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Deep Snow please

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Posts posted by Deep Snow please

  1. 1 minute ago, Kasim Awan said:

    Yes, because of the pivot. The Wizard Inn @ Alderly Edge came up top with 11cm, pivot & elevation there.

    Elevation will be more significant in the AM if the precip is more scattered in nature which prevents steady evaporative cooling. It's likely more organized precip locally will force the snowline down to low levels. The track looks to be a middle ground > west over the Dales before dropping south over Gtr Mcr. 

    Will be able to nowcast at about 11pm

     

     

     

    Presumably anyone who still has lying snow from yesterday to has more chance of snow tomorrow am, with the cooling effect. 

  2. Just now, cheshire snow said:

    ECM keeps wednesday front along the M4 south

    Q mass hysteria in the SE thread (mod thread)

    C.S

    I wouldn't be so excited if I was them, there was one of these that corrected so far south it pasted the channel islands and north of france a while back.

     

    Anyone - question one is do these get all the way across or die a death.

     

     

     

    q1.PNG

  3. 2 minutes ago, captaincroc said:

    I'm guessing we will soon start to see tonight's feature appearing on the radar. Kasim - which I have to say is a a top poster in here! - I'm sure will keep us in check in it's progression. 

    Selfishly I'm in Keswick so was the Euro4 projection as it looks like we will get some flakes at least. Will be nice to walk the lake tomorrow with a covering. Either way, good luck people.

    Already quite a bit of shower activity, will be interesting to see if the hills kill it before it gets to us or not. 

  4. What result would leave you genuinely satisfied from a snow event, I'm finding it becomes more and more the more snow I see.

     

    5cm from an afternoon of moderate to heavy snow is certainly a good event to start the winter off with, although it's already beginning to thaw away quite significantly with patches of grass reappearing. But I can't help but feel I'll only be truly satisfied with a 30cm fall in 24 hours. Like there's some snow seeking part of me that will never be truly satisfied without biblical accumulations. 

  5. MetO going for cold and very cold through January. You can write off the cold spell now then.

     

    Saturday 2 Jan - Monday 11 Jan

    Mixed conditions are likely during the beginning of this period. It will be dry at times, more so in the west, with intervals of rain, sleet and snow more likely affecting northern and eastern coastal areas. Significant accumulations of snow are likely to be over higher ground, but there is also a chance of snow falling down to lower-level areas inland. There is a possibility of drier and more settled conditions developing during this period, primarily across northern parts of the UK, and across areas in the west near the end of the period. At times it will be windy, particularly in western parts at first. Temperatures are likely to be low, feeling cold or even very cold, bringing a risk of frost, ice, and freezing fog.

    Monday 11 Jan - Monday 25 Jan

    Cold or rather cold conditions are generally likely to continue during this period, with a risk of wintry hazards. At times conditions will generally be settled for parts of the north, and possibly extending to western areas too. There are currently no indications of exceptionally cold conditions occurring anywhere; however, some harsh frosts are likely over areas with snow cover. As we approach the end of January, it is likely that colder-than-average conditions will generally persist through the country. However, it is possible for some areas to see milder wetter and windier spells, but less frequently than usual.

  6. 3 minutes ago, Wynter said:

    I'm sorry, were you complaining about the models or the people posting in the model thread?

    I'm sure, with your extensive experience of this forum, know the difference between the two. And which of the two is allowed and which one isn't!

     

    I was complaining about neither, if you're actually reading my posts. Must have me confused with someone else. I was moaning about media coverage of the weather and responding to people pretending Lancashire was somehow now in the midlands.

     

    Also you're allowed to criticise general nuttiness of the model thread, you just can't criticise individual posters. There's nothing wrong with criticising the entire thread yo-yoing between two similarly mediocre runs. 

  7. 1 minute ago, Updated_Weather said:

    Same thing.

    I mean it's FI not FL, so it's clearly one rather than the other.

     

    Might post was more to clarify the time period of Fantasy Island as you'd seemed to neglect bother telling a new model watcher the most crucial piece of information regards to Fantasy Island, when it actually covers in the model runs. (Days 7 to 10+) 

  8. 2 minutes ago, Updated_Weather said:

    A few reasons.

    don’t want to put there neck on the line because things change.

    it’s in FI (fantasy Land)

    & it’s not certain yet.

    FI - Fantasy Island - not fantasy land. Or to more answer the person you're responding to, well outside of the reliable timeframe for the models. 

     

    Essentially for anything after Day 7 - you're looking at patterns and trends across models rather than concrete events. 

  9. 1 hour ago, Wynter said:

    I see this thread has turned into the "Parler" to the mod threads "Twitter". Thanks for ruining what this thread is supposed to be about.

    Thank god someone had the good sense to create the cold thread.

     

    I've been here long enough to remember when Moans, Ramps and Banter threads started - they were set up for exactly that purpose to remove the dross from the main models thread, they were originally called model moans, ramps and banter. I don't know what purpose you're attributing to them, but there existence is a legacy from when model watching had it's own specialist sub forum and had these threads alongside the daily model threads to cut down on non-model related cack in the model threads. 

     

  10. 4 minutes ago, xSnow said:

    To be honest it really doesn't really matter whether or not a snow event is reported on the news. I don't doubt that snow events are more frequently reported when they occur in London, but I wouldn't consider this to be a topic that needs reporting - unless it is widespread and causes notable disruption across large swathes of the country. As for the snowfall itself, it was further west than forecasted which meant that many areas in the Midlands did not receive any notable snowfall.

    I mean local news shows it did cause widespread disruption. But our roads don't matter to national media - even if they are key nationally significant motorways.

    And it does matter whether it's reported in the news, because it's an indication of a general southern bias in the news - it's not like this just applies to snow events - this is just the event that matters here as we're on a weather forum. If the national media and government are serious about levelling up coverage, accurately reporting snow events is the first step. Then they might accurately report the per person stabbing rate in Manchester or Birmingham, against the per person stabbing rate in London rather than bleating on about London knife crime over and over again... 

     

    If they can't seize an opportunity to get the basics right like this snow event, we're not going to see any change. 

     

     
    WWW.LANCS.LIVE

    Incidents on the M6, Grane Road, as well as delays on the M65 and incidents in Blackburn and Accrington this evening

     

  11. 7 minutes ago, Mark88 said:

    Last night's snow was the biggest in this area since 2010. A very memorable event - we don't all live up mountains oooop norfff you know - yesterday delivered memorable snow for most of Merseyside, Cheshire and low elevation Grt Manchester too where this is a rare thing/ Hopefully more areas get in on the snow at some point but let's not patronise or throw our toys out the pram because it didn't snow in the SE - the mad thread is already the safe space for that

     

    It's okay, if it didn't snow in Stevenage it can't possibly be a snow event.... 

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