Margot to become Hurricane?

[Dorsetbred]

Suggestion are tropical storm Margot, might strengthen to a Cat 1 hurricane

000
WTNT34 KNHC 100836
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Margot Advisory Number  12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL142023
500 AM AST Sun Sep 10 2023

...MARGOT CONTINUES TO STRUGGLE...
...NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.1N 39.6W
ABOUT 1100 MI...1770 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Margot was
located near latitude 22.1 North, longitude 39.6 West. Margot is
moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h).  A gradual turn
to the north-northwest and north is expected during the next couple
of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Strengthening is still anticipated, and Margot is likely to become 
a hurricane within the next couple of days.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Roberts

Edited September 10, 2023 by Dorsetbred

[Dorsetbred]

Latest Update

916 
WTNT34 KNHC 101443
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Margot Advisory Number  13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL142023
1100 AM AST Sun Sep 10 2023

...MARGOT HOLDING STEADY OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.0N 40.0W
ABOUT 1145 MI...1845 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Margot was 
located near latitude 23.0 North, longitude 40.0 West. Margot is 
moving toward the north-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h).  A gradual 
turn to the north is expected during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. 
Additional strengthening is forecast, and Margot is likely to become 
a hurricane within the next couple of days.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Kelly
 

[Dorsetbred]

Latest Update 

408 
WTNT34 KNHC 110832
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Margot Advisory Number  16
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL142023
900 AM GMT Mon Sep 11 2023

...MARGOT MOVING DUE NORTH OVER THE OPEN CENTRAL SUBTROPICAL
ATLANTIC...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE TONIGHT... 

SUMMARY OF 900 AM GMT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.3N 40.0W
ABOUT 1215 MI...1955 KM NW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 AM GMT (0900 UTC), the centre of Tropical Storm Margot was
located near latitude 25.3 North, longitude 40.0 West. Margot is
moving toward the north near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue during the next several days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and
Margot is likely to become a hurricane tonight.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km)
from the centre.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.42 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 PM GMT.

$$
Forecaster Roberts

Edited September 11, 2023 by Dorsetbred

[Dorsetbred]

Latest Update

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Margot Advisory Number  17
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL142023
Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
300 PM GMT Mon Sep 11 2023

...MARGOT ALMOST A HURRICANE WHILE IT MOVES NORTHWARD...

SUMMARY OF 300 PM GMT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.1N 40.0W
ABOUT 1245 MI...2000 KM NW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 PM GMT (1500 UTC), the centre of Tropical Storm Margot was
located near latitude 26.1 North, longitude 40.0 West. Margot is
moving toward the north near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue during the next several days.

Satellite estimates indicate that the maximum sustained winds 
of Margot have increased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Margot is forecast to become a hurricane late today and 
could strengthen further over the next few days.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the centre.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb (29.33 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 PM GMT.

$$
Forecaster Blake/Taylor

Edited September 11, 2023 by Dorsetbred

[Dorsetbred]

Latest Update

BULLETIN
Hurricane Margot Advisory Number  20
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL142023
900 AM GMT Tue Sep 12 2023

...MARGOT STILL STRENGTHENING...

SUMMARY OF 900 AM GMT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.3N 39.5W
ABOUT 935 MI...1505 KM SW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 AM GMT (0900 UTC), the centre of Hurricane Margot was located
near latitude 29.3 North, longitude 39.5 West.  Margot is moving
toward the north near 13 mph (20 km/h).  A northward to  
north-northwestward motion with a decrease in forward speed is 
expected during the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h) 
with higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is forecast during the 
next day or so.  Weakening is likely to begin by Thursday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
centre and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles
(220 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 979 mb (28.91 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 PM GMT.

$$
Forecaster Berga

[Dorsetbred]

Latest Update, with Margot showing a clear eye characteristic

Edited September 12, 2023 by Dorsetbred

[Dorsetbred]

Lee on the left, Margot (right)

[Dorsetbred]

Latest Update:

BULLETIN
Hurricane Margot Advisory Number  21
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL142023
300 PM GMT Tue Sep 12 2023

...EYE OF MARGOT HEADING NORTHWARD...

SUMMARY OF 300 PM GMT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.2N 39.4W
ABOUT 890 MI...1430 KM SW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.80 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 PM GMT (1500 UTC), the centre of Hurricane Margot was located
near latitude 30.2 North, longitude 39.4 West. Margot is moving
toward the north near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the 
north-northwest at a slower forward speed is expected beginning 
tomorrow, followed by a turn back generally toward the north at an 
even slower speed on Thursday and Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is expected for the next several 
days, but short term fluctuations, up or down, are possible.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
centre and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 255 miles
(405 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 975 mb (28.80 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Swells generated by Margot will begin to affect the Azores on
Wednesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf
and rip current conditions.  Please consult products from your local
weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 PM GMT.

$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky

[Dorsetbred]

Latest Update

BULLETIN
Hurricane Margot Advisory Number  24
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL142023
900 AM GMT Wed Sep 13 2023

...MARGOT MOVING NORTHWARD OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC...

SUMMARY OF 900 AM GMT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.6N 40.0W
ABOUT 790 MI...1270 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.80 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 AM GMT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Margot was located 
near latitude 33.6 North, longitude 40.0 West. Margot is moving 
toward the north near 12 mph (19 km/h). A north-northwestward or 
northward motion with a gradual decrease in forward speed is 
expected through early Thursday. Then, Margot is likely to stall or 
meander within weak steering currents into the weekend.

Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next few days.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles
(370 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 975 mb (28.80 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Swells generated by Margot will begin to affect the Azores
later today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf
and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 PM GMT.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

[Dorsetbred]

Latest Update

BULLETIN
Hurricane Margot Advisory Number  25
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL142023
Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
300 PM GMT Wed Sep 13 2023

...MARGOT NOT EXPECTED TO MOVE MUCH OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...

SUMMARY OF 300 PM GMT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.1N 40.4W
ABOUT 795 MI...1280 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.65 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 PM GMT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Margot was located
near latitude 34.1 North, longitude 40.4 West. Margot is moving
toward the north-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h) and this motion with 
a gradual decrease in forward speed is expected through early 
Thursday. Then, Margot is likely to stall or meander within weak 
steering currents into the weekend.

Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Some weakening is forecast during the next 72 hours.

Satellite data indicated that Margot's hurricane-force winds 
extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center and 
tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 970 mb (28.65 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Swells generated by Margot will begin to affect the Azores
later today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf
and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 PM GMT.

$$

[Dorsetbred]

Satellite view and track

[Dorsetbred]

Latest Update

BULLETIN
Hurricane Margot Advisory Number  28
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL142023
900 AM GMT Thu Sep 14 2023

...MARGOT WEAKENS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...

SUMMARY OF 900 AM GMT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.9N 40.3W
ABOUT 745 MI...1205 KM W OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 AM GMT (0900 UTC), the centre of Hurricane Margot was located
near latitude 35.9 North, longitude 40.3 West. Margot is moving
toward the north-northeast near 6 mph (9 km/h), and a slower 
forward motion is expected today. Margot is forecast to meander 
within weak steering currents on Friday and make a small clockwise 
loop over the weekend.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 75 mph (120 km/h) 
with higher gusts. Continued weakening is forecast over the next few 
days, and Margot is likely to become a tropical storm later today.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
centre and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles
(335 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 979 mb (28.91 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Margot will continue to affect the
Azores for the next several days. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 PM GMT.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart
 

Edited September 14, 2023 by Dorsetbred

[Dorsetbred]

Latest Update:

BULLETIN
Hurricane Margot Advisory Number  29
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL142023
Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
300 PM GMT Thu Sep 14 2023

...MARGOT GROWING IN SIZE OVER THE NORTH-CENTRAL ATLANTIC...

HURRICANE MARGOT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142023
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1500 UTC THU SEP 14 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.5N  39.8W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  978 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW  70NW.
50 KT.......100NE 130SE  60SW 100NW.
34 KT.......170NE 200SE 120SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 280SE 370SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.5N  39.8W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.3N  40.1W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 36.8N  39.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
50 KT... 90NE 110SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 36.7N  38.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 36.2N  38.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...200NE 120SE 110SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 35.5N  39.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE 110SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 35.0N  41.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 35.1N  42.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 37.5N  43.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 40.0N  39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.5N  39.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER FRACASSO/BLAKE

[Dorsetbred]

Downgraded to Tropical Storm MARGOT

TROPICAL STORM MARGOT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142023
0900 UTC FRI SEP 15 2023

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

TROPICAL STORM CENTRE LOCATED NEAR 36.7N  38.6W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 115 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT.......100NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
34 KT.......180NE 190SE 140SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 240SE 300SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.7N  38.6W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.8N  38.7W

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 36.3N  38.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 130SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 35.7N  38.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 140SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 35.1N  40.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 34.8N  41.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 35.3N  43.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 36.5N  43.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 39.5N  40.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 40.0N  34.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.7N  38.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART

[Dorsetbred]

FINAL UPDATE:

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Margot Advisory Number  33
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL142023
300 PM GMT Fri Sep 15 2023

...MARGOT'S TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXPAND NORTHWARD...

SUMMARY OF 300 PM GMT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.3N 38.2W
ABOUT 625 MI...1010 KM W OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SE OR 135 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 PM GMT (1500 UTC), the centre of Tropical Storm Margot was
located near latitude 36.3 North, longitude 38.2 West. Margot is
moving toward the southeast near 5 mph (7 km/h), and is expected to 
make a slow clockwise loop during the next day or two.  A faster 
north-eastward motion is forecast by Monday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 65 mph (100 km/h) 
with higher gusts.  Some additional weakening is forecast during 
the next couple of days. 

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 300 miles (480 km)
from the centre.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb (29.24 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Margot will continue to affect the
Azores for the next several days. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 PM GMT.

$$
Forecaster Bucci
 

[Foxgloves]

This ECMWF alongside those spaghettis does have me a little on edge I gotta say.  ECMWF has been quite good at modelling this season...