Wivenswold
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Posts posted by Wivenswold
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Monday is usually a disappointment, but it's Monday's like these that make me thankful for working from home.
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Felt lovely in the sun for a few hours here in NE Essex. Now cloudy as instability increases.
If you want great winters, move north. If you want hot summer days and thunderstorms, move South.
Did someone actually say "Climate Change agenda"? Blimey, I'm looking forward to hearing the case against Climate Change rather than the one that's supported by over 99% of scientists in that field.-
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The cold seas at this time of the year can suck the life out of storms.
Heavy showers for all but the luckiest overnight. -
Dxnielwashere Yes, the intensity of the shower has eased in the latest image but still with a small hook. There was a warning of small-track tornadoes in that area so it all makes sense.
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AI's power is over-rated at the moment, give it another couple of years though and it might just be good enough.
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Really Gusty out here on the coast of The Peoples' Republic of Essex.
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A heads-up for commuters, Network Rail will have to run route-proving trains first thing to make sure the tracks are free from debris so there's likely to be some early trains that don't run even in less-effected areas like the East. If lines are clear then expect a 6:30 to 7am start or have a lie-in and avoid the disruption.
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4 minutes ago, Alderc 2.0 said:
It’s Blustery but I think an Amber warning is excessive - that obviously won’t be confirmed for 12hrs though.
I think there more nuance to it than just "how gusty will it be". You have to remember that as the worst of it is happening in the dark makes it more dangerous for drivers and because it's inevitable that trees will block some railway lines then the disruption element for the morning commute could be significant. Likewise anyone flying into the UK could suffer significant delays if they end up be diverted. Think in terms of the knock-on effect of what's happening out there.
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Once the fridge is at room temperature you can put bottles of stuff outside overnight while it's still a bit chilly. Colder than indoors anyway.
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Looks like Avanti West Coast and Scotrail are suspending train services shortly.
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19 minutes ago, Methuselah said:
I blame the small boats.
Rishi blames the small boats. The rest of us blame Rishi.
Only a matter of time before we have Storm Rishi, not sure whether that would be a windstorm or yet another political scandal. Or both.-
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Bournemouth v Liverpool at 16:30. Could be entertaining down there on the south coast, it's a blowy old ground at the best of times.
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2 minutes ago, matty40s said:
The first section of the Metoffice Blackpool warning view tells you to go down the beach and use an app if you get in trouble in the water or cut off!!
Well, you're more likely to avoid being hit by flying objects if you're bobbing about in the sea. Only recommended for very accomplished swimmers though.
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This isn't going to be a 1987-type event but from my experience from my railway days, it takes one weak tree to bring whole region's transport infrastructure to a standstill. It's just a bit more likely in the Amber warning area.
Likewise with the power grid. So prepare for the worst even if it turns out to be a non-event in your neck of the woods.
Conservatory Cam is doable but I think Big Jet TV on You Tube will be more interesting.-
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I'll be delighted if this storm finishes-off our rotten old conservatory.
@The Tall Weatherman You know what to do, start your own channel. There's money to be made from clicks.-
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It's going to be a good night to start a wheelie bin collection, if you're in need a new niche hobby.
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I'm finding the area of higher winds across the fens interesting, I'm assuming the lack of friction with hills is why it's forecast to be worse there.
It's a day for charging up devices if you're in a rural area that's prone to power cuts. I'm going to stay indoors with a crackling fire, Big Jet TV and my cat Ziggy who hates high winds and will be a needy but cuddly pest tonight.
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26 minutes ago, Donna3397 said:
I’m right on the SE coast and its not usual to have rough weather especially not wind but it’s been almost consistent this year. The severity has also seemed to of of changed this year as well. Most storms that have come through have been 60+ . My wash line has been up and down like a yo-yo
this year.
It does seem to be the bit of Kent that juts out into the Channel that gets the worst. My mate up the road from you says pretty much the same thing as you.
Fingers crossed you all stay damage-free down there today. -
1 hour ago, jright35 said:
This shows an upgrade in cold but the low going south. Dry and frosty in most parts if this comes off.
Pressure isn't that high and there will some very strong troughs forming bringing regular snow shows, admittedly not for everyone but I think it would blanket a fair amount of the North and Eastern sides of Britain.
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Monday's snow was widespread in the South despite marginal conditions and it being only being suggested as a South-east streamer in the models the night before.
And we're getting in a panic about 7 days time. This likely won't be resolved until we're in a Nowcast situation so the pessimists need to stop worrying and the optimists need to tone it down a bit.-
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Watching Big Jet TV or "Go Around TV" as it could be called.
There are plenty of strong gusts out there. This caught me out, as someone said above such a late naming and amber warning is a concern for us in the affected area.-
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I don't think "Snowflake" when used as an ad homonym is a generalised term for a specific generation. It's a phrase usually directed at groups or people who are assumed to be overly-sensitive because of their objection to a philosophy or because of a reaction to current affairs.
It gained popularity with supporters of so-called "Populist" movements during the last decade.
On a personal note I'm usually accused of being a "snowflake" when I express empathy towards the struggles of people with "protected characteristics". And for me there's no greater praise than being called a "Leftie Snowflake" but some people might find it frustrating or insulting.
Just look out for each other, yes?
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The 10 day modelling has been flip-flopping for days, glad I'm only checking once a day. The long range was suggesting an NAO going into December, the models are still struggling with Thursday so I really don't know why so many are getting into granular detail beyond that.
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2 minutes ago, Metwatch said:
2m temps of around freezing at 3PM across central England on the latest ICON, so any snow shouldn't have much of an issue settling!
In theory yes, but you need sub-zero dew points to ensure it settles everywhere other than on cold and untreated surfaces.
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Storms and Convective discussion - April 2024
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
Any action (and I'm not hopeful) will be in the eastern half of Kent and East Anglia tonight, it's the Southern counties' turn tomorrow.