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Posts posted by Dancerwithwings
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2 hours ago, Midlands Ice Age said:
Yep, some stormy weather around in the last 24 hrs.
Although it has now turned a bit less mild in the last couple of hours.
This morning (and this pm so far) was very showery with the occasional heavy burst.
Today's total so far is 8.6mms and my monthly total now exceeds 100 mms yet again during this year, at 102.9mms.
The water table level starting to get vey high., and we can expect flooding if we do not get a break soon.
We need some snow and ice to avoid flooding.!!
MIA
Agreed…today it hammered down on several occasions….
Summer’s day Lmao
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On 25/12/2023 at 10:08, Midlands Ice Age said:
Despite the still mild weather , I wish you all a VERY Happy Christmas and a healthy New Year.
(Also plenty of the special white stuff to fill our lands!!!)
MIA
Sorry for the mega delayed response, family times was me MIA
Merry Christmas and hopefully this January will bring prosperity regarding snowy delights…
But let’s all of us have a great new year, that’s the main thing
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21 minutes ago, Methuselah said:
Faith, hope and charity!
It’s Christmas Eve….in whats going on in the world right now
That says it all….very well said
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A very festive late into the 12z GFS run is definitely showing promise
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3 minutes ago, Don said:
Exactly and I also joked that September would be the warmest on record!!
Well, that smash the current January 1916 record by 2C!
My 4.6C is only the 30-yr avg twice (v2.0), 1985-2014, 1986-2015….we’ll see
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3 minutes ago, Don said:
I hope I haven't gone and cursed it and 9.6C ends up being close to the mark!!
You had better get those marshmallows in good time, as a precaution!!
I’m for one and for excitement and extremes, if I was - 9.6C I’d be happy
but for now I’ll stick with my 4.6C atm Don
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25 minutes ago, Don said:
Hope you haven't got that the wrong way round for the CET?!
Lol 9.6C If that was the case Don, I’m sure we’d have an Icelandic fissure North to South within the CET….I’ll supply the marshmallows
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I must say Paul, since you’ve done the cleanup, it’s been absolutely
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9 minutes ago, swfc said:
Yep. No change for meter
The 06z 0.25 is working though
Meteociel.fr - Modèle GFS pour le Royaume-Uni/Irlande, résolution 0.25 degré
WWW.METEOCIEL.FR
Météociel propose le modèle GFS à maille moyenne (0.25 degrés) jusqu'à 384h (16 jours). Cartes de prévision des précipitations, des orages, de la neige, du vent, des températures à tous les... -
5 minutes ago, Kasim Awan said:
Down for maintenance.
Halfway through a run ….how dare they
It’s back up and running
edit …it’s off again
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21 minutes ago, swfc said:
Metiociel not loading gfs?
Le serveur semble surchargé !
which reads *server seems overloaded*- 2
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1 minute ago, Polar Maritime said:
Would you like to add a little more meat to bones ?
Spec savers
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Just now, Don said:
Yep, early days (like winter!) as they say!
Lmao …”Like Winter” to get that right it’s 72h
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10 minutes ago, Don said:
Thinking my 5.4C guess 'could' be on shaky ground!
My 4.9c is… well at least we’ve got another 11 guesses to get it right Don
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GFS Pub/Christmas run is giggling, let’s see what it’ll bring us
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2 minutes ago, Arctic Hare said:
The flood barriers are up in Bewdley, but I think we'll just about avoid them being needed in anger. Another really wet week ahead and we'd be in trouble, though, and the ground is so sodden that it won't take much to bring the levels back up. As I've said ad nauseam this autumn, a dry winter is my number one weather desire this time around. It's a bigger deal than the temperature for me.
Agreed AH….it must be horrendous in looking at foreseeable EWP forecasts
Cold conditions most of the time brings HP….well most of the time
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9 minutes ago, WYorksWeather said:
The GFS ensemble shows, unsurprisingly of course, that the OP is almost at the bottom of the ensemble as we move into the phase where it shows proper cold. The mean is still likely to give us a more seasonal feel to Christmas and at least not raging mild south-westerlies, but it's not looking that impressive at the moment. Still outside the reliable though and a lot of scatter.
I'm off out this evening but will do another update with the ECM ensemble and possibly the GFS 18z. The OP runs can only tell us so much - we really want to see more ensembles going colder in the next few days for a White Christmas.
Agreed, it’s not a raging Southerner atm, but It’s always the case regarding a scattering after 7 days….so plenty of runs to go as yet….but for now there’s plenty of ups and downs to come methinks
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GEFS perp no4 is just WOW forget my stocking, I’ll give my kids presents for this
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22 minutes ago, Dancerwithwings said:
The Christmas Eve GEFS is ready to drop snowy delights
You can have my stocking, orange and nuts if this lands
edit, instead of the pub run, can we call it the Christmas run 18z
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Midlands regional discussion - Winter 23/24
in Midlands Weather Discussion
Posted
PM that’s just Brill….I still remember the weather was 401 etc