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Everything posted by knocker
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Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
knocker replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Discussion is fine as long it does not morph into incessant repetition............ oh hang on -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
knocker replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Unlikely to be the coffee -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
knocker replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
In line with the displaced stv being over N. Europe at the end of this period although it should be noted the gfs does not follow. All to play for -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
knocker replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
February looks like turning into a grand month, so much so Sidney's offspring have been raiding the larder -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
knocker replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
The chasing cold thread is morphing seamlessly into a 'chase the SSW' thread. Where will it all end I ask myself. -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
knocker replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Interesting....this evening the gfs slips a trough running down the eastern flank of the amplifying ridge and phases it with the one to the SSW of the UK. This effectively splits the ridge and cuts off CAA at the pass Back to -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
knocker replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The 500mb charts with just the anomalies without the contour lines are about as useful as a chocolate fireguard imho -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
knocker replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Of course they not useless when it comes to the UK. They are designed to give a pretty good idea of the 500mb upper air pattern within which the detail of the det. runs should be operating. They are not meant to pick up daily variations, or as is frequently the case in here, six hourly ones. In a nutshell they are frequently misused. -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
knocker replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
It is quite noticeable that since the arrival of much more open access info on the web the number of self-appointed experts has risen exponentually -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
knocker replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
The continual changing of the geographical position of Scandinavia never ceases to amaze me It appears to move to wherever the high pressure is. -
I don't follow why the UKMO is relevant to the medium term solution as that rather depends of the movement of the tpv lobe moving into Greenalne post t156, resulting in a pumped up jet and amplification of the ridge north east across Europe. To my simple mind it is pinning down the energy flows around the subsequent Euro high and thus pinning down the detail is quite a headache and at this range and best treated with great caution Original post: https://community.netweather.tv/topic/98326-model-output-discussion-into-february/?do=findComment&comment=4799780
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Model Output Discussion - Into February
knocker replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I don't follow why the UKMO is relevant to the medium term solution as that rather depends of the movement of the tpv lobe moving into Greenalne post t156, resulting in a pumped up jet and amplification of the ridge north east across Europe. To my simple mind it is pinning down the energy flows around the subsequent Euro high and thus pinning down the detail is quite a headache and at this range and best treated with great caution -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
knocker replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Defibrillators are on standby -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
knocker replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
In the years I was a regular poster on this site this discussion cropped up at frequent intervals. I feel this would be pretty much resolved if the MOD thread was renamed to ,'chasing cold - winter 2022-23' which, when all is said and done, is the raison d'etre of the thread anyway -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
knocker replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
It is way past the time when 'Scandi High' should have been locked in the swear filter. -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
knocker replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I have been wondering if this is not a bad time to close the mod thread for a brief period to allow punters to regroup and gather their thoughts,,,,,,,,,,say five years for starters -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
knocker replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
At last some realistic reflection in the mod thread on the misuse of anomaly charts. Particularly applicable during the annual promotion of the 'Scandi High' accompanied by the usual mounting excitement and hysteria. -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
knocker replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
To paraphrase Mark Twain. The demise of the SPV has once again been greatly exaggerrated -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
knocker replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
The hills are alive to the sound of music -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
knocker replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Alarm bells have been ringing lately as one or two new cases of the ''Portuguese disease' have appeared. A beady needs to kept as it may well be a more contagious mutation -
Model Output Discussion - New Year and Beyond
knocker replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Your lucky I was the 'Resident Sarky Sod' but hey that was in another lifetime -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
knocker replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Sun spot is the pseudonym for red herring in here. -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
knocker replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
My humblest apologies but I'm persona non grata over there. Mind it is a stonker -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
knocker replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
After a quick run through the posts the quote that flashed through my mind was, "Other than that, how was the play, Mrs. Lincoln?". I know not why -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
knocker replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I have a feeling that the ec weeklies update in a minute will be a stonker