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Stormyking

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Posts posted by Stormyking

  1. It hasn't been tracking further and further east, if anything its been the same position for the last 4/5 runs, Looks as though a wave of Elevated Showers/Storms reaches the South Coast and South East coast in the Evening, Anywhere from the Isle of Wight Eastwards. Then the MCS area then moves up across the same areas, though where I am for the 2nd wave maybe a little too far west, but from Bognor Regis. I really dont think this is just a Kent clipper and in my opinion from what iv'e been seeing the majority of the South East is in with a very decent shout of seeing something. Still time for things to change with 24 hours to get even!

    • Like 1
  2. 7 hours ago, Supacell said:

    Just grabbed this from a quick scan of yesterdays footage :)

    vlcsnap-error331.png

    I love this, quality picture mate! 

     

    Been surprisingly a really quiet first half to the year down here on the Isle of Wight, the type of conditions and wind directions and other elements just haven't been right for these parts. However im not gonna as I know we have had our fair share over the years. And there is a long long way to go yet! 

    Really happy for those who are having a good year this year, even though im still jealous, I love tracking it all and enjoy reading all the reports :D 

    • Like 2
  3. 28 minutes ago, Harry said:

    This only shows precipitation remember - NMM MUCAPE projections are uninspiring so would not be too confident of much steric activity. 

    As I said too William in my last post, im taking this with a pinch of salt, I know there are alot more ingredients you need, ive checked all other things like MUCAPE , its okay but still time for improvements, wind shear could be quite important though i haven't that yet. id rather be chasing the mainland stuff to be fair :(

    • Like 2
  4. Just now, William Grimsley said:

    @Stormyking, that what I was trying to explain to @ajpoolshark. LOL. I do feel you're right there, Sunday Night does look interesting and it would be a nice treat after thunderstorm chasing all day. LOL. Imagine if that came to fruition! Thunderstorm hunger eliminated!

    The charts before didnt look that great for Monday morning, so I understood AJ's post as to why so was kinda with him on that one im afraid mate, but the latest run increases the potential for sure but im gonna take it with a pinch of salt as we have been here before and it ends in tears, still a few days away :) 

    • Like 3
  5. Latest 12z has got my interest suddenly for Sunday night into Monday, an area of Elevated showers/ storms develop in the channel and push up from the South East, its only 1 run but theres been a bit of a trend on something being picked up, still early days. Wasn't that interested in monday morning before but confidence has gone up a touch,  reminds me a little of June 2013

    As for the rest of the uk its looking like an interesting few days coming up

     

    Monday 00.gif

    Monday 03.gif

    Monday 06.gif

    Monday 09.gif

    Monday 12z.gif

    • Like 2
  6. Just now, Gordon Webb said:

    i know you were didn't mean to infer the opposite , i was actually be specific to your area around the evennig time you mentioned

    hope that clears up any confusion that my reply might have created

    Its cool dude, thing with this Evening, theres better inhibiton and the wind shear improves too, thats why i think if any storms/showers go up then will be better organised and individual rather than scattered and messy.

  7. 6 minutes ago, Gordon Webb said:

    that might be true of your location but not for everybody at least I'b be surprised if it were

    I was stating in general not just for the island, I didnt even mention the my area o.O

    6 minutes ago, ztam said:

    you think the island is in with a chance this evening Ryan..   Really hope so.... the folks on the isle of wight thunderstorm group are driving me nuts, messaging me when the next storm and going to be .. :p 

    I actually do mate, i think the island is in a decent spot, especially this evening when nocturnal cloud top cooling kicks in 

    • Like 2
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