[Model Output Discussion]

With reference by a couple of posters above to chart schedules and learning please go our Net Wx Guides area. A search through there will give the chart times, what and when, also loads of items that will help you understand some of the terms you see used, explanations of weather, synoptics, you name it and its probably there.

Well worth taking time out to read and perhaps bookmark at least some of them for future reference.

Welcome to those recently joined-I'm sure you will enjoy your time in here.

If you have any questions please ask-there will always be someone who can help.

Hi John and thank you for that, It is very useful and interesting and am already enjoying it in here and would love to become a common poster and get involved as my life is basically mostly weather :lol:

Hmm 18z defiantly looks warmer, from T+ 240 onwards shows some very nice temperatures by the look of it so fingers crossed.

[Unusually Dry For April]

Hmm, Yeh i thought April 2007 was drier infact i only remember it raining just the one day in April 2007 and that was from 1 light shower on the 26th of April I think

[Model Output Discussion]

Howdy.

Do not worry about it, I was also a bit of a beginner l when I first joined here, but I feel like I already know more about the weather and what the maps and models show, with still more to learn. You should find after time, that learning about various aspects of the weather becomes more and more straight forward, although I realise this will vary for people. And well done for taking the plunge; it is really great to have you here.

I think, I would say that this latest model update is indeed just a little colder than the previous update and the GFS appeared to have shown more of a truer Northerly wind for Sunday, though this becomes a bit tangly near the end of the day, with higher pressure trying to move more Eastwards (with higher millibar numbers), sort of upsetting the flow. Overall, a colder day for Sunday compared to the last update, but it looks like most of the showers/precipitation will be restricted to the North with very cold 850 hpa upper temperatures.

@ Stormyking: If I am being honest with you, I'm not particulary sure of the exact time when the models and maps update, but I think it is usually somewhere around 10:30pm to 11:30pm.

Okay thankyou for that , If i remember they used to coem out aroun 9:30ish in the winter i guess now 10:30 because of clocks going forward 1 hour.

[Model Output Discussion]

Hi stormking and all! been a floater through the last couple of years and been here in spirit through the ups and downs:drinks: anyway decided to take the plunge! so please be understanding while i get the hang of things. Also i am a novice with a little understanding of weather etc whilst hoping to learn more so a big thanks to everyone(the big hitters esp!) for all your oppinions. Let BATTLE COMMENSE

Hi Joggs and Welcome

I too have only started to try and join in with the model output discussions and have only jsut learned of what the charts means and how to understand things and i still know very little about about the weather compared to people on Net weather and I think this forum is Great to try and learn from and hope it helps me for the future.

Anyway does anyone know what time the 18z starts coming out is it 9:30pm or 10:30pm?

Thanks

[Todays Weather]

Right Today started of on a cloudy note and chillier than yesterday, this stayed till about 2pm ish and then the cloud started to break to leave some decent sunny spells and has felt quite pleasant in the sun but cooler than Yesterday.

Now we have pretty much got cloudless skies and some beutiful sunshine and the current Temperature is at 12.6c

[Model Output Discussion]

Hmm, In my opinion the 12z run looks colder than 06z, Im not sure what do other people think?

Though towards the end of the run like right at the end from T+ 288 on wards looks pretty warmish but not like 06z, this wil probably change again but I do think end of the month will warm up and am keeping positive :unsure:

[The No Storms Club 2010]

Hi ya StormyKing,

I do hope we get at least one storm this year I read an article this-morning saying it's going to be a really hot scorching Summer. August is going to be the hottest and we should be getting thunderstorms at the beginning of August.It will probably miss Glos though Lol.

Fingers crossed again for a good storm season this year

Hi Jane

I never read articles as they tend to say the same thing all the time about winter and summer, but I do reckon it will be a nice summer with plenty of Thunderstorms and i am sure Glos will get a storm so keep positive

[The No Storms Club 2010]

Thats okay Jane, I dont like seeing people left out, I have a few relatives that live in Gloucester.

I reckon you will get a storm this year, i have a good feeling that it will be a good storm year.

Will be Interesting to see how long people remain of the No Storms club and yeh 1 or 2 rumbles of thunder dosent really count as a storm so sorry to Tom i got mixed up .

Anyway thanks for the reply about whether 1 or 2 rumbles count or not :lol:

Good Luck

[Model Output Discussion]

At the risk of boring long time users of NW, stormy, following models in what some call FI range is not very productive comparing run to run. Its better, down to T+144 maybe T+168 to compare 12z with 12z or 00z with 00z etc!

Oh ok so basically I will start saying T+ . Thankyou for the tip if it was a tip to me lol.

Im still trying to learn all the basics and find it fun looking at each Model as there is so much to it.

[Model Output Discussion]

I know its in FI but to me it looks warmer and much different to 6z but of coarse it will probably change again.

[Todays Weather]

The past week has been absolutely beautiful and today is no different.

This easterly isn't even that bad the sun feels very warm and the actuall easterly breeze every now and then actually feels quite pleasent. There is some high cloud about and some small cumulus clouds about but and still a little breeze from the east but its very pleasant out there.

Current Temperature out there is a pleasant 15.4c

where i am we have had a Maximum temperature of 16.2c

In Newport centre of the Island it has reached a suprising 18.2c .

[Model Output Discussion]

Welcome Stormyking

I agree with Rob that there is nothing clear in FI at the moment, if you look at the ensembles the GFS Op run is always a outlier of warm or cold in the low resolution output. I think near the reliable timeframe though, a Northerly of sorts looks likely now, with the possibility of accumilations in the Scottish highlands and possibly for a time on low ground in Northern Scotland. Overnight frosts look possible anywhere next week. I do think IMO that HP will build in from the West/South West after the Northerly. With the jet continuing to be supressed southwards due to the -ve NAO, who knows what this summer will bring?

Thankyou for the welcome

The Northerly does look like at the moment, to be honest I have always had trouble understanding ensembles as there is loads of different lines and I don't really know what I am supposed to be looking at on ensembles, Im still learning alot

It will be Interesting to see what the 12z comes up with as it is bound to change again in FI.

[Model Output Discussion]

There is still 2 months or so before summer so anything can change before then so just trying to stay positive and hope we get a hot summer unless the people who prefer a cooler summer that's their opinion.

The 6z does look chilly but its one run and anything can change, I may only be 16 but I have started to understand more about weather charts etc.

Everyone knows that April is a funny month and the fact that its right between Winter and Summer so it will chop and change.

So keep positive everyone

[The No Storms Club 2010]

Hi Jane

I'm not part of the no storm club lol

I was just saying that to tom because I know him and have done for about 3 years.

Anyway I wish everyone good luck for 2010 and hope everyone sees a storm.

[The No Storms Club 2010]

Hello All!

Well im so far part of this club but as soon as i see a storm i will leave but will be intresting to see how long i last in here

Hi Tom

I swear you told me back in February that you had 1 or 2 rumbles of thunder, whether that counts as a storm im not sure :L.