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Posts posted by Sprites
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roughly 100-200 J/kg....correct me people if I am wrong.
There is no minimum specific to the UK.
But generally its 100-200J/kg to produce a storm. In the UK we do not often get CAPE values higher than 1000J/kg because mother nature sucks.
Lets do it!
Even 50J/kg of can produce a storm if other conditions like shear,and moisture are favourable, although higher cape can result in more intense storms, with a breakable cap.
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Some parts of Europe may have had F5 tornadoes on rare ocassions, the U.S.A. gets the majority of this type of long-track violent tornadoe, but the recent outbreak was quite exceptional even in the U.S.A.
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Hi Guys n Gals,
I'm thinking scattered showers are going to affect parts of the south overnight in the next few hours just like last night, as for thunder, I need more expert opinion.
Looking good especially for southern/central france at the mo. and the flow towards the UK is ok but conditions probably aren't over condusive for us for anything thundery, or perhaps I'm wrong?
Always looking south.
Thundery Cheers
gottolovethisweather
Well a few rumbles of thunder are possible i guess, but i wouldnt wait up all night for it..
looks more thundery by next weekend, thats not certain atm..
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Beautiful red skies tonight.
Any idea how to make this picture smaller?
In the storm pics for April-May theres a link to picresize.com
am using phone atm, dont know how good that picresize is..
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In my experience the Midland is best for storms in a triangle from Milton Keynes to about Worcerster up to Birmingham.
I think a humdinger is just a slang term for a proper big storm and has nothing to do with where its from.
I've seen a storm develop from nothing in less than half hour whilst chasing around East Yorkshire back in June 2006 but can't remember the date. Temps were up at 30c and there was something like 1500j/kg of cape.
lol i was joking at humdingers, maybe next weekend could be a humdinger producer ,its still quite early in the season though.
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true Brightin - I'm in Essex though
we used to get great imports - real humdingers in the middle of the night
not for quite a while now
eight thunder days here last year, in 1999 we had 32 ,but what is a humdinger? is it like type of continental storm?
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This is static electricity building weather, low humidity and windy, car doors ,or pets can give a static shock..
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When are we going to get a decent spell of wet weather here in the SE, looked on the charts looks like some drizzle mid week at that is it, must be one of the driest March, April on record. can anybody tell us why there are so many blocking highs, what has happened to the Gulf stream? Food prices will certainly go up if we continue with this dry theme. perhaps 1977 ( standpipes outside)
It makes a change to get weather from the east, im sure we will be wondering if there is any dry weather around in a few weeks lol, only 2.7mm here in April, and 11.8mm in March, its nice to see a lack of fronts rattling over the U.K. from the west
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Good luck down there but i dont think any 1 see any storms today
A small chance for southern counties, Lets be thankfull we dont live in alaska ,they have even fewer storms than Britain lol
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I'd be surprised if any one gets anything tonight, to be honest.. Look at what is pushing west off the south coast of England, if that made land fall it would be rather special, but it wont..
it may water the garden,but i think the lightning activity is further south than the english channel atm.
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Oh you are right sorry :blush:
If its meteocentre your looking at, the sferics on that site seem to be playing up recently..
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lol
Haha, yeah i only say this because i know from experience how easy it is to get caught up in the radar fetish, only to see the storms die at dusk or 50miles away from the U.K., if you want to keep aware of any storms creeping up on you in the night, leave a pocket radio on A.M. At low volume, any near strikes will wake you up ..
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Ive seen this kent clipper scenario,or residual rain from old storms dozens of times, the time to get excited is when a large MCS forms over northern France late evening and is heading north, or when fresh storms fire more locally, rather than watching the radar for about 10 hours lol.
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The storms yesterday were dependant on convection driven by the sun, hence no sun,no storms lol.
if a cold front had been moving through the southern U.K. last night or an occlusion,the storms may well have lasted alot longer.
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Glad you are ok mate, I'm a first aider, only because of sea cadets and I'm a member of Cardiff Yacht Club- I drive the safetyboat
Up untill i was 17yrs old i was quite scared of storms,then i became more fascinated than scared, but panick is even more scarey than the thing that made you scared ...
im surprised there are so many ppl in this thread atm ,as there isnt any storms lol
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The sferics have died down alot now, maybe ...th the the thats all folks! lol
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Dont know if the feature giving thunder to sussex Atm is an MCS,its getting large enough, its very early to get that type of storm system as an import, that type of system is more common from june-september in the U.K.
seems to be weakening a little in the last half-hour...
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I was looking at that line over Belgium too, will the cold sea not kill it as it crosses over from the Continent though?
Yes lol, id love to be wrong though!
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Could be interesting!
UKMO Meso has a more organised band of perhaps thundery rain hitting the south coast sometime late tonight!, however south east could still get a clipper Copyright@
Sun breaking through the haze with blue sky here much better than earlier
Looks as if IOW could be in the firing line later going by those storms coming through north east france, that's some development across europe though
hehe ,lets hope something holds together untill tonight, 5% chance id say...
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The storms over France could perform a kent clipper later, its fairly unusual to get clipped from E-S-E...
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As with Sprites, the disappointing lack of storms heading our way is tempered by the fact that it's unexpectedly warm and sunny here. 17.5oC at present and feeling warmer than that.
We cant always hog the storms in the S.E. lol , i dont mind sharing them with other storm fans
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Not expecting much here today,but after a forecast temperature of 15c ,its already 19c here, so good news for people further West!
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Storms firing up to my east
must be an early rising storm, or maybe it coudnt sleep because the adrenalin rush from the medias wedding fiasco, that has taken priority over famine,death.. or anything lol
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July is sometimes good for nocturnal storms lol, 1st May 2005 had some lively nocturnal storms
Convective Weather Discussion Uk
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
A kent clipper mmm, lets hope we get some of those cape figures imported, the high CAPE must be due to the size of France ,more land-mass to heat up..