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Posts posted by ItNeverSnowsInWindsor
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4 hours ago, TillyS said:
That's not ‘unlucky’ It's the prevailing wind direction for the UK. It’s also what keeps Britain looking green and pleasant, without having to worry about running out of water. It’s a mild climate for its latitude and in a world of ever-rising temperatures we can be grateful that for the most part we are avoiding the extremes, for now.
People should perhaps either stop moaning about the plentiful rainfall or go and live somewhere else, if they can.
I don’t think we’re avoiding the extreme high temperatures anymore are we ?
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7 minutes ago, Norrance said:
Now just a very low chance of snow and ice in mid Feb. Sounds like a very boring mid lat high is favourite.
UK long range weather forecast
Saturday 27 Jan - Monday 5 Feb
A changeable theme with further spells of rain and showers at times, but also some drier and brighter interludes, is most likely to prevail through this forecast period. The heaviest and most frequent spells of rain will tend to be across western, especially northwestern areas where rain is likely to be heavy and persistent over hills. These are likely to be accompanied by periods of strong winds. Further south and east settled periods are likely to be more prevalent, with the best of any sunshine and drier weather here. Temperatures are expected to be widely milder than average overall, although this doesn't preclude shorter, colder spells at times, with a risk of overnight frost and fog accompanying more settled conditions, especially in the south.
Updated: 14:00 (UTC) on Mon 22 Jan 2024
Tuesday 6 Feb - Tuesday 20 Feb
Into early February there is a slightly increased likelihood of high pressure having greater influence on UK weather patterns. There is uncertainty in exactly where high pressure will become established but, regardless, this does increases the likelihood of drier conditions. There is also a greater than normal likelihood of winds from the north or east leading to an increased chance, compared to normal, of cold spells. Colder spells, with hazards such as snow and ice, are more likely towards mid-February, rather than earlier in the month, albeit still very low chance. Whilst a drier and colder scenario is most likely through this period, there remains a chance of milder interludes with spells of rain and strong winds, especially across the north.
Updated: 15:00 (UTC) on Mon 22 Jan 2024
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Just now, prolongedSnowLover said:This country is cursed for wintry weather (apart from Scotland obviously)
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12 minutes ago, Methuselah said:
And we had at least two good dumpings in February 1969; one from a polar low running down the East Coast and another from an easterly blizzard caused by a depression that came up from France.
I think we’re due a decent snow event down South here!!!
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Game over for winter 2023/24.
Not too bad for Scotland though!
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In pictures: Snow carpets much of England
WWW.BBC.CO.UK
It was sledging for some and disruption for others as many awoke to wintry scenes.
Did it heck ?#exaggeration
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6 minutes ago, KTtom said:
Yes the long fetch southwesterlies are notorious for rain 'streamers' the north west, especially Cumbria often sees flooding from these set ups.
Longer term as the month turns, something dryer on the cards as pressure builds from the south...could feel quite S*****like!
The models seem uber confident about the mild conditions setting up and staying.
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Looks like finishing above average now thanks to the mild weather coming from Saturday.
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Another huge January failure.
It’s like expecting a banger to pass its MOT each year. No chance.
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1 minute ago, Bogman said:
There’s always snow up north, and south will have the heat in the summer.
Tis as it always is.
The degree of heat is new in the South.
Never used to get above 35c before so easily.
The m0dern cl1m4te is pathetic.
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Another failed January.
PATHETIC.
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3 hours ago, Taylorthesnowman said:
I'll take it if it comes.better than nothing
Probably best to have more holidays in Scandinavia, the Alps or Canada going forward.
Can never fall for the endless ramping on MOD ever again.
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12 minutes ago, johncam said:
A poor set of ECM ens with the control one of the worst, this is the 360 chart
Looks like an early spring according to the control
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Absolutely zilch for the South as per usual
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The South of Britain truly is pathetic as far as snow is concerned.
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13 minutes ago, Ice Day said:
Well, that's a pretty awful bunch of 0z suites. I've scoured the lot looking for chinks of light, but there's pretty much nothing to get excited about beyond day 6. The good news is that we have a very cold and dry week coming up, and those lucky enough to live in the north of Scotland are going to see a lot of snow.
But, as the last week has shown, models can pick up a new signal and flip quickly, so let's hope the background drivers pick up on something new and deliver on the late January/February promise they've been hinting at.
Other than that, there's going to be some beautiful winter weather around, so get out and enjoy it. Charge your batteries for the next chase (don't pretend you won't be back!!).
At least all the roads can now reopen locally after the shocking flooding!
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Think the excessive use of ️ jinxed it for us
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Not good with the mention of milder weather and rain.
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The sharper the frosts the better.
Model banter and emotions
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
Game over with winter.