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Phantom2

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    Model Banter, Moans and Ramps Winter 2013/14

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    If ever I saw a post that was contradictory in it's very nature it is this one.

     

    If you feel that way about the models then why bother coming to post on this site, why not sit back, have a cup of coffee and watch the weather forecast on TV.

    winter ''WILL ARRIVE'' when you least expect it ??

     

    If you're so sure maybe you can tell me when that will be ??? 2017 maybe ??

     

    EML ..your belief in the models is misguided for sure, perhaps you can give me an example of when they were correct at a week or more away ? ..nothing contradictory about my post, I say it how it is, they can show a trend and that is all ..and I've just finished my cup of coffee thanks !

    Model Banter, Moans and Ramps Winter 2013/14

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    As stated in a previous post I pay most attention to the Met Office and Ian. It tempers expectations. The Met have done a fantastic job this year. I used to get dragged in by fantastic F1 charts, the media and some over the top posts on here but not anymore. Anyway back to the models and it still looks a cold chilly week with some wintry showers for the lucky some. It will feel colder than it has done for most of the Winter so far Posted Image

     

    I agree PG, In my opinion it does look like we are in for some "colder" weather but certainly no "beast from the East" ..oh and BTW it's FI "Fantasy Island" not F1 which is a race involving cars !

    • Like 2

    Model Banter, Moans and Ramps Winter 2013/14

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    given overall model performance this season, most forecasts 4/7 days will be/have been "utter tosh" tbh. With only small exceptions.

     

    The "models" are "utter tosh" and why we/us try to forecast the weather a week away by looking at them is beyond belief ..in my 5 years of watching them they are hardly ever right at that distance so why we get so excited at what "they show" really baffles me ..trends, that's all they are good for so sit back, have a a cup of coffee and Winter will arrive when you least expect it, not when the models say it it will !

    • Like 6
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