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Stephen_Mcr

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Everything posted by Stephen_Mcr

  1. Stephen_Mcr
    Not going to happen I'm afraid looking at the latest output. Nothing suggests snow at the moment... As mentioned earlier, several boxes remain unticked. Unless your ambiguous statement includes any of the highest parts of the NW that may see a few flakes mixed in with rain or washed away instantly.... I'd get the mach 3 prepped
  2. Stephen_Mcr
    Can't see that temp changing enough for snow here - This is shaping up to be like Saturday with regards to huge variations across the region, but in my opinion far more marginal for snow.
  3. Stephen_Mcr
    Freezing rain for Manchester.
  4. Stephen_Mcr
    Don't get too excited... don't want you slitting your wrists again like you did on Saturday
  5. Stephen_Mcr
    Soundings and upper temps sugest this'll be a rain/freezing rain event even for here thats fits into the Meto snow risk map
  6. Stephen_Mcr
    From the comments earlier I'm obviously on my own here but I think the meto warning has been spot on today.
  7. Stephen_Mcr
    Just been out in South Manc - was really bad before, icy slushy mess after the sleet/rain - but the layer of snow has actually made it easier to walk on for now.... imagine it being really bad in the morning with temps set to hover around 0. Such a marginal event with literally a few miles separating the white stuff - interesting period of weather if not entirely great for snow fans.
  8. Stephen_Mcr
    http://www.raintoday.co.uk/ has gone to precip type on the feee radar for now
  9. Stephen_Mcr
    Huh? Given the marginal conditions, the met office have got it spot on so far.....
  10. Stephen_Mcr
    Nothing falling here at the moment... :blink:
  11. Stephen_Mcr
    Mainly snow, but I'm sure I can see rain or snizzle mixed in... maybe I'm being paranoid lol.
  12. Stephen_Mcr
    Huge flakes now like bubbles/soap! not sure if that's good or a precursor to wet snow/sleet.....
  13. Stephen_Mcr
    This really is slow moving but starting to pick up now - using a combination of radar and M60 traffic cams to see whats coming as I'm in the middle of the M60 ring road Keep going to the window to inspect for wet snow/rain mixed in but good so far.
  14. Stephen_Mcr
    Radar supports the same volume as elsewhere that's seeing heavy PPN but very light snow here blowing in the wind, nothing to show for it so far.... in Didsbury South Manchester
  15. Stephen_Mcr
    Given the latest charts, I'm more hopeful than this time yesterday for something.... so where has all the ramping gone??
  16. Stephen_Mcr
    Huge temp gradients across the region midday Sunday, but again a significant upgrade compared to the data the existing forecasts are based on, and the earlier run of this model.
  17. Stephen_Mcr
    Check out the snow accumulation 12z run vs 18z run for the same period....
  18. Stephen_Mcr
    It's using GFS that's a few runs old.... complete nonsense for situations like this. The NAE is a huge upgrade so far for the NW!
  19. Stephen_Mcr
    NAE 18z looking better so far..... Temps lower, DPs lower, PPN as snow to the coast tomorrow evening compared to the 12z
  20. Stephen_Mcr
    Don't think snow is in doubt away from the coast - it's whether it turns to rain, the amount of PPN and if it'll wash away any snow - definitely a nowcast event.... Although the amount of change in the 12z NAE was encouraging. Question for anyone that knows - in a battleground scenario like tomorrow, is the thickness that indicative of whether it'll snow given the cold vs mild air and undercutting going on etc?
  21. Stephen_Mcr
    Can't see where people are seeing meto changes for the amber warnings. It's in the same place as it was when I checked at lunchtime.
  22. Stephen_Mcr
    Decent NAE for here, Temps and DPs staying at or below freezing up to Sunday - PPN charts now slighty better it appears for less rain.
  23. Stephen_Mcr
    I think any lying snow could survive into next week looking at the temps but only if it stops before the temps rise for any PPN will fall as rain. Hopefully we'll get a dumping and then it'll stop... but thats probably best case for here now (with a bit of hope-casting thrown in too)
  24. Stephen_Mcr
    This!
  25. Stephen_Mcr
    Step backwards on the 18z GFS so far - 850s are a little warmer and the PPN charts have turned to rain over NW England by Saturday night.
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