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m1chaels

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Everything posted by m1chaels

  1. m1chaels
    7.0 for me please
  2. m1chaels
    Is the red 'N' squiggle freezing rain?
  3. m1chaels
    This is an idea I have given some thought to and come up with the following: 1) Clever financial stuff - such a project will make money in the cold years/periods and not the mild ones. Lots of other businesses it is the other way around, cold weather = more expense with heating, gritting roads etc. It would be useful for these other companies to hedge their risks so they can be certain of their costs rather than them varying year by year hence there is a potential 'win-win' 2) WE are in the East so possibly different but some periods we get cold but not snow so snowmaking sounds like a possible here this is obviously subject to temperatures and dew points but presumably cooling the water is likely to help and this will therefore generate spare heat which is obviously of value to other users so the installation should ideally be combined with another application where the spare heat (on a cold winters night) would be of value.
  4. m1chaels
    Still got pretty much full cover in St Albans with 2+ inches in the shade. Can anyone post the NAEs/NMMs for this evenings 'event'? I know yesterday they were suggesting up to 6 hours of light snow from about 18:00 before the heavy rain arrives...
  5. m1chaels
    Pretty snowing in SW1 - is this the dregs of yesterdays system or will a proper Thames/East coast streamer set up with preciptation all day? What are the models forecasting for wind speeds?
  6. m1chaels
    We went there (Dunstable Downs) Saturday a week ago and caught the last of the snow for sledging before the overnight rain washed it all away, wasn't expecting snow again so soon. There were drifts about 18 inches deep on the road by the visitor centre. Looks like St A may pick up the heavy blob (shower) behind the thin band. Not expecting anything to lie but #icyroads danger tomorrow morning by the looks of things.
  7. m1chaels
    I guess not too many people are about but ... Despite nothing last night except a little rain we still have just enough snow to take the kids for their promised sledging today. However I am thinking of doing a longer trip up to Dunstable downs. Does anyone know if there is still enough pretty snow up their to make the trip worthwhile and if there is a suitable sledging spot? Thanks
  8. m1chaels
    NAE 06z still showing snow and lots of precipitation....
  9. m1chaels
    Whereas the 00z nae is still showing it as all snow but having cleared by 0600
  10. m1chaels
    Definitely take that over the 18z gfs
  11. m1chaels
    Thanks for this informative post but a couple of comments. The paths of improvement appear constant at first glance but more recently appear to follow a pattern of sharp increases then levelling off (even falling). Could this be because the models are ignoring some 'external factors' (possible examples ocean currents, polar ice libido, solar activity) which actually impact on the atmospheric physics' in a manner that means that over time a model optimised against a steady state background will decline in accuracy? When looking at model accuracy is this assessed over the globe or hemisphere as a whole? In which case a model that verifies well at this macro level might still show a lower level of accuracy or even a specific bias for individual regions (such as the UK)? (Mods please feel free to move to the correct thread)
  12. m1chaels
    So we are 36 hours from a Nationwide snow event. It is great to see the details of the latest model runs being discussed with such enthusiasm. Any thoughts on how active Friday nights front will be. Will the fact it is an occlusion help the precipitation remain as snow?
  13. m1chaels
    In the SE thread they are getting very excited - there is a prediction of 7 inches for Bucks...
  14. m1chaels
    What are the NAE and NMM saying about tonight for the region? Thanks
  15. m1chaels
    So what is the next 'event' scheduled?!
  16. m1chaels
    Went out for a drive, all but main roads really are very slippery with very long stopping distances even from 5mph. Still Virginia snow on drive made very chalky noise so proper powder. :-)
  17. m1chaels
    What are the nae and nmm suggesting re snow depths today?
  18. m1chaels
    All the radars seem to show Herts area less intense than nearby to N and S but with a sharp cut off - I think this is an artefact of the radar system. If you look closely you can see that we have the same pattern of heavy/light as to the N and S just ours is all one shade lighter.
  19. m1chaels
    I was wondering from the radar if it had started to rotate anti-clockwise - may be wishful thinking but if it does the back of the band may be what we see to the South rather than the west...
  20. m1chaels
    Raintoday not working - any other radars suggested?
  21. m1chaels
    Did snow for a couple of hours in central London on Monday but didn't lie.
  22. m1chaels
    Hopefully not going too far off topic. I would pay £100 to see a decent fall of snow and a week of cold temperatures but after that I suspect I would have had enough of disrupted trains, supermarkets low on food and petrol stations running out. Hopefully the utilities would remain on otherwise it would be unpleasant very quickly. Then again I have worked a few ski seasons so have experienced months of cold and snow already.
  23. m1chaels
    Does no one else on here pay the gas bill. I am happy with a winter that has one or 2 cold snaps and at least one good covering of snow - dry, bone-chilling cold doesn't do it for me. Before Friday are we looking for any unexpected events, obviously there are the showers in the far east but sometimes previously when there has been cold unexpected snowfall events have materialised with only 12 hours notice - anything on the horizon?
  24. m1chaels
    Central London has snow from the first bit but it seems the front is rotating now so rather than moving SE it is moving E so we (In St Albans) are going to get the more southern part of the precipitation band (which contains the warm sector?) rather than the heavier section which is going to N Cambs and north. Not sure how this plays out for the 'wrap-arround' overnight.
  25. m1chaels
    If you want snow check out www.montgenevre.com - french italian border, already been open for last 2 weekends and major dumping this week prior to full opening this weekend.
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