[Model output discussion 25th Jan onwards]

from what i can see the low on the latest gfs is even deeper. Got a feeling the uk and ireland could be swept away into france at this rate 

[The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 14/1/14 21z ------>]

yep was snow flurries here as well,  however clear now and quite cold.  Might get a slight covering tonight.

[The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 14/1/14 21z ------>]

i think most of the midlands should see a flake or two tonight . Could be the second time this winter i see snow, which compared to some poor folk is excellent.

[The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 14/1/14 21z ------>]

more rumbles of thunder  rain turning to sleet  

[The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 14/1/14 21z ------>]

wow what a storm road covered white with hale 

[Model Banter, Moans and Ramps Winter 2013/14]

This winter is like pulling teeth. Thats it, feel better now.

Yeah your right its been a disapointing and  depressing winter thus far. However we were due a mild and possibly snow less winter  and i doubt next year will be as bad. I think the term grin and bear it springs to mind there is always next year and the year after.

[Model Output Discussion 19th January 2014-18z onwards.]

18z pub run off to an atrocious start

 

yep some severe damage if that came off.

[Model Output Discussion 19th January 2014-18z onwards.]

North westerly setting up at t216

 

 

Colder air pushing into the NW Scotland so potential for showers to turn wintry here

 

just look how cold that atlantic is. is that normal for this time of year?

[Model Output Discussion 19th January 2014-18z onwards.]

No, quite rightly he didn't. He's my mentor and I can 100% assure you he's very much across the if/maybe's next week. But we are nowhere near going that far ahead yet in our on-air forecasts... nowhere near.

Thank you has most of us thought  everything still up in the air for the next week , never mind the next few months. i just find all scenarios being played out by the models  fascinating.

[Model Output Discussion 19th January 2014-18z onwards.]

John hammond just saying on BBC that it looks like Mild will win out with wet and windy weather fronts moving in from the west GREAT.

do people actually read any of the thread before posting. we all know atlantic will over power the block  its after thats up for much debate.

[Model Output Discussion 19th January 2014-18z onwards.]

Just a quick question from a novice, If and when we get a period of westerlies could this still result in potential snow fall?  I understand that the uppers would have to be lower than if the air was sourced from europe   but is it possible or would the atlantic modify the temps to much?.

[The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/12/2013----->]

stopped here now, good while it lasted  seems height is a deciding factor  friend in kingswinford said it was only rain there

[The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/12/2013----->]

really surprised by the amount of snow thats falling  top of cars and windscreens turning white

[The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/12/2013----->]

Lol we still have some slushy snow out there, sad git that I am I've just collected another handful and put it in the freezer so I have a sample of winter 13/14 snow

yep same here although got quite alot collecting on the grass. lovely surprise and still throwing it down

[Model Output Discussion 1st January 2014-06z onwards.]

Are you for serious its only up to 42hrs!

no gem is actually  out delays any cold air

[Model Output Discussion 1st January 2014-06z onwards.]

The control run will do me fine

Mean at days 7/8

Looks solid enough

yep the control is looking a peach of a run

[Model Output Discussion 1st January 2014-06z onwards.]

When do the 18z ensembles come out?

now up to 144

[Model Output Discussion 1st January 2014-06z onwards.]

In regards to the ecm, can anyone tell me were i could find the pricipitation charts please?

[The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/12/2013----->]

clear skies and cold  car windscreen frozen

[The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 26/10/13 16z----->]

yep as most people have said  snow wont ne an issue but will certainly look nice ,   ice moreso  espically for first thing in the morning,

[Possible severe Atlantic storms over the Christmas period]

Indeed. Winds of that strength shouldn't cause too many problems however, then again they are cutting across land. LOADS to keep an eye on!

 

fs193.png Maybe even close to 60mph in gusts. 

looking at that image you have posted  it to does point towards wind gusts in excess of 60 mph across parts of the midlands  quite noteworthy in these parts.

[Model Output Discussion 17th Dec.2013-12z onwards.]

NAE 18Z still going for a decent hit for NW England and Yorkshire tomorrow.

Interesting!

yep and wales and parts of the midlands however short lived

[Possible severe Atlantic storms over the Christmas period]

latest gfs  keeps the theme going for wild weather christmas and boxing day  showing a 945  low 

[Model Output Discussion 4th Dec.2013-12z onwards.]

gfs-0-138.png

 

that looks scary now@ t138

 

snow in hi res too

 

gfs-2-138.png

 

really interesting stuff to talk about up to the festive season that's for sure.

yep wait for the express headlines

[Model Output Discussion 4th Dec.2013-12z onwards.]

wow the gfs really cranks up that atlantic low