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A.J

By A.J
in Storms & Severe Weather

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Zak M Maestro

Zak M

Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, plumes, snow, severe weather
  • Location: Bedfordshire
Posted

Is that hail falling in the Caorle cam? It sounds huge!!!

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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted

Got big hail on that cam now.

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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted

Blimey!!!!

i had to turn the volume down.

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Zak M Maestro

Zak M

Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, plumes, snow, severe weather
  • Location: Bedfordshire
Posted
1 minute ago, Allseasons-si said:

Blimey!!!!

i had to turn the volume down.

The camera has done it for you :oldlaugh:

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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted

Trieste cam just lit up like a Christmas tree.

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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted

And back to Umag again.

social765.jpg

6554b6be8c0d829a8bf63ae0c82cf121_link.pn Live Cam Umag

WWW.SKYLINEWEBCAMS.COM
Umag, beach view of the Istrian city

 

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Kirkcaldy Weather Maestro

Kirkcaldy Weather

Posted
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow,Thunderstorms mix both for heaven THUNDERSNOW 😜😀🤤🥰
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
Posted

Trying to pick a virtual zone for tomorrow thinking somewhere like Medina de Pomar Might be a bit of a wait for cap to be broken and could be a bust but lots of potential there. 

75A23984-FC9A-415C-8DF7-A4FBC28EADD0.thumb.gif.6a84bb56fbc714ec770622356cd35cb2.gif9E7AE6E3-A174-4C8E-8929-55ADF6A81856.thumb.gif.ebfda952dd3c460ac866d52b83696a82.gif3B8C7DD1-C91B-4D1A-B32C-3252D9A78C05.thumb.gif.cd848755eb7d3c124e4720cd0e0b8469.gif42140FB8-8B7A-4383-AB67-0EE1B5A7FF45.thumb.gif.aad055b2960900dff33811228995cb98.gifA02FC8B3-6ACB-4D9D-932C-777F7216DEA7.thumb.png.d3997f32bfe5256ce9348c1b62b77bdf.png27424794-4F98-4782-9617-E7035A1BDC04.thumb.gif.bf3b70f8b893a9b3bc876f7234249332.gif

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Kirkcaldy Weather Maestro

Kirkcaldy Weather

Posted
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow,Thunderstorms mix both for heaven THUNDERSNOW 😜😀🤤🥰
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
Posted

Had a feeling ESTOFEX would go level 2 for northern Spain... 39A9F75C-B90F-46A5-BBF3-FB7612A4D6CF.thumb.png.7afeb9a378093f4e9aba124a447f19d3.png

A level 2 was issued across N Spain and SW France mainly for severe convective wind gusts, large hail and tornadoes.

SYNOPSIS / DISCUSSION

High pressure dominates across British Isles and Benelux, while a cold front belonging to a Scandinavian/Baltic low can trigger some thunderstorms in central Europe. Lows with unstable airmass are also active around Ukraine and Turkey. The more dynamic system is a large Atlantic low west of the Iberian Peninsula, which created a Spanish Plume with steep lapse rates from low to mid levels, drifting northward over Bay of Biscay and SW France. A shortwave mid/upper trough enters Portugal at 12Z, affecting northern Spain during the afternoon and Bay of Biscay and France during late evening and night. The main models ECMWF, ARPEGE, ICON and GFS calculate several hundreds J/kg CAPE (over 1000 MUCAPE over SW France, but capped/large CIN), a relatively high LCL (1500-2000 m) and massive vertical wind shear (30-50 m/s 0-6 km, 25 m/s 0-3 km, 10-15 m/s 0-1 km, 250-500 m2/s2 0-3 km SREH). The mean wind at 1-3 km altitude over 20 m/s suggests potential for widespread severe gusts. The aforementioned parameters support strong downburst, large hail and perhaps an isolated tornado. The largest complex is placed in most models over the central/eastern Bay of Biscay, but south and eastward are drier such that model precipitation may not reach ground. GFS deep convergence and uncapped parcel patterns suggest a wider area of storm initiations. A level 2 is issued mainly for probability of a wide extent of severe gusts and large hail.

not sure if that current cloud development will limit potential just a waiting game now but the front still on the west coast. https://en.sat24.com/en/sp
B6F490A5-F5CA-4C65-B8EE-1A30B4A4FB98.thumb.png.991bbd4cdbe43e71ac403dddc110b943.png

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Kirkcaldy Weather Maestro

Kirkcaldy Weather

Posted
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow,Thunderstorms mix both for heaven THUNDERSNOW 😜😀🤤🥰
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
Posted

Northern Spain active now

6554b6be8c0d829a8bf63ae0c82cf121_link.pn Lightning & Thunderstorms - Europe

EN.BLITZORTUNG.ORG
Blitzortung.org provides lightning and thunderstorm information in real time on maps for USA, United Kingdom, Australia, new Zealand, Europa, Africa, Asia and other Countries.

6554b6be8c0d829a8bf63ae0c82cf121_link.pn Weather: Rainfall Radar Spain

WWW.WEATHERCAST.CO.UK
Rainfall radar for Spain - see rainfall across Spain
image?type=visual&region=sp

6554b6be8c0d829a8bf63ae0c82cf121_link.pn Weather Spain and Portugal, Satellite Weather Spain and Portugal, Weather Forecast, Rainfall, Clouds, Sun in Spain and Portugal - SAT24.com

EN.SAT24.COM
Weather Spain and Portugal, Satellite Weather Spain and Portugal, Weather Forecast, Rainfall, Clouds, Sun in Spain and Portugal - SAT24.com

 

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Kirkcaldy Weather Maestro

Kirkcaldy Weather

Posted
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow,Thunderstorms mix both for heaven THUNDERSNOW 😜😀🤤🥰
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
Posted

Storms now moving into the area that had the highest CAPE etc 

 

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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted
oleron-les-huttes1.jpg

6554b6be8c0d829a8bf63ae0c82cf121_link.pn Webcam Oléron - Les Huttes - Nouvelle-Aquitaine - France - Vision-Environnement

WWW.VISION-ENVIRONNEMENT.COM
Visualisez en vidéo et en direct la webcam touristique de la ville de Oléron - Les Huttes, localisée dans la région Nouvelle-Aquitaine, France.

 

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Zak M Maestro

Zak M

Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, plumes, snow, severe weather
  • Location: Bedfordshire
Posted
21 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:
oleron-les-huttes1.jpg

6554b6be8c0d829a8bf63ae0c82cf121_link.pn Webcam Oléron - Les Huttes - Nouvelle-Aquitaine - France - Vision-Environnement

WWW.VISION-ENVIRONNEMENT.COM
Visualisez en vidéo et en direct la webcam touristique de la ville de Oléron - Les Huttes, localisée dans la région Nouvelle-Aquitaine, France.

 

 

france.png

france0.png

france1.png

france2.png

france3.png

france4.png

france5.png

france6.png

france7.png

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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted
quimper1.jpg

6554b6be8c0d829a8bf63ae0c82cf121_link.pn Webcam Quimper - Bretagne - France - Vision-Environnement

WWW.VISION-ENVIRONNEMENT.COM
Visualisez en vidéo et en direct la webcam touristique de la ville de Quimper, localisée dans la région Bretagne, France.

 

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Kirkcaldy Weather Maestro

Kirkcaldy Weather

Posted
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow,Thunderstorms mix both for heaven THUNDERSNOW 😜😀🤤🥰
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
Posted

Looking at the wrf eu Thursday could be similar area to today’s and Friday could be wide area covering Spain and France will keep an eye on future runs.

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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted
lanseria1.jpg

6554b6be8c0d829a8bf63ae0c82cf121_link.pn Webcam Mesquer - Lanséria - Pays de la Loire - France - Vision-Environnement

WWW.VISION-ENVIRONNEMENT.COM
Visualisez en vidéo et en direct la webcam touristique de la ville de Mesquer - Lanséria, localisée dans la région Pays de la Loire, France.

 

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Kirkcaldy Weather Maestro

Kirkcaldy Weather

Posted
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow,Thunderstorms mix both for heaven THUNDERSNOW 😜😀🤤🥰
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
Posted

 

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Kirkcaldy Weather Maestro

Kirkcaldy Weather

Posted
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow,Thunderstorms mix both for heaven THUNDERSNOW 😜😀🤤🥰
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
Posted

Impressive CAPE in northern Spain again tomorrow but doesn’t look like there will be a trigger, slight chance of a coastal convergence zone but wrf nmm doesn’t seem too keen. Friday looks a very active day though across Spain and France with high CAPE and fax charts have a heat low and fronts will update once we get tomorrow’s runs.

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Kirkcaldy Weather Maestro

Kirkcaldy Weather

Posted
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow,Thunderstorms mix both for heaven THUNDERSNOW 😜😀🤤🥰
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
Posted

Well a sudden last minute change today for northern Spain with storms now looking like breaking out followed by a possible MCS tomorrow morning looks like faster movement of that heat low from the south. Also I can’t remember seeing an ESTOFEX forecast for tornadoes in Russia before. 
A level 1 was issued across NW Iberian Peninsula mainly for large hail. 
A level 1 was issued across parts of NW Russia mainly for tornadoes and excessive precipitation. 

Northwest Iberian ... 

Up to 10 g/kg low level specific humidity and advection of 7-7.5 K/km lower-troposphere lapse rates from NW Africa create favorable conditions for thunderstorms over broader NW Spain and N Portugal. Lift is not warranted during earlier hours, but the late afternoon and evening hours reveal much less CIN and boundary layer disturbances, during passage of a vorticity maxima. Any storms formed inlands would have higher cloud bases, and steeper lapse rates below. Up to 25 m/s deep layer shear and moderate latent instability combination promote well-organized storms with large hail potential. 

Northwestern Russia ...

Another hotspot for severe convection is northwestern Russia. There is a moderate CAPE and very strong deep layer shear overlap around the simulated low. 0-1 km shear reaches 10-15 m/s, while the LCL is simulated to be below 800-1000 m in most parts, supporting tornado formation. Long and straight hodographs indicate splitting supercells around more western and northern parts of the level 1 area issued. Further southern parts of the Level 1 has potential for excessive precipitation, with higher humidity owing to strong advection from the Caspian Sea.

3FFBBDDE-A348-4D99-9D22-3B6CB0B9CB64.thumb.gif.5e06004b8bf23311c181022bb2efb4f4.gif7A009E0E-7913-4E1B-9BCD-AA771AB93731.thumb.gif.c63f541dbcbc64fa0320ba8ef3caa300.gifD7DB053A-19A6-40EA-B23F-D47023826329.thumb.gif.8d314fa64223a7c88b4ee6a52c2983ab.gifE5FAC572-CB38-4BA3-9D89-41DFD325564F.thumb.png.8db5382060033c66e18319d707eca646.png3B5A951E-A7A4-498D-83F4-D7D5CE9DE50F.thumb.png.2eb67e052157d3d055fae4ab059b8109.png734CC492-6CC4-4C83-926E-1AC2BA6D2C90.thumb.png.928ab6e52bb2b1eb3e2f96c49ebb06c2.png

 

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Kirkcaldy Weather Maestro

Kirkcaldy Weather

Posted
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow,Thunderstorms mix both for heaven THUNDERSNOW 😜😀🤤🥰
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
Posted

First storm developed in Spain 

6554b6be8c0d829a8bf63ae0c82cf121_link.pn Lightning & Thunderstorms - Portugal, Spain, France, Italy

EN.BLITZORTUNG.ORG
Blitzortung.org provides lightning and thunderstorm information in real time on maps for USA, United Kingdom, Australia, new Zealand, Europa, Africa, Asia and other Countries.

 

6554b6be8c0d829a8bf63ae0c82cf121_link.pn Weather: Rainfall Radar Spain

WWW.WEATHERCAST.CO.UK
Rainfall radar for Spain - see rainfall across Spain
image?type=visual&region=sp

6554b6be8c0d829a8bf63ae0c82cf121_link.pn Weather Spain and Portugal, Satellite Weather Spain and Portugal, Weather Forecast, Rainfall, Clouds, Sun in Spain and Portugal - SAT24.com

EN.SAT24.COM
Weather Spain and Portugal, Satellite Weather Spain and Portugal, Weather Forecast, Rainfall, Clouds, Sun in Spain and Portugal - SAT24.com

 

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Zak M Maestro

Zak M

Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, plumes, snow, severe weather
  • Location: Bedfordshire
Posted (edited)
2 minutes ago, Kirkcaldy Weather said:

First storm developed in Spain 

6554b6be8c0d829a8bf63ae0c82cf121_link.pn Lightning & Thunderstorms - Portugal, Spain, France, Italy

EN.BLITZORTUNG.ORG
Blitzortung.org provides lightning and thunderstorm information in real time on maps for USA, United Kingdom, Australia, new Zealand, Europa, Africa, Asia and other Countries.

 

6554b6be8c0d829a8bf63ae0c82cf121_link.pn Weather: Rainfall Radar Spain

WWW.WEATHERCAST.CO.UK
Rainfall radar for Spain - see rainfall across Spain
image?type=visual&region=sp

6554b6be8c0d829a8bf63ae0c82cf121_link.pn Weather Spain and Portugal, Satellite Weather Spain and Portugal, Weather Forecast, Rainfall, Clouds, Sun in Spain and Portugal - SAT24.com

EN.SAT24.COM
Weather Spain and Portugal, Satellite Weather Spain and Portugal, Weather Forecast, Rainfall, Clouds, Sun in Spain and Portugal - SAT24.com

 

I can tell by evening time that storm will have one massive anvil.

Edit: Some rapid convection also going on behind the storm in CS Spain.

Edited by Zak M
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Kirkcaldy Weather Maestro

Kirkcaldy Weather

Posted
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow,Thunderstorms mix both for heaven THUNDERSNOW 😜😀🤤🥰
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
Posted

 

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Kirkcaldy Weather Maestro

Kirkcaldy Weather

Posted
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow,Thunderstorms mix both for heaven THUNDERSNOW 😜😀🤤🥰
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
Posted

 

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Kirkcaldy Weather Maestro

Kirkcaldy Weather

Posted
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow,Thunderstorms mix both for heaven THUNDERSNOW 😜😀🤤🥰
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
Posted

Discussing if it was a supercell.

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Had Worse Maestro

Had Worse

Posted
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District
  • Weather Preferences: All
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District
Posted
social804.jpg

6554b6be8c0d829a8bf63ae0c82cf121_link.pn Live Cam Suances - Playa de la Concha

WWW.SKYLINEWEBCAMS.COM
View over La Chonca Beach in Suances

 

Active now.

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