FreezeManiac
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Posts posted by FreezeManiac
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Since andys getting some stick for slating how reliable the NAE precip type might be, anyone remember this
At +48 and +42 it showed snow over large areas of the midlands, the reality was snow was restricted to oxford southwards.
Its not always right, however this time i hope it is albeit having predicted things 30/40mile to far east
I remember that perfectly, metoffice were wrong, bbc forecasts were wrong and there you have it
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Sorry mate, wish I had better news.
You never know though. The models are not always correct. I've seen it before where sleet/icy rain is forecast and it has fallen as snow. It happened loads during that cold spell in Feb 2009.
Yea it'll be what it will be
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Okay, hour-by-hour forecast for Evesham according to the NMM:
Sat 16.00: light sleet (0.44mm)
Sat 17.00: moderate sleet (1.01mm)
Sat 18.00: moderate sleet (1.48mm)
Sat 19.00: heavy icy rain (2.53mm)
Sat 20.00: moderate icy rain (1.6mm)
Sat 21.00: moderate icy rain (1.8mm)
Sat 22.00: moderate icy rain (1.78mm)
Sat 23.00: moderate icy rain (0.86mm)
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TOTAL PRECIPITATION: 11.5mm
As you can see, looking very marginal where you are. Temps look a little too high to me, especially later on on Saturday. 2.4C by 11pm according to this model which is far too high. The best thing that could happen for you is it moving through a bit quicker. Otherwise I could see it being snow turning to rain.
Yea oh well
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Hi ST. The NMM shows moderate/heavy precipitation over your area for several hours on Saturday from 5pm though to around midnight. You would be looking at around 12cm IF it was snow all the way. However the model indicates it could fall as sleet. :wacko:
Any chance you could tell me about my location?
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I'm not as knowledgeable as many others, but I suspect that for Worcs it will be a snow-to-rain event. That said, it's so close that even your 115 m of altitude may make a noticeable difference.
Yea probs, I'm just into gloucestershire actually - if you look at gloucestershire I'm that little outcrop on the right of it = near Chipping Campden if you've heard of it
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Where would you say I am in the midlands? Likely to turn back to rain for me?
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I hope I'm not too far west - according to the metoffice I'm just in the amber zone
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You know that snowfall we were supposed to get on the 16th December 2011? NAE showed it as snow, so did the TV and GFS etc... All of it was rain so I don't know what to believe. I'll have to see the snow to believe it.
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I think I know what happened with that pub run tonight. When the GFS 18Z came back from the pub, it started to feel sick with all of the drinks it had. But when it was sick, it threw up blue liquid all over the 'UK Precipitation Type' charts for Western areas on Saturday night. This, I reckon, ended up covering up the pink on those charts the GFS was meant to show for us on Saturday night, and into Sunday morning. ;-)
I think one thing for sure, though, is that thanks to the invention of the window, and the street lights, it will indeed be one of those cases where we may have to stare at the sky to see what goodies the weather brings.
Yep, looking at the radar and out of the window is what I'll be doing
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I will laugh if I all I see is rain... At least give me 2cm of snow
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Steve murr quiet tonight, like his posts but wonder if its because he feels the snow wont reach Kent! good sign for midlands then?
0f course most likely out working etc
I have a feeling the cold is just too strong to allow the front to get that far south east surely?
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Yes, arrival is put back slightly and then it looks like it stalls right over us
Tonight's T+60 is the best Fax Chart I've seen in years!Love that fax chart
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I don't care if this doesn't come off, I just love the fact that GFS is showing what it is showing!
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Rain here, why can't it be snow
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Looks like we'll be seeing something within the next hour, but what it is remains to be seen - probably just rain down here in the town
After last night's affair, I expect to be rain -.-
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Any chance I'll see some snow tonight or am I too far south?
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Nothing here - went to bed at around midnight and we had sleet faling from about 11pm onwards. Got up this morning to nothing falling and no snow or even rain...
Same... So much for the amber warning by the metoffice -.-
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Is all the precipitation in Wales supposed to move south eastwards?
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Where can you get the dewpoint for your location?
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Wow suddenly stopped raining/sleeting here - what the hell? I must just be in a tiny gap of nothingness
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Snowing hard here on the top of the Lickeys, half cm on roof tiles, probably 1cm on grass. See attached message (i now have a cold finger from tracing that on the roof!)
Night all.
Good stuff
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80 metres ASL
Nice sounds good then
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Sleet turning to wet snow here now. 1.7c
What is Hereford's elevation?
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It has turned to sleet here now too, can see ice in the drops on my conservatory roof.
Close to your location and it keeps raining then sleeting then raining etc...
Tonight's T+60 is the best Fax Chart I've seen in years!
The Midlands Regional Discussion - Part 2
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
Lets hope it goes 'our' way this time then