The Midlands Regional Discussion - Part 2

[Gord]

There's enough energy to get precipitation over the Welsh mountains, (remember the night of 17th December 2010 anyone?)...however, it's got North Wales written all over it at the moment.

....and so the night continues!

[Barbmac]

Yep but it has to go over the cambrians though first

Would they be so mean as to take all the precipitation for themselves without leaving any over for us lot?

Temp still falling here, 1.8^oC - must be turning sleety soon.

[Hooverman]

Temperatures falling nicely, fair way to go though.

I know its painfully slow out there, hoping its will last till morning as that's the time its forecast for heavy snow here.

2.9 Temp

2.3 Dew

Just confirms its raining outside

[BlueHedgehog074]

Main part of the band about 7 miles South of here. So close now!

[stewfox]

Temps down to 2 degrees here with 0.5 degree dew point, rain not arrived yet but shouldnt be long, presumably temps will rise as the rain arrives?

Been raining for well over an hr here

[Hooverman]

Cardigan lump swinging east anybody seeing this?

[pippamum888]

Northampton - And its not raining yet despite raintoday showing otherwise ? Does anyone know what the implications are of the system moving through quicker than expected? Will that mean less snow potential too?

[Strider]

On track, ahead of track? you decide

Great post - clearly ahead of schedule or further north...

[Hooverman]

Great post - clearly ahead of schedule or further north...

Further north by about 30 - 40 miles i'd say.

[stewfox]

Further north by about 30 - 40 miles i'd say.

This means, apart from percip further north , a longer back edge more cold mixing ?

[Brum Watcher]

NAE much better midlands on the 18z........

[Gord]

If the whole lot swung east now...Stourbridge would fall down that dry line between areas of precipitation thats running through mid Wales!

As annoying as it would be....I think I would see the funny side....I think.....maybe.

Seriously though...not sure its worth hanging around with work in the morning. Its going to take time for things to turn more interesting if they do.

This time last week...I was expecting my west facing windows to get slammed round about now!

[Bolton67]

Taken from the south west thread..from Ian fergusson.

New NAE run gives key changes to any snow distribution and I've now checked the latest UK4 snow depth prog to 10z Fri.

E Mids now more threat;

[syed2878]

Bbc and met have slete from 3am lite snow from 6am and slete from 1500 tomorrow i knew this snow forecast was too good to be true.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

18Z gfs moved low perhaps slightly further north, may see a flurry after all

[kmanmx]

NAE much better midlands on the 18z........

True, precipitation is heading more northwards right up into the more northern parts of east midlands at one point. But the snow/rain graph doesn't show any snow at the same time, a bit odd. But yes a good chunk of snow showing prior to that. Definitely an upgrade

[Hooverman]

This means, apart from percip further north , a longer back edge more cold mixing ?

Keep looking at the Cardigan bay lump of precip, i reckon the NW edge of this could cause problems - its gathering momentum and should show sign's of direction soon, the low is well on its way up the channel.

2.6 Temp

2.2 Dew

Its falling so fingers crossed, i think we may get a dusting more from the Cardigan bay lump than the main area of Precip.

What do you all think?

[Strider]

Even NAE 18z seems behind schedule though...

[beccaboo]

liking the upgrades!!!! Still dry outside my window though!

[Hooverman]

2.5 Temp

1.9 Dew !!!!

[Chris.R]

Sorry but someone said that the precip was 50 miles away, was 6 hours away and so was moving at 0.8 MPH? How on earth can 0.8 x6 =50!

LOL!

Well I hope you midlanders get some snow tonight.

[Hooverman]

2.5 Temp

1.9 Dew !!!!

2.2 dew

[TonyH]

Cardigan lump swinging east anybody seeing this?

Playing back the radar it's more a case of the band developing further east over the mountains, the Cardigan Bay stuff is fairly static.

For the record, drizzly here 2.4c, DP 1.7c

Edited December 15, 2011 by TonyH

[chrisb1357]

2.1c Here and falling. Dew Point 0.6c

Dont think it will get this far

[Brum Watcher]

NAE makes the East Mids smile and it is looking like the least chanced area is going to benefit the most. low is slower moving according to GFS it would have to be over southampton by 12z but the eye is over cornwall at the moment. The precipitation is ahead of time? i dont know why?