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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Met Office says warming trend will continue in 2020

Quote

 

Next year will continue the global warming trend with temperatures again likely to rise more than one degree above pre-industrial levels. According to the Met Office, 2020 will likely be 1.11C warmer than the average between 1850-1900,

The year ahead is set to extend the series of the warmest years on record to six in a row.

 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-50839974

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

John Hammond's latest monthly outlook

  • Turning chilly through festive period
  • Freezing fog patches
  • Uncertain return of milder air later

Full forecast as ever is here for subscribers* https://weathertrending.com/2019/12/20/john-hammonds-something-more-seasonal/

 

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Christmas weather: Festive cold snap on cards with temperatures forecast to drop

 

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A festive cold snap could be on the cards for Christmas, offering a break from the heavy rain which is currently lashing parts of the UK and causing severe disruption. While there is no sign of any immediate let up in the torrential downpours that have led to flash flooding in places, forecasters say it looks like the weather may turn drier and colder going into Christmas Day. Although uncertain how long any "quieter, somewhat colder spell" will last, there is a possibility that it could last to the end of next week, says the Met Office.

https://news.sky.com/story/christmas-weather-festive-cold-snap-on-cards-with-temperatures-forecast-to-drop-11891059

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Flooding brings travel disruption across South East of England

Quote

 

Flooding is causing disruption to travel across the south east of England after heavy rain overnight. The M23 has been closed between junctions 10 and 11 in both directions in West Sussex, Highways England said. On the railways, Southern, Thameslink and Gatwick Express passengers have been advised not to travel, with disruption to services on the Brighton mainline.

Southeastern says there are no trains between Strood and Maidstone West. "A tree blocking the railway between Strood and Maidstone West means all lines are blocked. Train services running between these stations will be suspended. "Disruption is expected until the end of the day." Trains between Brighton and Haywards Heath are being disrupted and there are no services between Haywards Heath and Three Bridges.

 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-50863956

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Posted
  • Location: chellaston, derby
  • Weather Preferences: The Actual Weather ..... not fantasy.
  • Location: chellaston, derby
1 hour ago, Summer Sun said:

John Hammond's latest monthly outlook

  • Turning chilly through festive period
  • Freezing fog patches
  • Uncertain return of milder air later

Full forecast as ever is here for subscribers* https://weathertrending.com/2019/12/20/john-hammonds-something-more-seasonal/

 

uncertain return of milder air?... really?... anomaly charts predict it, ill go with them im afraid.

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Posted
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy disruptive snowfall.
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
1 hour ago, mushymanrob said:

uncertain return of milder air?... really?... anomaly charts predict it, ill go with them im afraid.

Looks on the mild side of average right the way through to me so not sure about the use of 'return'

og-image.png
WWW.BBC.CO.UK

14-day weather forecast for OL3.

 

Edited by feb1991blizzard
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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

UK travel: M23 shut by flooding as millions begin Christmas getaway

 

Quote

The busiest travel day of the festive season has just got even tougher for some, with one of the South East's key routes underwater. Commuters, holidaymakers and those driving home for Christmas are facing the prospect of motoring misery as millions take to the roads. But those travelling between London and Brighton have an extra hurdle to leap - an entire section of the M23 has been closed because of flooding.

https://news.sky.com/story/uk-travel-m23-shut-by-flooding-as-millions-begin-christmas-getaway-11890992

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Wet and windy at times with variable temperatures

_________________________________

Saturday 21 December – Sunday 29 December

Showers but briefly drier around Christmas

This weekend, much of the UK will have bright spells but with showers in places, too. The showers will be most frequent in the west, some heavy on Sunday. However, southern counties of England are likely to see a more prolonged spell of rain on Saturday night, clearing on Sunday. Given the already saturated ground, this rain could cause some local flooding issues in the south. Temperatures will be near or a little above the late December average for most this weekend but with patchy night frost and fog for Scotland and Northern Ireland. Monday and Tuesday will be rather breezy at times with bright spells and showers in places, perhaps giving way to more prolonged rain from the west later on Tuesday.

A drier and calmer spell of weather is then favoured around Christmas Day and Boxing Day as a high pressure ridge extends from the south. Temperatures should be close to average and there are currently no prospects for a white Christmas, apart from over upland parts of Scotland where we could see a few wintry showers. Later next week, the high pressure area should relax southwards again, allowing milder, wetter and breezier weather to move in from the south-west. However, the south-eastern quarter of the UK could still have a few drier and calmer days and a risk of fog.

Monday 30 December – Sunday 5 January

Wet and windy at times but rather mild

The first week of the New Year is likely to see changeable weather conditions with some wet and windy weather at times. Initially, the chance of rain and brisk winds will be greatest for the north. In the south, high pressure could still be near enough to bring some lengthy drier and calmer periods of weather albeit with a risk of fog in places. There are signs that as the week progresses, the jet stream will strengthen over the Atlantic, driving low pressure areas towards the UK. Therefore, wet and windy conditions are favoured to become more widespread as we go through the week. However, west or south-westerly winds should lead to a fairly mild week with temperatures generally a little above the seasonal average.

Monday 6 January – Sunday 19 January

Unsettled but possibly chillier later

We expect low pressure areas moving in from the Atlantic to influence the weather through much of January. However, the track of these low pressure areas is likely to shift from week to week, bringing changes to where the wettest and windiest weather is focused. The second week of January should see these low pressure areas bringing further wet and windy weather at times across the UK. Rainfall amounts are expected to be above average, which means we could well see some further local flood issues given the saturated river catchments.

Temperatures are likely to be variable with some mild interludes and no sustained cold periods of weather. By the third week of January we may see the low pressure track shifting further south. This means that the wettest and windiest weather could well become focused over the southern half of the UK by then. Further north, it is favoured to become somewhat chillier with an increased prospect for rain to give way to wintry precipitation at times. However, confidence in the forecast by this stage is low - there are chances that much milder, wetter and windier conditions prevail more widely, similar to the previous week.

Further ahead

Can we still expect a soggy start to the New Year?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

TORNADO reported in Surrey, England

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 There have been several (confirmed) reports of a Tornado in the town of Chertsey, Surrey. The reports state that moderate damage occurred this morning, with footage showing moderate damage to structures. It occurred late this morning at around 10AM, according to Weather Underground weather station data.

The doppler image below (on the right) captures air movement direction. Notice the area circled by the black, which shows air moving in several directions within a small space. This is a clear indication of violent rotational movement.

 

https://veryweather.co.uk/2019/12/tornado-reported-in-surrey-england/?fbclid=IwAR2mcAQupeat4-V84-SLgdGBvS4iLMc3Csw0Oh5OMws4xd83Cp8mZiGUWac

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Christmas outlook

Quite mild and drier
Colder Christmas day
Wetter Boxing Day

After Christmas

Possibly becoming drier
Decent temperatures with double figures for most

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/50887242

 

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

*FRIGID COLD* – A brutal outbreak of extremely cold (near -45 °C / -50 °F) temperatures blasts across much of Alaska (US) and Yukon (Canada) until the end of December and into early January

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Much of the North American continent (both CONUS and Canada) will experience very warm weather with unusually high temperatures this week into early January. But at the same time, an intense cold outbreak will blast from the Beaufort Sea towards Alaska and bring *frigid* cold temperatures into much of Alaska and Yukon (Canada) after Christmas into New Year.

Based on the latest guidance, the last days of December and early January will be brutally cold, as extremely low temperatures (even for Alaska) are expected – well below -40 °C (-40 F) in many areas. That is locally more than 30 degrees °C / °F colder than normal for this time of the year – that is impressive even for this part of the globe!

https://www.severe-weather.eu/global-weather/frigid-cold-outbreak-alaska-yukon-mk/

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Temperatures above average with unsettled weather

_________________________________

Wednesday 25 December – Sunday 29 December

Dry around Christmas then mild into the weekend

A brief ridge of high pressure on Christmas Day will keep the country day and provide some clear blue, sunny skies in many areas. Cloud will likely only linger at times in western Scotland and Northwest England. However, it will also feel a bit cooler than recent days throughout. Light winds and mostly clear skies overnight will see widespread fog mainly in central and eastern Britain, which may turn dense in places. This will tend to clear before sunrise on Boxing Day, except for in parts of the Southeast. A weather system will be arriving in the morning on Boxing Day bringing bands of rain to the Southwest, spreading northeast across the UK. This will make for a much wetter and windier day that Christmas, with rain eventually reaching all parts of the country. A second weather system will push in from the southwest overnight and into Friday, bringing further rain.

However, the main feature these systems will bring to the UK is some warmer air from the tropical Atlantic. It is still December though, so don't unpack your shorts and t-shirts just yet! Temperatures will be well above average through the weekend with afternoon highs possibly reaching up to 13C in places. As far as rain, high pressure over the continent will tend to push weather fronts off into the Atlantic and keep things dry for many. Fronts will occasionally reach into northern areas, mainly Scotland and Northern Ireland, and bring some patches of light rain and cloudier skies. It will be breezier here and in Wales too, but winds will tend to be fairly light across much of England.

Monday 30 December – Sunday 5 January

Rather mild but turning widely wet and windy

The very end of December and start of the new year will continue to see very mild air over the UK as weather systems stay to the north or northwest. High pressure over the continent that is expected to keep things mostly dry for England and parts of Wales will decline and shift heading towards January, allowing for some rain to return more widely across the country.
This will be a gradual shift over a few days, with a cold front bringing some light rain into England at first before the weather pattern makes a more dramatic shift for the second half of the week. Low pressure is expected to become the dominant weather feature, with a potential for some stronger lows to move close to or over the UK. This will bring in some stronger winds and heavier rain more widely across the country, but notably into southern England which until this point will have escaped most of the rain.

Northern areas, particularly Scotland and Northern Ireland, will see more frequent heavy rain and stronger winds consistently through the week. Despite the return of a more unsettled weather pattern and more frequent rain across the country, things will remain quite mild for the time of year. This is because high pressure will continue to feed tropical air in from the southwest that will get picked up by the Atlantic weather fronts and brought into the UK. There any snow, even on hills, is unlikely into early January with the only exception being the very highest ground in the Highlands.

Monday 6 January – Sunday 19 January

Staying unsettled, possibly stormy at times

Wind patterns are expected to shift to more westerly as we head deeper into January, bringing more active fronts and more frequently unsettled weather. As cold, Arctic air reaches into the North Atlantic from Greenland and Iceland, some strong low pressure systems could develop and track over the UK. This will bring in a risk of some stormy weather, especially strong winds and heavy rain. The winds will tend to be strongest in northern areas nearer to the low pressure centre, while high pressure lingering to the southwest keeps things a bit calmer in the South.
Moving into the second full week of January, the confidence in the forecast begins to drop as model guidance diverges quite a bit.

We expect the low pressure tracks to begin to dip further south and reach into Europe as high pressure further declines. This will mean that things will turn less windy and wet over the UK, but also some cooler polar air will be able to infiltrate in from the north. This will mean temperatures will return to near average, especially in the north, and wintry showers will make a comeback. Rain will continue to impact much of the South, so continued high river levels and flooding is expected. Mild air may cling on here from occasional warm fronts, so overnight frosts or lowland snow for the southern half of the UK remains unlikely.

Further ahead

As 2019 goes out on a mild note, will 2020 continue to look like it will have a rather stormy start?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Met office 10 day trend

Next 10 days

Bright Christmas
Then: wind and rain
Mild end of year

Next week

Mild, breezy start
Many places fine
Colder, blustery end

 

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Dozens of homes damaged in Chilean wildfire

 

Quote

A wildfire has damaged dozens of homes outside a port city in Chile. The federal government has declared an alert over the fires as at least 100 hectares (250 acres) were burned by the afternoon on Tuesday near Valparaiso.

https://news.sky.com/story/dozens-of-homes-damaged-in-chilean-wildfire-11894983?dcmp=snt-sf-twitter&utm_source=t.co&utm_medium=referral

 

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Australia wildfires set to get worse as another 'extreme heatwave' looms

Quote

Australia is bracing for yet more wildfires as another "extreme heatwave" is expected to hit the country. Firefighters are taking advantage of a temporary bout of cooler weather, but there are still more than 70 blazes in New South Wales alone. So far the fires have burned around five million hectares (12.35 million acres) of land, killed nine people and destroyed more than 950 homes.

https://news.sky.com/story/australia-wildfires-set-to-get-worse-as-another-extreme-heatwave-looms-11895113

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Generally mild but wet and windy in January

_________________________________

Saturday 28 December – Sunday 5 January

Mild and drier with a cold snap around New Years

This weekend a mild but dreary weather pattern is expected, with temperatures widely into double figures and reaching the mid-teens in some places. However, it will be a grey affair with largely overcast skies across the country, particularly on Saturday. Things will be mostly dry except for northwestern areas of Scotland and parts of eastern Northern Ireland, where weak fronts will linger and bring some patches of rain. From Monday, the clouds should finally break across much of England and Wales, but northern parts of the country will stay damp and dreary.

On New Years Eve high pressure will begin to build over the UK and the clear skies and calm winds overnight will allow temperatures to fall away. Frost is expected for northern areas with overnight lows into the low single figures in the south. The rest of the week and into the following weekend will see the New Years Eve high pressure gradually slide away and allow frontal systems to reach into the UK from the west. It will be more frequently wet and windy in the northwest, whilst southern and eastern parts of Britain see some lengthy dry and clear spells. It will be mild for the time of year.

Monday 6 January – Sunday 12 January

Staying mild but wet and windy at times

We expect to see a slight shift in the weather pattern heading into the first full week of the new year, but high pressure will often lurk nearby to the south. This will create a distinct north and south split in the weather across the country. Southern areas will see greater influence from high pressure and will tend to be drier and brighter with occasional wet and windy days as cold fronts dive south. Meanwhile, northern parts of the UK will see more frequent fronts and therefore more in the way of wet weather.

Scotland and Northern Ireland will see the bulk of this rain, but parts of northern England will be fairly wet at times too. However, despite this north-south split, mild conditions are expected for all and overall temperatures will run several degrees above where they should be in early January. Behind the passage of cold fronts, there will be a few cold nights with a chance for some frost. It is still January after all, and mild weather at this time of year can still feel pretty chilly!

Monday 13 January – Sunday 26 January

Temperatures nearer normal, perhaps stormy

For mid and late January, a gradual shift in the weather pattern is expected across Europe, with low pressure tracks able to dip further south into France or Spain. This will expose the UK to more wet and windy weather, as opposed to mainly just northern areas of the country. Some of these low pressure systems may be quite strong and bring in some very stormy weather. This will also bring an end to the mild spell, with temperatures returning to nearer the norm for January. As a result, snow showers will become increasingly likely for Scotland and parts of northern England.

Towards the end of the month the southern plunge of the low pressure tracks will likely wave back north. Fronts would then return to mainly impact northern areas with some high pressure creeping into the south of the country at times. Likely turning mild again, with no strong signals at this time for any widespread or prolonged cold outbreaks. Confidence is low towards late January, mainly due to how influential high pressure may be.

Further ahead

Will we be able to cling on to a mild winter, or will storms in mid-January herald a return of the cold?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

UK to hit temperatures of 15-16C over the weekend - hotter than Athens and Rome

Quote

 

Parts of Britain will be hotter than Athens and Rome this weekend as the country experiences unusually warm temperatures. Some areas of the UK could hit 15-16C (59-60.8F) today and tomorrow, according to the Met Office.

In Athens, the predicted high is 10C (50F) today, while it is expected to reach 12C (53.6F) in Rome. The warmest parts of the UK are likely to be parts of northeast England and north Wales.

 

https://news.sky.com/story/uk-to-hit-temperatures-of-15-16c-over-the-weekend-hotter-than-athens-and-rome-11896530

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