Weather Forecast Accuracy

[h2005__uk__]

Essex Weather Centre has published the results of an investigation into which forecaster has been the most accurate over the last year.

 

The results are, unsurprisingly, based on 'one to five day' forecasts made for Essex, but the results may be relevant elsewhere too.

 

MeteoGroup, who run the WeatherPro app, have come out on top - I'm not surprised because the app always seems to get it spot on.

 

Results (from https://www.essexweather.com/forecast-accuracy.pdf):

 

Weather Forecast Accuracy (1st Nov 13 – 31st Oct 14)

 

Below are the accuracy percentages of the ‘one to five day’ graphical and text forecasts from the top-10 Google ranked weather forecast providers in Essex.

 

Maximum forecast temperature, minimum forecast temperature, icon forecast precipitation and text forecast precipitation are logged daily at 06:00. Temperature accuracy is the percentage of forecasts within two degrees (Celsius). Precipitation accuracy is the percentage of correct forecasts. Forecast data is matched from the nearest Met Office weather station observations at 07:00 and 19:00 GMT daily.

 

(click table to enlarge)

 

Edited October 31, 2014 by h2005uk