londonblizzard
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Posts posted by londonblizzard
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Moderate snow in NE london right now. Attempting to settle with bigger flakes but having a hard time
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Surprising how much snow is expected considering how bad the uppers are forecast to be, with positive surface temps and dew points too. Someone more knowledgable will be able to explain...
Reminds me a bit of the unexpected snow on 10th Dec 2017 in that respect, except that wasn't even really forecasted. -
Looks like the only difference between met office's yellow and amber warning zones is the 'likelihood'. Both have same 'impact' and talk of 1 - 3 cm widely and up to 5 - 10 cm in places. So theres a chance even south of london could come off well.
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1 minute ago, Mark said:
I thought that. The precip type view on the radar doesn't give a good view of the intensity
now it's over me. pure rain
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Actually a little intensification of the precip north of london over the home counties as it's making its way down towards London. For londoners, could the timing of temperatures also lowering poooossibly favour some of this turning to snow by the time it gets to us? ramp over
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33 minutes ago, General Cluster said:
Looking good. Netweather has the most visually readable GEFS ensembles graph, but when are they going to start showing the full 30-set not just 20?- 2
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Can confirm there was some snizzle not long ago here in north east london
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15 November VS 15 March. Which date would people say on average has a better chance of getting some reasonable snow?
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Late reply, but was trying to recall this event and stumbled across this post. Just to add, I was in Junior school at the time in Walthamstow (NE London) and was probably the most impressive snowfall of my entire childhood. Very similar timeline in my memory - snow started falling on my way in to school at about 8.30 in the morning and then soon became a thick white-out (I remember not being able to see anything else other than snow looking outside the window), stopping some time in the afternoon. I remember a still wind....? and the depth building to about 15 - 16 cm. Still to this day i'm not sure I have seen such thick snowfall in London, although I haven't been sure if my recollection of this as a kid has exaggerated the severity. Maybe you have some insight about how this one compares to some others @danm? Certainly it would be February 2009 until I saw anything similar again (all TfL buses cancelled lol), and not sure it's been repeated properly since then? Despite the extremity of the 2010 cold spells and March 2018, London itself (at least zone 4 inwards) never really got anything upwards of 8 - 10 cm.
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looks like london itself will be getting some thunderstorms very soon, even if it misses out from the main storms further west
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Assuming the main scattering of thunderstorms over the channel now continues in the same trajectory, east sussex, mid and western side of kent ,and eastern side of london looks to be in the firing line
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1 minute ago, NTC said:
Yes but it was the same in 2003 blaming the cloud, cloud is inevitable part of reaching such temperatures like thunder and lightning, the UK rarely gets the prefect day in such a scenario it will always generate instability. Forever now it will be 2003 and 2019 if it wasn't for the cloud.... what if... blah blah blah, it didn't happen because it wasn't meant to.
Fair enough. We'll just have to wait for the absolute perfect scenario then i guess (which i accept is possible may never happen)
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I don't want to sound naive but surely it's simple - We saw 38 degree temps today when cloud was a factor. If the cloud stayed off then it probably would have got to 39 and possibly 40. Hence those kind of numbers are not impossible for the UK.
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Did the Arpege not correct back down to more like 38 in its more recent output?
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South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards
in Regional
Posted
Gonna need bigger flakes to get anything resembling an even dusting or covering at this temperature