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John Snow

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Everything posted by John Snow

  1. John Snow
    Met office says no but you can never say never
  2. John Snow
    I am not optimistic for the Croydon area with the snow being further north than expected
  3. John Snow
    Need Yamkin to pop up, know there is going to be snow in the region when he gets excited
  4. John Snow
    Think I am a little too far south to get much out of this but got elevation so never know
  5. John Snow
    pOne of the experts yesterday, think it was TEITS said that there is a lot less planes in the air Christmas day, in some areas 30% less flights so there is less data
  6. John Snow
    Xmas day models should be ignored because of the lack of data If these 12z charts are showing the same thing in 2 or 3 days then worry, not now
  7. John Snow
    So much negativity today Christmas Day charts are probably lacking some data so should be taken at face value Tomorrow and Saturday huge swathes of the country are going to get a whiteout, something that never happened at all last winter With SSW to come soon there is pllenty of reasons to be cheerful
  8. John Snow
    That would be good for the UK as there would probably be one or more battleground events for the UK as the Atlantic tries to force its way through the block, battleground events with stalling fronts tend to produce copious amounts of snow
  9. John Snow
    Thanks, will be worth logging in between drinks and food to check the models then
  10. John Snow
    Off topic but will the met office be working on Xmas day? or do no models and forecasts and warnings come out?
  11. John Snow
    .....(edited)
  12. John Snow
    Maybe I have had too much mulled wine but I think there is a good chance of a Thames streamer on Sunday, winds are forecast to be E/NE and that is perfect conditions for a Thames streamer when you combine it with -8 uppers
  13. John Snow
    Having seen literally no snow since Jan 13 I would bank 1cm mate tbh But I think Saturday into Sunday looks good, the low pressure should give us some back edge snow then Sunday we have persistent showers in a NE/E wind, I have high hopes. But happy with any sort of snow
  14. John Snow
    Anything above 3" in my neck of the woods brings the area to a standstill, so while life goes on in say Derby down in London everything super dupere down, and I think from what I have read and my gut instinct South Eastern hills (North and South downs) should have 4" to 6" of lying snow come Monday morning
  15. John Snow
    Looks like deep snow in the SE by Sunday night, from an IMBY point of view these charts are perfect, with the prospect of a full blown easterly in FI the good times are starting
  16. John Snow
    Looks like the razor blades can be put under lock and key again, some exciting times ahead A very snowy weekend if (when) the GFS (P) verifies and then various models showing some excitement from the east Game on
  17. John Snow
    Impossible not to look past the GFS(P) tbh It was the first model that detected the storm of the 27th and it has been stable and consistent, the ECM has flip flopped and dithered, The UKMO has shown one thing one day something else the next, if I was a betting man I would say odds of GFS (P) being the winner here are odds on
  18. John Snow
    The weather will do what it wants to do,I have seen things go pear shaped hours before the event! so no point falling out over things
  19. John Snow
    I think the GFS (P) is the one that should be taken the most seriously It has stuck to its guns throughout with the great Storm of the 27th and while other models have flip flopped or played catch up the GFS (P) has stood firm, brilliant model
  20. John Snow
    Showing my ignorance here but who or what is DET?
  21. John Snow
    lIt shows heavy snow sweeping the country between 156 and 174hrs with blizzard conditions, bank
  22. John Snow
    I would happily sacrifice next Saturday for a sustained period of cold/very cold in the new year with lots of snow, the ECM looks the most promising for medium to long term sustained cold and snow
  23. John Snow
    True but it is on its own compared with the other models If ECM calls it right I will take back every bad word i have ever said about it
  24. John Snow
    ECM is better for sustained cold but it has programmed next weekends winter storm blizzard totally wrong The other models have it in the North Sea, the ECM has it off the North west coast of Scotland
  25. John Snow
    Think the ECM can be binned ECM v every other model at 168 It is either going to be a hero or zero, safe bet that it's a zero
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