2013 Arctic Sea Ice Extent Minimum Poll

[stewfox]

Sorry Stew, tried to keep it within a reasonable range, given the number of options I was allowed to add. I would have added more if I could.

If people were up for creating a CET styled voting thread, I'd have no problem creating the spreadsheet for it. But from past experience, it seems many people in the climate and environment area would rather remain anonymous when voting...

Anyway, I don't appreciate the "inherent bias" comment, especially seeing as I have twice as many options above last years minimum than below it, despite the strong downward trend.

Apologies didn't know there was a limit. If we say the average from the spread given. I'm sure Graig would opt for 10m as a min as per CET postings

[songster]

Given the 2000s average was cira 5.8m would have like a few options above 4.8m so the 'average' doesn't have a inherent bias.. Anyway 5.8m for me.

... you're expecting the ice to increase by 2.43 million (72%) in a single year? On what grounds?

[stewfox]

... you're expecting the ice to increase by 2.43 million (72%) in a single year? On what grounds?

I'm expecting about 7.25 million decrease from now. The trend line has crept up some more and 2013 now has 133 km3 more ice than 2012 and is virtually tied with 2011. It seems the cold of the past weeks has thickened the ice pack considerably. http://neven1.typepad.com/blog/piomas/ I'm aware of single multi year ice, its a opinion.

[songster]

Well, if you're interested in betting real money I'll happily put 50 quid on it. You say 5.8, I say 3.6-3.7, so split the difference and say that if it's above 4.7 I'll give £50 to your charity of choice, and vice versa? Or would you prefer a "nobody wins" buffer zone in the middle?

[cheeky_monkey]

3.9 - 4.0 million...cheers my luvs

[BornFromTheVoid]

3.9 - 4.0 million...cheers my luvs

No worries hun...