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Convective / Storm Risk Discussion - 23rd July 2013 onwards

Jane Louise

By Jane Louise
in Storms & Severe Weather

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ZONE 51 Community Regular

ZONE 51

Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
Posted (edited)

NPAS-Redhill - capture incredible night lightning:

https://twitter.com/NPAS_Redhill/status/360907131135877120/photo/1

(was tonight going by the tweets)

 

Looks like the lightning is reflecting on the ocean there

Edited by ElectricSnowStorm
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ZONE 51 Community Regular

ZONE 51

Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
Posted (edited) · Hidden by ZONE 51, July 27, 2013 - image would not load
Hidden by ZONE 51, July 27, 2013 - image would not load

Intense cell which was an active storm over Channel around midnight

(area I have circled)

Met Office Radar image

 

 

Edit.. I have arrowed the area that was electrically active

 

 

 

 

Edited by ElectricSnowStorm
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ZONE 51 Community Regular

ZONE 51

Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
Posted · Hidden by ZONE 51, July 27, 2013 - --
Hidden by ZONE 51, July 27, 2013 - --

errors!!

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ZONE 51 Community Regular

ZONE 51

Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
Posted (edited)

Here it is, I have circle the area of the Channel storm at a stage of active lightning around midnight(going by the detectors), I have placed an arrow pointing to the intense cell.

post-11361-0-08587700-1374890478_thumb.g

Met Office radar.

Edited by ElectricSnowStorm
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Lightning Ed Apprentice

Lightning Ed

Posted
  • Location: Warlingham (J6 M25) 175m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Still/Hot or extremes. Fog/Damp etc boring...
  • Location: Warlingham (J6 M25) 175m ASL
Posted

So going to be storm chasing tomorrow if this looks to come off... :) :) :)

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ZONE 51 Community Regular

ZONE 51

Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
Posted (edited)

Looking back on the detectors appears some lightning activity was just inland from the south coast over Kent around 215 hrs although nothing (apart from light ppn)inland on ppn radar over that area around that time.

The satellite shows some cloud over the area and light isolated ppn (showers) must have been isolated elevated cells.

Edited by ElectricSnowStorm
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ZONE 51 Community Regular

ZONE 51

Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
Posted

If that MCS had a hole in the center I'd think it was a hurricane

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ZONE 51 Community Regular

ZONE 51

Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
Posted (edited)

Might not need to go to France after all as the storm that come over here could also be severe

Edited by ElectricSnowStorm
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ZONE 51 Community Regular

ZONE 51

Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
Posted (edited)

Really crap editing dont have fireworks on this computer..

 

 

But comparing the size of this storm to say Ireland... Posted Image Posted Image Posted Image

 

Posted Imagestorm 1.JPG

Hey that was good editing had a go myself as the thunderbeast has now grown bigger! so here is an image comparing it's size to the UK and Ireland!. oh mine is such a smooth edit needed to put big words on the title Posted Image 

post-11361-0-20170300-1374898251_thumb.j

Edited by ElectricSnowStorm
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ZONE 51 Community Regular

ZONE 51

Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
Posted

Hastings to Dover coast thundery showers/storms already getting going

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Mesoscale Rising Star

Mesoscale

Posted
  • Location: Watford, Hertfordshire, 68.7m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Humid Continental Climate (Dfa / Dfb)
  • Location: Watford, Hertfordshire, 68.7m ASL
Posted

So with that MCS firing up so early will another fire up behind it? or is that one meant to hit us because by the looks of it its moving east/ne.

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ZONE 51 Community Regular

ZONE 51

Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
Posted (edited)

Map coming soon and this jumble should be something less confusing! 

post-11361-0-91176600-1374900294_thumb.g

(the dotted lines are ppn model data)

Edited by ElectricSnowStorm
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Wivenswold Community Regular

Wivenswold

Posted
  • Location: Wivenhoe, North East Essex, 2m asl
  • Location: Wivenhoe, North East Essex, 2m asl
Posted

Map coming soon and this jumble should be something less confusing! 

Posted Imagecreating map.gif

(the dotted lines are ppn model data)

I love that, though it would have been funnier if you'd just said "I hope this clarifies everything".

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ZONE 51 Community Regular

ZONE 51

Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
Posted (edited)

Done a map but don't have time now for explaining things but I can say a very interesting weekend of weather for many, the map shows that most are at risk of either heavy rain with thunder, and some thunderstorms which could turn severe. Some storms turning severe particularly to the SE corner some might turn up through areas north and east.

post-11361-0-01825900-1374901595_thumb.g

I love that, though it would have been funnier if you'd just said "I hope this clarifies everything".

ha! yeah usually I spend more time (on explaining things) but there we go got to just see what turns up radar/sat watching and chat! oh and a cuppa of your fav with some biscuits..

 

Edited.

Edited by ElectricSnowStorm
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Guest William Grimsley

Guest William Grimsley

Posted
Posted

Done a map but don't have time now for explaining things but I can say a very interesting weekend of weather for many, the map shows that most are at risk of either heavy rain with thunder, and some thunderstorms which could turn severe. Some storms turning severe particularly to the SE corner some might turn up through areas north and east.

Posted ImageThundery rain-MCS-Thunderstorms-Map-For-Saturday 27th and Sunday 28th July 2013 - ESS.gif

Thundery Rain for East Devon, then! What time? :D
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ZONE 51 Community Regular

ZONE 51

Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
Posted (edited)

Biscay (circled)

post-11361-0-17663300-1374902598_thumb.j

2nd MCS in development..

Thundery Rain for East Devon, then! What time? Posted Image

I don't give times only days... Posted Image

Edited by ElectricSnowStorm
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Rammie Enthusiast

Rammie

Posted
  • Location: Home Kettering. Work Somerset.
  • Location: Home Kettering. Work Somerset.
Posted

Would that second one follow same path as the first??

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ZONE 51 Community Regular

ZONE 51

Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
Posted

So with that MCS firing up so early will another fire up behind it? or is that one meant to hit us because by the looks of it its moving east/ne.

See my post with the sat pic circled area over Biscay! MCS 2.. good prediction!

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ZONE 51 Community Regular

ZONE 51

Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
Posted

Would that second one follow same path as the first??

Yes I expect then more north if I should take that risk and say this!

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VillagePlank Seasoned

VillagePlank

Posted
  • Location: Rochester, Kent
  • Location: Rochester, Kent
Posted (edited)

Holy crap!! Estofex gone Level 3 for N France and Benelux with the Level 2 grazing Kent!!!

 

Told you! http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/77349-convective-storm-risk-discussion-23rd-july-2013-onwards/?p=2752271

Edited by Sparkicle
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Guest William Grimsley

Guest William Grimsley

Posted
Posted

Biscay (circled)

Posted ImageSatellite image - storms.JPG

2nd MCS in development..

I don't give times only days... Posted Image

That circled storm is coming right towards SW/Central England with more developing to the W of it. We could be lucky..

Ok thanks... Posted Image

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Guest William Grimsley

Guest William Grimsley

Posted
Posted

Actually, it seems like we're nearly in the firing line for that 2nd MCS. Hopefully, if more activity develop more into the center of the Bay of Biscay then we're in for a chance.

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