Arctic Sea Ice Minimum Poll: No.5

[BornFromTheVoid]

Latest poll to see how we think the Arctic sea ice melt season will go this year. As we all know, extent has plummeted in recent week, setting record low values and beating the previous years by over half a million km2 at times. Will this continue, or are there more surprises to come?

As before, the data will be based on the NSIDC extent measures. They provide excel spreadsheets here that contain all of their daily data. Below are the values for the last 10 minima, in millions of km2

2019:    4.1
2018:    4.6
2017:    4.6
2016:    4.1
2015:    4.4
2014:    5.0
2013:    5.0
2012:    3.3
2011:    4.3
2010:    4.6
 

From the April poll, the average of 22 votes was 4.1 million km2, with a 90% range from 2.5 to 5.7.
From the May poll, the average of 15 votes was 4.0 million km2, with a 90% range from 3.2 to 4.9.
From the June poll, the average of 14 votes was 3.7 million km2, with a 90% range from 3.3 to 4.2.
From the July poll, the average of 13 votes was 3.5 million km2, with a 90% range from 3.1 to 4.0.

[BornFromTheVoid]

A quick reminder that there are only a few days left to vote.

[BornFromTheVoid]

Last poll and last day to vote!