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Netweather Winter Forecast 2020/2021


Paul

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Posted
  • Location: Purley, Surrey - 246 Ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: January 1987 / July 2006
  • Location: Purley, Surrey - 246 Ft ASL

Not going to be popular round these parts!

With so many now plumping for a SSW, this could be up there with the infamous BBQ summer forecast (or you could be completely right - hopefully not)

 

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Posted
  • Location: Ely, Cambridgeshire
  • Location: Ely, Cambridgeshire

You'd be a fool to write this forecast off and it does seem concerning... but as they say, in weather, nothing is certain ! That's the beauty of it ❤️

That said... I'd rather a front loaded winter than a back loaded one for sure! 

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Posted
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
  • Weather Preferences: The fabled channel low
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl

Follows closely to the Met office winter forecast (expect for the potential snowy end to december) I'd suggest that if you like colder than average temperatures now is the time to make the most of it!

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Posted
  • Location: Wath upon Dearne, Rotherham
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, severe frost, freezing fog and summer sunshine
  • Location: Wath upon Dearne, Rotherham

Hopefully this forecast is a bust!! (Sorry). It seems to suggest a strong La Nina but current indications are that it will be moderate at most. With regard to QBO, there are plenty of cold winters during westerly QBO. Also, the atmosphere isn't particularly reflecting a typical la nina state and we also have the strat and troo failing to couple. Add to that the potential for an SSW and I don't think this winter is as cut and dried as it may seem...

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Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

I largely agree with this forecast and the reasoning personally. Cold prospects are highest in December and March for me. 

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Posted
  • Location: chellaston, derby
  • Weather Preferences: The Actual Weather ..... not fantasy.
  • Location: chellaston, derby

Personally i was disappointed with it, because i have a hunch based on the current synoptic pattern , that theres a higher then average chance of something cold. There are simularities to december 78, 85, both of which heralded a proper cold winter.

Me turned a cold lover?... lol... im a blogger, snow is good for business! lol. Besides, i believe we should have a wintry spell in winter, whether i like cold or not.

(disappointed because it doesnt confirm my hunch, its reasoning and conclusions are sound as far as little old me is concerned)

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Posted
  • Location: Wantage, Oxon
  • Weather Preferences: Hot, cold!
  • Location: Wantage, Oxon

Thanks for the forecast @Thundery wintry showers, and I agree with the analysis for December, and I also expect the midwinter period to be mild wet and windy.  But this forecast doesn’t even entertain the possibility of a SSW delivering a cold February, which I think is significant possibility this year.  As with all these things, we’ll know all by March 1st! 

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Posted
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks

A well constructed forecast there Ian. An awful lot of work has gone into it. Thank you. The proof as is usually the case is to be found on

1 March!

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Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)

Thumbs up from me for December and if I have to forgo Jan/Feb to see SNOW ⛄️ on Christmas Day....it shall be :santa-emoji:

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Posted
  • Location: Wantage, Oxon
  • Weather Preferences: Hot, cold!
  • Location: Wantage, Oxon
6 minutes ago, chrisbell-nottheweatherman said:

Given the effect of Covid-19 we need a mild winter.

I would disagree with that, Covid seems to like cool and humidity, and is most comfortable at 4C.  Cold would be preferable, the normal mild mush cold rain fest is the absolute last thing we need this year.  

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Posted
  • Location: South Norfolk, 44 m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Varied and not extreme.
  • Location: South Norfolk, 44 m ASL.
2 hours ago, Mike Poole said:

I would disagree with that, Covid seems to like cool and humidity, and is most comfortable at 4C.  Cold would be preferable, the normal mild mush cold rain fest is the absolute last thing we need this year.  

Actually, Coronaviruses can withstand freezer storage, and humid air causes aerosolised droplets to fall out of the atmosphere indoors more rapidly.

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Posted
  • Location: Purley, Surrey - 246 Ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: January 1987 / July 2006
  • Location: Purley, Surrey - 246 Ft ASL
15 hours ago, chrisbell-nottheweatherman said:

Actually, Coronaviruses can withstand freezer storage, and humid air causes aerosolised droplets to fall out of the atmosphere indoors more rapidly.

Is this what the pandemic has drove us to - discussing aerosolised droplets

Whatever is better for Covid is likely what we will end up with! At least we have the vaccine hope now.

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