weirpig

become very cloudy now in Wolverhampton espicially to the west and still warm at 27.4

Yes. It seem to be growing in size as it makes its way. Met office warnings exclude most of Wales i believe

Just looking at the radar again and there is quite a big mass heading towards wales was that forecast?. because in the next hour or so Wales could experience quite a bit of rainfall.

Yep ive noticed that. certainly warm here temps of 26.3 with a DP of 17.1 all seems good at the moment.

developments off the south of ireland approaching wales seem very potent very humid and muggy here at the moment

What! West midlands does well for snow and thunder compared to other parts. El Brumo etc i have also seen snow every year for the past 10 years.

Wow brilliant can you also please give me a quick peep into how the winter will pan out Ta

Great my wife thinks I mad waiting up to see a storm. Now I'm waiting up for a forecast of a storm . Jezz weirdo alert

Mmm we shall see. I wasn't expecting a severe to be issued . However shows the potential. Interesting day tomorrow

Hopefully there is one half a mile from here

Is it out yet? It won't let me see it on weather online

Hirlam also goes for an early south east to south midlands downpour then a more organised area of precipitation spreading from South Wales across the midlands toward the north east . Interesting

Taking a quick look at some of the HI Res charts there is still some quite big differences between them (as to be expected) below are a quick sample of said charts. Hirlam goes initially for a south east event edging into the midlands were as at the same time the arpege takes the main band sightly more North and West giving the midlands and east anglia more in the way of rain. Later on in the day hirlam gives most rain to the midlands ,northern england, towards the north east whilst the arpege takes it more towards yorkshire. Then again we could get nothing clear as mud.

Yep following on from Karls post here are a quick selection of charts for Thursday. Of course this is the GFS and only one run so caveats apply however. some interest for sure with high Dew points things could potentially go bang

Yep and as you stated Junes 30mb was indeed negative. all ticking along quite nicely.

Ahh yeas sorry the 20mb level which sits at just -207 after only at two months of going negative at 10Hpan surely that must be a good sign. infact i cant see another year which has the same intesity propagating down at that timeframe.

looking at the table above if im reading it correctly it does show a strong easterly qbo at 30Hpan after only 2 months of a easterly being recorded at 10hPan is this a good sign?. or am i reading the chart totally ockerd.

How strange and just over the border we have hardly had any rain dribs and drabs and very gloomy

The atlantic certainly is becoming cooler infact the North Atlantic Cooling Has Plunged Below 1950s (And 1800s) Levels – And Scientists Project More Cooling

Still 27.1c here with a dp of 21 Very humid and warm. I'm sure some will see some storms surely?

Just hit dp of 20 here in dudley currently 29.7c Expect to reach over 30c in the next hour . Then?? Who knows

Interesting as it stands midlands north could be in for quite an event. Of course it could all change but the ingredients are there

Latest gfs again shows potential. But will it go boom?

I remember the storm in the summer of 1999 by far the best I've seen tornados galore

I've seen worse potential