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GraemeB

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Posts posted by GraemeB

    Scottish Cold Spell Discussion 22:

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Dont mind if I do :)

    Have pasted over the last reply

    Quote

    Lovely GFS run this morning - the cold has been brought in sooner, maybe through Tuesday evening into Wed, but it looks more NE'ly to me ?

    Interesting, I think, the 528dam dissects us right through the middle on Tuesday night - that's been a few runs now that the trend is heading towards something rather exciting early next week.

    TOORP still on high alert though.

    :lol:

    Hehe - I called a NE'ly this morning :whistling:

    Scottish Cold Spell Discussion 22:

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Please continue...Previous: http://forum.netweat...4entry1763834

    Dont mind if I do :rolleyes:

    Have pasted over the last reply :rolleyes:

    Lovely GFS run this morning - the cold has been brought in sooner, maybe through Tuesday evening into Wed, but it looks more NE'ly to me ?

    Interesting, I think, the 528dam dissects us right through the middle on Tuesday night - that's been a few runs now that the trend is heading towards something rather exciting early next week.

    TOORP still on high alert though.

    Scottish Cold Spell Discussion 21:

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Lovely GFS run this morning - the cold has been brought in sooner, maybe through Tuesday evening into Wed, but it looks more NE'ly to me ?

    Interesting, I think, the 528dam dissects us right through the middle on Tuesday night - that's been a few runs now that the trend is heading towards something rather exciting early next week.

    TOORP still on high alert though.

    Scottish Cold Spell Discussion 21:

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Did you notice if it was a perfect six point star shape of a snowflake? When I picked BoyCatch up from school earlier the snowflakes were perfect 4mm across stars. Funny thing is that we had exactly the same type of snowflake last week!!

    That's the very blighter that just assaulted me.

    You wouldn't get that with the 5 pointed ones :blush:

    Scottish Cold Spell Discussion 21:

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    All we really need for a biggie is either a warm front bumping into the cold air and stalling over us a la march '06 or a 48 hour easterly with uppers of -10 or 36 hours with uppers around -15. The latter looks the more plausible in the medium term anyway, simply because the cold surface air is only likely to arrive from an easterly with similarities to the one shown above. I will edit this in a minute to update on the ECM 12z.

    edit: FULL MODEL AGREEMENT ON EASTERLY BY ABOUT 120 HOURS!!!!! http://www.meteociel...M1-120.GIF?03-0

    http://www.meteociel...44-21.GIF?03-18

    http://91.121.94.83/...fs-0-126.png?12

    http://www.meteogrou...thgt850_120.png

    Uppers at -5 already at +120 on the ECM, with nothing to stop the coldest uppers reaching our shores. My confidence of an easterly/northeasterly has sky rocketed - around 80% for me - I mean full model support at this stage is almost conclusive, note the word ALMOST, and the other 20% which wouldn't even be vaguely cold or snowy, but my money is now on the cold solutions.

    If tomorrow morning's runs back this up, I don't see it going any other way, so the next 12-24 hours will be the key to a cold spell, I feel.

    Cue MTM (Model thread Meltdown), swiftly followed by a brief spell of TOORP (Toys oot o Ra Pram)

    :)

    Scottish Cold Spell Discussion 21:

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Um - what's happened overnight ?

    Beeb had warnings and heavy snow for Stirling but this morning, on the early weather as well as the site, it's all but gone ?

    Is the front moving up from the SW fizzling out as it moves ?

    See, this is why I hate trying to learn about the weather - infuriating it most certainly is :rofl:

    Also - is the PL still there ?

    Scottish Cold Spell Discussion 21:

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    FI would appear to be T72/96 - I'm now trying to ignore anything beyond that, as last week, we were almost into Day After Tomorrow scenarios :)

    Maybe they should split the model thread into 2 - discussions over what's happening 0-72, and another for post 72 apocalyptic doom talk.

    I know which thread I'd sit in ;)

    Still, bright and cold here in Stirling - so no complaints (apart from the lack of snow)

    Scottish Cold Spell Discussion 20:

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    It certainly looks like that Graeme :crazy:

    I would say that even before then we could have some fun, well, at least those of us who live in the north of Scotland :crazy:

    I feel a full scale rampede coming on at some point in the 24 hours.

    I give it until the 12z comes out, and if it keeps the same theme, coupled with decent Meto fax charts, NW could very well hit 10 on the Rampede scale.

    Wonder if the meto will be issuing some early warnings for Fri/Sat/Sun soon...

    Scottish Cold Spell Discussion 19:

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    There weren't any warning whatsoever for Edinburgh's heaviest snowfall for 25 years Graeme in the small hours of Weds 23 Dec. Was all a bit of a Meto cock up.

    Yeah, thanks shuggs, I kinda thought I had missed the warnings...even up here there were about 5-6inches over that period...I just wondered how it all came about and how it was "missed" ?

    Did the guys over on the Boffin Thread nail it though ?

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