Aaron
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Posts posted by Aaron
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It looks to me GFS 00z has downgraded the precipitation a fair amount ...
Slightly, but there is little scope for downgrades or upgrades now. Still looks good to me.
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Coming down nicely here, settling instantly on all surfaces.
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Rain shadow looks limited, with the PPN forming on the eastern side.
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GFS 12z looks alright to me with hours of mod-heavy snow, the front does appear to struggle at first but has no problem moving east eventually, W York's looks alright IMO.
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I'm not expecting an amber warning here, possibly further SW. I think people are getting far too giddy.
Me two, wish they would hurry up
I think the time it's taking them to update just shows the uncertainty they must have!
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I can understand Adam's frustration, NAE 00z was stinking, 06z not so much. GFS looks great, but in tthese situations I put more faith in NAE. Experience tells me to be disappointed, features like this really struggle against blocks, but they find it easy to make it herein the summer.I'm still hopeful, I just wish NAE in particular would sop changing so frequently.
PS sorry for typos, android 'keyboard' is garbage.
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Permission to get excited?! The forecasts look gold to me,and it is nice to see Gfs on boars.
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Moderate snow, not really settled on pavements but has made an effort.
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thats what im on about though cheese rice, tonights 18z dropped the front a bit further south, yet the met are sticking with it being further north or east or north.its far to early to tell , yet the folk in the south are jumping to conclusions or the gun like its going to be nailed on . there is still a load of runs between now and the weekend . what im best amazed at really anyway is the synoptics and the time of year even to be discussing outcomes of a very cold period and the so called north atlantic jet stream taking a vacation to the southern atlantic jet stream lol . we should all be thinking about mowing the lawn by now...and opening our windows, not a bloody prayer!!
in fact ive just booked my hens in at the dentists for a check up ... how rare is that lol ... then im taking them out for a boob job !!
It's desperation on their part - only recent runs have trended south, and who is to say that the trend will continue throughout the week? But I expected as much, typical 'southern correction' nonsense. These people are making the model thread insufferable.
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If you're sick of spring here, spare a thought for those in Norway.. I think the person in this video has a death wish!
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Goody, what time is it exptected on our land? probably early hours when I'm asleep!! we always seem to get snow at nighttime not fair!
After midnight he said.
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Did anyone see Paul Hudson's forecast? I missed it...............
Looks good, he mentioned a few cm to lower levels and showed widespread snow instead of a rain/snow mix.
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The Met Office have those lovely heavy snow icons for Leeds between 0300 and 0600.
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NAE has picked up on that small feature now, but I'm on mobile and on my belated lunch break so I'm not going to post it! Warnings have been released too I see.
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Looks like,an area of precip from the Benelux side of the North Sea may affect our area over the next 24hrs or so.
Yes, GFS has been showing that feature for a while now.
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The snowfall of last night/this morning was not forecast until the very last minute, even NAE only began showing heavy snow for West and North Yorkshire just a few hours before the actual event, and the Met Office didn't release warnings until the snow started falling here. Nothing is set in stone!
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A great winter overall, with a maximum depth of 25 cm, similar to December 2010, and 14 consecutive days of snow cover in January. The highlight of the cold spell was the 25th of January when 14/15cm fell.
So what do people make of this winter then?? To me it's been another typical poor one with the insults of the channel islands getting 30cm+ and narrowly missing out on any decent snowfalls. Hopefully 2013/14 will be much better!
I don't think snow depths were ever confirmed for the Channel Islands, in such scenarios drifting makes it extremely hard to get an accurate measurement. I think they're far more likely to get a true blizzard than anywhere in low level England anyway due to susceptibility to moisture-laden low pressure systems which rarely deliver this far north.
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Sleet, with periods of snow. Trying very, very hard to turn. Bleak.
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A winter wonderland this morning.
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seroiusly though, am i missing something?
why is the front moving N/NW? forecast is for it to be coming from the NE down across all of Yorkshire. Is the wind going to change overnight?
I believe this is the area of precipitation that will track over us in the early hours of tomorrow..
That is what the Met Office indicate, anyway.
3am tomorrow
4am
It should reach Sheffield after 6 am if the Met Office projections are to be trusted.
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Think we'll have to wait until the early hours for the heavier precipitation to arrive here, but we've done alright so far.
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Settling on pavements now.
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Getting heavier again, car roofs are white, grass slowly turning white. More, please.
Yorkshire & Lincolnshire Regional Discussion 20/03/13 22z ------>
in Regional
Posted
Nice to see snow accumulating against my windows!
BBC weather is definitely an upgrade.