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Day 45 Discussion


Tom Lynch

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Posted
  • Location: Cumbria UK
  • Weather Preferences: Cloud 9
  • Location: Cumbria UK

    Last chase day? Knowing Paul,I imagine so. I am not sure what time they fly home on the 23rd. It does look like there is still potential to catch a tornado within driving distance of Denver

    N-CNTRL HIGH PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY/UPPER MIDWEST...

    AN MCS WILL BE ONGOING AT THE BEGINNING OF THE FORECAST PERIOD FROM

    PORTIONS OF ERN NEB INTO MN AND WI...AND MAY POSE A MARGINAL SEVERE

    WEATHER THREAT DURING PART OF THE MORNING. FOCUS WILL THEN TURN TO

    AN UPSLOPE FLOW REGIME OVER THE N-CNTRL HIGH PLAINS. LOW-LEVEL

    CONVERGENCE IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN BY EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON FROM

    ERN WY INTO NERN CO AS A MIDLEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH EJECTS EWD TOWARD

    THE REGION. DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S APPEAR PROBABLE OVER ERN WY...WRN

    NEB...AND WRN SD...AND WILL AID IN MODERATE INSTABILITY AS THE

    BOUNDARY LAYER DESTABILIZES. INITIAL STORMS WILL LIKELY BE

    SUPERCELLS GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF LOW-LEVEL ELY WINDS SURMOUNTED BY

    40 KT MID/UPPER-LEVEL SWLYS. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF

    PRODUCING LARGE/VERY LARGE HAIL AND A COUPLE OF TORNADOES.

    After which I suspect an MCS is possible

    Watch this space.

    Tom

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    Posted
  • Location: South West London
  • Weather Preferences: Stormy
  • Location: South West London

    We are off.......heading to Torrington WY Tornado watch box has been issued. This looks like the best setup of the trip and we could easily bag an elusive Wyoming nado, first tops are going up. The Sherman Torcon is at an 8/10 and first tops are ahead. Stream is running.

     

    Will keep you updated as and when!

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    Posted
  • Location: South West London
  • Weather Preferences: Stormy
  • Location: South West London

    Signal is appalling here at the moment....trying my best to keep things running. We are on a lovely supercell  that is sitting on the rockies! By far the most excited Paul has been......that can only be a good thing. 

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    Posted
  • Location: South West London
  • Weather Preferences: Stormy
  • Location: South West London

    IS THE STREAM WORKING? We could be in business here guys n girls

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    Posted
  • Location: South West London
  • Weather Preferences: Stormy
  • Location: South West London

    excellent new cell looks good! northern one we left died...looking forward to my steak been a long wait!

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    Posted
  • Location: South West London
  • Weather Preferences: Stormy
  • Location: South West London

    excellent new cell looks good! northern one we left died...looking forward to my steak been a long wait!

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