Deep Snow please
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Posts posted by Deep Snow please
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7 minutes ago, dodgeredee said:
Is that lonely little shower showing on the radar just to the east of Isle of Man for real? It's been stationary over the Irish sea since 10:30 this morning? Imagine if that was over your house on land....I think it's a radar malfunction.
It's anaprop, no matter what direction the showers are coming from there's normally a bit of anprop around that spot. Set itself up behind a streamer last Tuesday which was a bit annoying.
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31 minutes ago, Wardlegacy said:
We have a light flurry of snow at the moment which is always nice to see
Not on the radar at all, is the front even further north than the radar has it?
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18 minutes ago, Jason M said:
Alongside Buchan, 1947 and 1963 we will presumable now have March 2018 cited when things look desperate
Why when we've got March 2013 to cite?
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47 minutes ago, ALL ABOARD said:
Was just about to post.
Steady as she goes.
Very Interesting, wouldn't be surprised to see Amber warning area increase.
Does this change the track of the low later in the day?
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16 minutes ago, Chris harry said:
the wind is blowing from the south at the moment so is it possible that this could head towards manchester
I don't think so it's predicted to head SE at some point.
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2 minutes ago, Mokidugway said:
On plane back guess it's cold
It's boiling.
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Just now, Astral Goat Juice said:
Didn't happen to see any snow in June/July did you ?
No but there's another mini-ice age around the turn of the century.
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8 minutes ago, Astral Goat Juice said:
Tomorrow? That's for 4th Feb.
Albeit Man Airport going for a few snow showers tomorrow.
Sorry, my TARDIS has got a bit glitchy lately.
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2 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:
00z ECM a cold outlier around t192
Dammit. So the hunt continues.
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33 minutes ago, Sky Full said:
Looking beyond today's event towards the 'end of winter' the CFS is throwing up a whole series of humdinger charts with the emphasis very much on repeated easterlies:
These are all cold or very cold charts for the UK. This is looking into the far reaches of FI its true, but the pattern keeps showing up almost every week and if even one of those charts verifies there will be some very happy people in here! The CFS is meant to look for trends I believe, and it is certainly pushing this trend today.... Will we end up with a repeat of March 2018? Too soon to know for sure but there is something in the air....
Images clipped for sanity of readers.
Has anyone actually done an analysis of CFS "trends" and whether they even remotely seem to indicate anything approaching a accurate forecast, especially in volatile situations such as this? In essence, is there any reason to be hopeful more than hope from CFS patterns?
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Still in the game tomorrow:
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15 minutes ago, cheshire snow said:
Just seen a tweet saying GFS is closest of all models at 9am
Now then how far North Has the GFS been going??
Just saying...
C.S
Had it in up to Blackpool in a couple of runs but think it back to well south of the Cheshire gap eventually. Birmingham on it's last runs. Going to be a painful day watching another round of areas get 10-15cm of snow.
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6 minutes ago, captaincroc said:Shows there is still wiggle room.
no use to us.
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Decent amount of shower activity setting up in the North Sea, which could help us once the low inevitably clears to our south
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1 minute ago, blackrum said:
As far as I can see they haven’t even made it into N.I. It’s been right on the SW boarder of Co.Fermanagh since 7am but hasn’t moved up to any real degree..
Maybe it’s a dummy run for a hard boarder?
Literally just creeped over the border into some fields near Eniskellen. Some frontal showers out in the Irish Sea pushing in as well. Needs to push a bit more solidly northwards though to do anything for us.
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1 minute ago, captaincroc said:
Cool. Just check the Euro4 9am chart and the band is even further north than that forecast,
Not quite far enough north. IMBY. Although you lot deserve some snow.
3 minutes ago, captaincroc said:The band is definitely further north than Arpege has got for 9am? #Straws but better than being further south.
The heaviest sections of precipitation look further south than initially forecast though, within that. So we might get some snow but the areas that were predicted to get pasted will still get pasted (South of the Watford gap).
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9 minutes ago, Ramp said:
I seem to recall somebody saying that Thursdays event needs the precipitation to reach Northern Ireland to bring us into the game.
Well, it has reached Northern Ireland.
Only just, the frontal showers are in NI, I think that poster referred to the main band. The heaviest precipitation is still going to be in the far south anyway.
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Is that a different weather front to the one we are interesting in over Southern Ireland at the minute?
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Forget a foot of snow, there'll be a few foot of water if some of tonight's charts come off...
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2 minutes ago, winterof79 said:
Probably correct south
Knowing our luck it'll end up over France and the Scandi high will push it there using the UK.
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Just for Fun. Given we all know lows correct southwards by now, this should get us to the freezer.
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2 minutes ago, frosty ground said:
Some disruption at long last.So close to the run we're all looking though. Given how easily these lines can shift a few hundred miles as they get close this is seriously promising.
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5 minutes ago, booferking said:
Settled Rain for more than half the country.
Just a weeny bit wet and tad windy this run.
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Not that i put much stock in these but we're out of the warning area.
North West Regional Discussion 30 Jan 2019 onwards
in Regional
Posted
Definitely moving NE ever so slightly.