[11th October General Weather Chat]

Thanks for that update Bobby. We're well above average for the month of October then! Just heavy downpours here for the rest of today with temps up to 16'c so quite nice out and about in the sun.

[11th October General Weather Chat]

5th consecutive day of thunderstorms for us on the south coast. 6mm of rain and the storm seemed to decay around us. Where in the country is most prone to thunderstorms? We seem to get our fair share near Winchester, a high proportion of those are imported from our French neighbours during summer. Love them apart from the early morning alarm call!

[OCTOBER PATTERN INDEX (OPI) MONITORING WINTER SEASON 2014-2015]

If the trend is correct and is -3.57 after 18 days and it is done on the calendar month 31 days it would have to push up to a stonking 4.95 for the remaining 13 days to bring the average out to zero.

Looking forward to seeing if this theory delivers a 2 month, (as a minimum!) colder than average winter.

Just a quick thanks to the usual suspects for their input, nice to see Steve back on form!

Clem

[Early winter hopes and chat]

That doesn't bode too well for us at the moment if that's correct with both the AO and the NAO being very negative at present and forecast to be so at least until mid month.