Before this winter I hadn’t seen lying snow for two years so eight months of model watching and snow chasing for nothing.
I will take snow in any month
Still caution advised but the models are firmed up on at least two days of unseasonal cold. Remarkably well modelled by the Gfs in its strongest area, Greenland.
I fancy a clean sweep tonight for the start of this cold spell for the end of Easter weekend.
Whether this becomes historic remains to be seen but we’ll have a good idea by Thursday. Historic in April is not historic in January but we get what we get.
In normal circumstances you would dismiss the Gfs vs the Ecm but not with pressure around Greenland. This is a strong area for the GFS in a period of the year more conducive for high level blocking.