IanM
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Posts posted by IanM
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All the forum mods have posed (in various stages of undress) for photographs for the Netweather 2012 calendar?
:w00t:
Awww you got it, damn.
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A quick reminder, this is the model discussion thread, not the BBC forecast says thread, or the point scoring against other members thread, thanks
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RIGHT!! no more arguing here, this is getting hard work trying to keep you all in order! anymore and posts will be deleted. Thank you!
To reiterate, read the first post, read it again, then before you decide to post make sure that reading it two times was enough, thanks
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"WINDS. Our forecast wind peaks were for Dec 2-3, ~7, 10-12, 15-17 (and more later see full fc) with 2-3 & 15-17 having Force 10/11 on/near BI. This doesn't prevent such at other times which have been very windy (7/8 uptick interesting)"
I'll leave you to draw your own conclusions. But do bear in mind that all WeatherAction forecasts are accurate within one day either side - so it could be windy the 1st-4th, 6-8th, 9th-13th, 14th to 18th - really not much space for the wind to drop, the 5th must have breathed a sigh of relief.
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I forgot about that masterpiece Tom. On the bright side, owing to high fuel prices, next years tour will be using Tuk Tuks, the first core punch should be entertaining
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Right, this is unlocked again. It was impossibly to edit and fit in with the general winter forecast discussion thread.
Do not make personal comments aimed at PC, each other, or me for that matter. and try not to stray into confusing critique with outright insults and slander.
Thanks
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for Ian
Have you get anywhere with the job of putting all the forecasts at the front of this thread please?
I started the process John, and am slowly accumulating forecasts ready to post them up. It's been a little busy workwise this week though so I've not had a chance to finish it properly.
It's on the list, honest
Ian
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We've been watching the combination of wind, pressure and tides for a couple of days now. Definitely one to watch closely over the next 48 hours.
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This topic has been temporarily locked to allow the team the opportunity to deal with an issue. It will re-open very shortly.
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Ok, again we drift into personal comments - temporarily locking this with a view to decluttering and merging with the general winter forecast thread, once he issues one.
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To be fair to the guy he hasn't tried to spin the brief cold snap up north with the snow as a we were half right etc etc
Lets see what happens year end.
erm he's not claiming to be only half right :
This snow is tremendous news and not what MetO and others were saying more than a few days earlier.
In contrast it is what we at WeatherAction said both first in our Oct 19th announcement made in Madrid and in our revised LESS COLD but still snowy in North UK forecast made 28Nov and placed on video 29Nov and on special pdf/twitpic** first to subscribers ONLY on the same day.
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It was a separate thread at the time.
You never replied to my pm by the way, from the time you were defending a forecaster who was quoted that blizzards would fall if temps were 6c in September :
"Well they appear to be available on the end of a phone, or e-mail. Perhaps those who can find time to critisise can also find time to ring or mail them and ask for clarification."
You seemed a little more generous towards them?
On that note, we've cluttered this thread enough, pm me if you'd like to continue this conversation, or we can just leave it as it stands?
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I was thinking more the detailed rolling seasonal forecast, but I guess two lines for the three months of winter covering the whole of Europe and a chunk of Asia will have to suffice.
As for asking for the other members LRF's, they didn't create threads to criticise or draw attention to your forecast, or any other company or individuals forecast. They merely participated in a thread you created to invite comments...
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OK Adrian, to make it fair though you should post your winter forecast up for critique too? Others who haven't written or been involved with their companies forecast, or maybe like Pete have no faith in any LRF state their position very clearly. Maybe you should do the same?
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If we must have these threads, can we limit the discussion to the forecast, it's merits and issues and not stray into becoming insulting or personal please.
Conveniently you seem to have forgotten the reason why it is not a ringing endorsement, having to read these type of threads (which, as you you have started both of them, you are well aware will attract some pretty damning comments) is important as the comments can quickly become personally insulting or just straight our slanging matches.
Again, after your comments about last years PC thread, I am surprised that you saw fit to try to recreate the same conversations again? Would you like to share your reasons for deciding they both deserve their own threads, it's not to promote their forecasts, or them as individuals, so the sole aim is to encourage scorn and criticism?
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Spot on, Madden is right out of the Corbyn school of 'I'm never wrong and even if I am I'll never admit it' - that cannot be considered anything other than arrogant as you rightly say and should
be free to discuss.
Incidently, what is wrong with starting a thread like this Ian, is it not weather related? Moreover, my initial title was not in anyway derogatory, what else are his updates apart from 'ramblings'?
Anyone can see James Maddens forecasts are nothing more than educated guesswork, hyped, spun and sensationalised primarily for commercial gain, not in the so called 'name of science'
that he likes to portray.
Corbyn may well have his faults, but at least he doesn't hide his commercial light under a bushel, pretending be a man of the people while quietly going kerr ching at every possible opportunity.
I've not said there is a problem with the thread discussing his forecast Adrian, but we do already have a thread dealing with winter forecasts, Exacta's among them including his most recent update as Summer Blizzard has pointed out.
I just don't like to see them wandering off from discussing the forecast to discussing the forecasters personality, as you have pointed out quite stridently in the past, there is no excuse for it and it only serves to antagonise the individuals involved and their followers.
As for hiding commercial interests, I don't know that he has, and haven't tried to dig deeper either as he doesn't cross our path professionally at all.
Like I say, at least we know who he is, and what his forecast is, the same can't be said for all winter forecasts from commercial outfits.
seems a good idea to me, I hope Ian is able to put all the winter forecasts into one thread and have them at the start of the thread rather than all mixed up with comments about them. That would make it so much easier to read what they predicted and compare one with the other?
Perhaps a lot of work Ian but I'm hopeful!
I'm working on it John, I agree one easy reference point for all the forecasts we have access to would make life a lot easier.
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Funnily enough the plan was to have winter discussion in one thread and just the forecasts in this one, but it never quite plays out as planned.
I'll have a play over the weekend.
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If we must have these threads, can we limit the discussion to the forecast, it's merits and issues and not stray into becoming insulting or personal please. I think is will become the standard disclaimer every third post in these threads.
One thing for James, he doesn't charge for the full forecast, and it's out there for all to see, regardless of outcome and he deserves credit for that at the very least.
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Sorry Shuggee, should have updated this, we swapped emails earlier this week. It looks like an Invision bug (again), we're waiting on some feedback.
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I hate to intrude, but could we take the discussion of winters past to a more suitable thread please? Thanks
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Please stick to the models, that was a chunk of time spent editing and deleting on the back of just one comment triggering a landslide of largely irrelevant posts for this thread. There is some interesting info, otherwise we would have just deleted the last two pages entirely.
Please keep it model related, thanks
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Just an FYI at this stage, but AA have filed for Chapter 11 - which is protection from creditors - while they attempt to shed costs.
http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2011/11/29/american-airlines-parent-files-for-bankruptcy/
It needs watching, but no real information yet.
Ian
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I don't know if this is the right thread to post this, but the Guardian (http://www.guardian....-published-data) claims the Met Office will be making all its Public Weather Service data free to use from this week. Will Netweather be using this data?
It depends on what the data is really. We won't be mirroring the MetO forecasts for instance, but until the MetO themselves are sure of what is happening we can't say what data would be useful to us.
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If the models were to verify (unlikely at this stage) then consistent wind speeds of around 80-100mph could be expected. If you want to know how to interpret charts have a browse here http://forum.netweather.tv/forum/5-the-netweather-guides/ some good info and knowledge to get you up to speed.
Corbyn - Winter Warning Of Exceptional Uk Cold And Snow
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
Odd, I have the December forecast too, and I can see five (being generous in his favour, it could be two depending on how you read it) days between the 1st and 26th December where snow is not forecast to fall somewhere in the UK, a considerable amount of heavy snow too, uk wide. I think two forecast days where strong winds, gales or stormy winds aren't mentioned and a total of 5 days where temperatures are average or above average, the rest are below average. With respect to his forecast copyright statements, I'll not mention this weeks forecast in detail, but it's not happening.
And Xmas mildness is not part of the WeatherAction forecast.