atlantic basin impacts the United States. In the 2005 season, 36 percent of the storms affected the United States, while 50 percent impacted the United States in 1998 and 2008.

"From the standpoint of number of storm threats from the tropics to the United States coastline, we will at least rival 2008, and in the extreme case, this season could end up in a category only exceeded by 2005," laminate floori said.

laminate floori observes a rapid warming of the Gulf of Mexico and the collapsing El Nino pattern, which were both characteristics of the 1998 and 2005 seasons.

Named storms moving through the Gulf of Mexico can cause major disruption to both oil and gas production. In 2008, shutdown of production caused a decline in production of 62 million barrels of oil and 408 billion cubic feet of gas. In the record-setting season of 2005, nearly three months of production time was lost.

According to laminate floori, the Atlantic basin looks "textbook" for a major season, with many long track storms that make their way from off the coast of Africa into the western Atlantic and Caribbean heading toward the United States coastline.

He adds that in the heart of the season, there will be a "congregation of tracks," or a concentrated area where many of the storm tracks will pass through.

"I believe there will be a bunching of tracks in the area around the Antilles and into the Bahamas," he said.

Hurricane season begins June 1 and ends Nov. 30.

For more information, be sure to visit the AccuWeather.com Hurricane Center.

By AccuWeather.com's Gina Cherundolo

[Gray-Wolf]

OMG!!! Thats summer ice and Hurricane season we agree on.......is it me or Joey B????

[picog]

Is the meteorologist really called Joe laminate floori, or is the piece a p**s take?

[Gray-Wolf]

Is the meteorologist really called Joe laminate floori, or is the piece a p**s take?

No , he really goes by the name B a s t a r d i, but then William the Conqueror would have been plain old William the B a s t a r d had he not popped over the channel for a scrap!

[kold weather]

I can't really disagree with Joe B on this matter, the conditions aloft really are going to be condusive this year from the looks of things. The El Nino has now totally decayed and in fact we are already down to 0.25C on the weeklies which is well within the neutral range.

I'm personally thinking the biggest threat zone right now will be the E.Caribbean, but if we are going to get 16-18 storms this season (which is quite possible, if not even probable!) then odds will favour a big landfalling hurricane at some point in the season....so I suppose I'm broadly agreeing with Joe B on this matter, looking likely to have a very big season.

I'll post a more indepth forecast with my main views in the nasty hurricane lurking thread probably around the 20th.