Another cold day here and it seems like some of the coldest temperatures of the spell may occur during the coming days. The breakdown will occur on Friday, there could be a snowfall to come with it but with the way that this cold spell has been, we can only be sure of what will happen until it actually arrives. Not an easy situation for forecasting beyond Friday. There could be some heavy rain and strong winds depending on the position and track of depressions, we may stay relatively cool with with the possibility of upper air temperatures below 0C but there should be at least a spell of much milder temperatures under the warm sector, especially during next week. We can't tell how mild, wet, windy it will be and nor can we tell what sort of synoptics we'll have in Europe and in other influential parts of the NH. I remain hopefull of HLB over Greenland into February and some of the signs are looking good but it could easily turn out differently. My current perspective on things, is that we'll enter a less cold and much changeable period from the weekend and for much of next week but it will be a tricky period as the synoptics re-adjust following the current pattern we are now in. The model outlook would consequently remain messy and variable for a while. But I believe that as time goes by we'll see the models toying with various evolutions as the northern hemispheric pattern corresponing with the SSW effects on the troposphere will become more established, and into February, if all goes well, we'll end up with a favourable set-up to HLB. It's all early days, but the potential is there for February. Personally, I'd love to see high pressure sat right over Greenland allowing for possibly a more significant and enjoyable cold spell than the current one - and if that were to happen, then it could be quite something. We are overdue a notably cold and snowy February and some of us are overdue another decent or significant snow event. There are no certainties, and we could still get something out of February without prolonged HLB. And luckily for us, our prospects for wintry weather extends well into Spring. But despite how frustrating this spell has been for a decent snowfall, I'm glad that this isn't the same sort of situation we would have been 6 years ago, with a decent snowfall already in the bag in early December, some decent cold spells aswell then it's all up to February delivering a snowfall to remember and enough cold temperatures to have a below average overall winter temperature.