knocker

April 2014 - joint third warmest in UK series behind only 2007 and 2011.

The Thirsty West: Where’s the Snow? http://www.slate.com/articles/technology/future_tense/2014/04/thirsty_west_california_s_meager_snowpack_will_exacerbate_a_dangerous_drought.html

Some serious temps forecast for parts of the SW in the next few days.

Well worth a listen Fascinating video of Roger Revelle discussing the 'carbon dioxide problem' in 1980 using chalk instead of powerpoint! http://climatescience.tv/2012/05/roger-revelle-in-1980/ …

http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2014/20140430_oceanacidification.html Climate change: Pacific Ocean acidity dissolving shells of key species http://www.mercurynews.com/science/ci_25664175/climate-change-pacific-ocean-acidity-dissolving-shells-key

Gavin Schmidt, supermodeller: the emergent patterns of climate change http://hot-topic.co.nz/gavin-schmidt-supermodeller-the-emergent-patterns-of-climate-change/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+co%2FRbRF+%28Hot+Topic%29

Just a snapshot looking at the GFS mean temp anomaly. Quite sriking the build up heat to the east and NE and yes I know it's in Alice land. Worth a quick glance at the 500mb pattern.

Turn the key and wait..................................... https://www.hcn.org/blogs/goat/joshua-trees-on-the-move

2014 SkS Weekly News Roundup #18A

Thick fog and sky obscured. Temp 9C Wind NE light Pressure 1020mb rising.

Pensacola got more rain last 3 days than Los Angeles in 2012, 2013 and 2014 (so far) combined: http://wapo.st/1fCn8Q5

For weather freaks - yesterday NYC's 10th wettest: New York Today: Waterlogged http://nyti.ms/1nLsSJD

I have posted about this in the north American weather thread where it attracted little interest, A bit surprising as it's an astonishing rainfall event. I've put this here because it's again the question of, not whether climate change was the cause, but did it make it more likely? The Calamitous Climate Responsible for Florida’s Record Rainfall http://www.slate.com/blogs/future_tense/2014/04/30/record_rains_and_extreme_weather_florida_s_floods_are_linked_to_climate.html

HotWhopper brightens up a rather dull day. And the illiterati are in excellent form. Bob Tisdale, the one-trick pony, rides again at WUWT

Looking at the ECM ens the 500mb anomaly is very similar to the GFS. The surface analysis is also not dissimilar if perhaps less grotty by the end of the week with the Azores high pushing a tad further north. It will be interesting to see which way they will jump by the weekend. Looking at the upper air I'm tending towards the pessimistic. But then what do I know.

That's a bit reactionary BFTV. It's tantamount to asking a Shaivite to shave.

As Pit has observed the weekend looks fine. Have attached the JOMEC fax charts. Make the most of it. The 00z GFS for Weds through Saturday. Can neatly be summed up by grotty becoming grottier. Await the optimism of the ECM with bated breath. On Friday the ens upper air has the AZ high dominating with cold air over Greenland giving a strong WSW flow over the UK Wednesday Azores high to the SW and a low south of Iceland bringing fresh NW and wet in Ireland and the south west. Thursday Similar set up but the low now north of Scotland with strengthening winds from the west and generally wet over most of the UK with troughs popping through. Friday Again a similar set up with a complex area of low pressure to the north and yet another wet day for most. Saturday What can I say. Strong westerly winds squashed between the pressure systems with a separate low in the North Sea with rain, heavy in places, for virtually all of the UK. Given this scenario the temps are a little irrelevant but suffice it to say fairly depressed, who wouldn’t be, except in the south.

We will have to stop meeting like this Pit.

Cloudy with Ci, Ac and Sc. Temp 10C Wind SW light Pressure 1010mb falling

What load of ********* they are. VIDEO: Heartland Institute's Joe Bast Reluctantly Stands by Denial of Cigarette Smoking Risks http://desmogblog.com/2014/04/30/video-heartland-institute-s-joe-bast-reluctantly-stands-denial-cigarette-smoking-risks

From @NWSMobile, Pensacola now has a new single-day rainfall record. Records begin in 1880. pic.twitter.com/O6aPZJlFPM

A very interesting read. Perspective on last night's "historic rainfall event" http://www.srh.noaa.gov/mob/?n=flashflood_04292014

http://robertscribbler.wordpress.com/2014/04/28/when-april-is-the-new-july-siberias-epic-wildfires-come-far-too-early/

Extreme Flooding in Alabama and Florida; 1 EF-4 and 5 EF-3 Tornadoes Rated http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=2673