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Possible Storm Sunday 10th


Timbo

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Posted
  • Location: lowestoft
  • Location: lowestoft

With the run up to last nights storm, it was an interesting week watching it develop on the models..

It is looking like another storm will hit us next Sunday 10th..

This time it could cause a nasty tidal surge down the Eastern side of the country, with potential storm forge gusts. 

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

GFS looks stormy

 

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ECM nothing unusual

 

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GEM is the best one as it brings high pressure and is not interested in any storms

 

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Edited by Summer Sun
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Posted
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire
  • Weather Preferences: Cool not cold, warm not hot. No strong Wind.
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire

What is it with these storms and weekends?

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Posted
  • Location: lowestoft
  • Location: lowestoft

 â€¢ Modèles - GFS Europe [ GFS 0.5° ] - [ ECMWF ] - [ UKMO Europe ] - [ GEFS Ensemble ] - [ GEM ] - [ JMA ] - [ NAVGEM ] Cartes du modèle GFS Europe   [ z500-PRMSL ][ Temp. 850hPa ][ Précipitations ] [ Résumé ] [ Jet Stream ][ Altitude 1.5PVU ][ Iso0°c et z500/1000 ]   [ ThetaE 850hPa ] [ SBCAPE et LI ] [ Temp. 2m ] [ Temp. 10hPa stratosphère ] [ Anomalie z500 ] [ Temp 500hPa ] NEW! 

[ Mode 3h en 3h ] [ Archives ] - [ Carte Hémi. Nord ]  Posted Image

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Suite  http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2013110306/gfs-0-174.png?6 http://static.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/0h.gif  Run 0h http://static.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/6h.gif  Run 6h http://static.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/12h.gif  Run 12h http://static.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/18h.gif  Run 18h

Précisions :

Ces cartes présentent les données du modèle GFS 1.0°. Les cartes sont réactualisées rapidement en temps réel à partir de 4h30, 10h30, 16h30 et 22h30. Les cartes d'échéance de 6h en 6h sont archivées depuis Février 2007.

Précaché à 11:45:09

 

 

 

 

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As mentioned, the GFS seems to want to make the most of the system next weekend, bringin another 975mb low over us.

 

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Most of the GEFS ensembles are mixed. Some don't even show a low, and some show something much weaker. Most put any low further north than the GFS.

 

You always get the one though..

 

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Posted
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire
  • Weather Preferences: Cool not cold, warm not hot. No strong Wind.
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire

looks like an opps post ^ (above the one above) sheeese....

Edited by Jax
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Posted
  • Location: Skegness,lincolnshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow Heat thundersnow heatwaves and freezing fog
  • Location: Skegness,lincolnshire

We had some stormy looking seas last time here the other week with that northerly be nice to see that again this time il take camera :)

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Guest William Grimsley

All models are backing away from anything stormy on Sunday now

 

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Yes, it's more likely that there will be a storm on Saturday instead, here.

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Posted
  • Location: Brongest,Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Stormy autumn, hot and sunny summer and thunderstorms all year round.
  • Location: Brongest,Wales

Its looking quite windy tomorrow for here to be honest!

 

Looks like there will be gusts of 35-40mph in quite a large area inland. 50mph+ on coasts and high ground.

Edited by wimblettben
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Guest William Grimsley

Its looking quite windy tomorrow for here to be honest!

 

Looks like there will be gusts of 35-40mph in quite a large area inland. 50mph+ on coasts and high ground.

Yes, I agree.

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Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)

Latest GFS has the potential rain element of any storm for Sunday actually coming in nearer to Monday:

 

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Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield

Looking a little breezy for NW and W Scotland tomorrow. Apart from that the mostly benign weather goes on here for Sunny Sheffield. Next Monday and Tuesday look a little more interesting but nothing really noteworthy.  Looks like I'll be mainly watching the rainfall total go up.

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Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)

GFS still seeing this as a late Sunday into Monday event and not that much more than the usual Autumn affair:

 

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Northern Scotland mostly in line for it?

 

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The SW looks to get the rain still:

 

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