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Heisenberg

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    Storm & Convective Discussion - 02/07/15 Onward - Heat & Plumes

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    Estofex already issuing a Level 2 for just South of the Uk is a good thing, could be some intense Supercells over NE France and Benelux, what tends to happen with these is they create their own cold pools aloft which promotes MCS Initiation, now if that can be in a favourable position eg stretch across to the Brest Peninsula then expect a North moving MCS To affect us overnight Friday into Saturday morning, I am pretty sure when Estofex update tonight the Day 1 for Friday will include a Level 1 over the Uk for said MCS Moving North at the end of that forecast period (eg tomorrow evening)

     

    So its all dependant on what happens in Froggieland tomorrow! Keep an eye on the radar around 4-6pm tomorrow I would suggest

    Thanks Paul, bloody french, holding on to our storms. They cant run a port, and now they wont let the storms go....

    • Like 5
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    Model Output Discussion - 23rd Jan - 12z onwards

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    I dont post on here often but Can I ask a genuine quesiton?

     

    I respect Ian F and any other forecaster pro or not who has more knowledge than I do. But why on earth is everyone going nuts becuase he and the Met think that this will break down in mid Feb when that is 2 weeks away and no one, Not the pro's, not the semi pros or anyone else can really say this WILL happen in mid Feb.

     

    We arent even sure whats going to happen in 3 days time let alone 2 weeks....There are so many possible evolutions no one can tell me they know this will happen...

    • Like 38

    Southeast England and East Anglia - Weather Chat

    in Regional

    Posted

    It stayed well below freezing here in Milton Keynes all morning, we had a heavy frost but no snow....on the plus side the local high school hasn't closed due to heavy snow which was predicted by the local radio station last week so Master D's education hasn't suffered at all ........

     

     

    attachicon.gifboob-chat.jpg

     

    Hehe....brilliant.

     

    Not expecting much in Hatfield tonight.....Im always up for a surprise tho

    North American Weather (U.S.A & Canada)

    in Weather Around The World

    Posted

    I'm not sure where you got that from as MV doesn't say it. Sticking to what he does indicate and that is a probability of warmer than average temps in Florida for the period. Any further detail at this range is out of the question.

     

    You may be lucky because at the moment the temps are way below average.

    Just looking at those maps? What does the Orange blob going over Florida represent?

    North American Weather (U.S.A & Canada)

    in Weather Around The World

    Posted · Edited by No Time like Snow Time

    Hi guys can someone who knows how to look at this help me. I am off to Orlando in 3 weeks from the 14th December. To  my untrained eye it looks like a warm sub tropical airmass is being pushed down from the mid states by the advancing cold into Florida just at the right time for me. is this right?

     

    http://www.wsi.com/blog/energy/sub-seasonal-u-s-temperature-outlook-through-mid-december/

     

    I also assume its going mean warmer but wetter weather? If so what temps could be expected?? Please help thanks

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