NickR
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Posts posted by NickR
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If this does continue to be such a poor affair, I think we need seriously to reevaluate our amateur-enthusiast dismissal of what forecasts show leading up to an event.
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1 minute ago, Frosty the Snowman said:
People's expectations are too high, those sort of events are once a decade if not rarer events.
Checks calendar 2 years 11 months - nope not a decade
People forgetting there was a million relatively lame easterlies like this one between 2010 and 2016 - and presumably beyond (I moved in 2016)
Not sure about that. Not with that kind of wind, but I can recall at least 1 really decent snow episode every 2 since 2009. Certainly better than this.
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21 minutes ago, Chris Smith said:
I'm new to cold spells in the North, having moved from East Anglia, where the typical North Sea experience is usually much like it is here today - lots of scattered cells, long spells of sunshine between, and plenty of soft hail as well as snow. It sounds like you folks who've lived here much longer than me were expecting something else?
Something like this from 2018:
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20 minutes ago, North East Blizzard said:
If you catch one, they are extremely heavy now
OK, so that's Consett in June. What about a winter one?
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2 minutes ago, Tucka20 said:
I've been negative from Saturday night. I want an honorary badge please? Knowing my luck i'll not get one, just something else i'll not get
You're already on the membership list. Card will have been sent out. As ever, you should assume the worst and that it has got lost in Belmont Postal Centre. It's all about accepting disappointment as the default of life.
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5 minutes ago, P-M said:
My turn to be negative now. So far today this has been rubbish. Not impressed at all after a decent start. I'm ready for the next spell or even better spring.
Showers either skirt passed me or die off before they hit land for my location. I'm literally bored with this now.
Your membership card is in the post.
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It's not happening for Durham, CLS, Sunderland areas I'm afraid.
Bit rubbish when places in Lancs are getting more snow from an Easterly than Durham. FGS.
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Can someone explain why everywhere from Teesside south has got really decent stuff, whereas from Teeside to North of Newc the sea looks completely different? (i.e., rubbish)
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Seems to be clumping south of us, but nothing in Durham of note.
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5 minutes ago, seabreeze86 said:
Your never pleased Nick
Winds going more northeast tomorrow always a better direction for us although still could be some big showers around today which may band together . We seem to be following Scotland just a few hours behind and looks what’s happening there
Yes, the usual me, lol. But, tbf, I'm also aware that some of us really didn't get lucky at all last night, so trying to to work out if we're all going to get some soon.
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EDIT: Because the N Sea isn't looking great right now near us.
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Morning. We got lucky with the showers in Durham. The wind is stripping a lot though.
Does anyone know whether we're due to have a packed N Sea like E'lies of bygone years at any point so that we all get a decent amount? The kind where a single big shower can lay an inch in no time?
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1 minute ago, Phil Blake said:
Ooo do we? Like proper flakes?
Back to graupel. :|
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Flakes. We finally have flakes.
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So many places to the south of us getting peppered!
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Still graupel. Any idea when it should change to proper stuff?
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I welcome all today's new members to my Club of Permanent Doom.
We don't have much fun; we don't hope for much; we don't do optimism.
That's it. There is no 'but'.
Badges sent in the post. But as they'll probably get lost, I wouldn't bother expecting them any time soon.
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1 minute ago, garylaverick said:
It's because the sea off the North East is still under the influence of the German low which is capping convection. The sea off Scotland is not under this influence. The low is slowly moving away...
What has happened that this state of affairs is lasting at least half a day if not whole 24 hours longer than many were predicting as recently as this morning, though?
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3 minutes ago, Northern Lurker said:
The APERGE & GEM 3 hour accumulated rainfall (snowfall) charts are encouraging for Mon afternoon through to Wed morning, APRRGE in particular shows a 24 hour streamer of decent intensity over the North East... a significant improvement from what it showed this morning!
Metcheck.com - GEM Pressure & Rainfall Charts - 6-144hr Forecast
WWW.METCHECK.COMMetcheck.com - GEM Pressure & Rainfall Charts - 6-240hr Forecast.So now it's Monday AFTERNOON?
I mean... :/
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1 minute ago, Tucka20 said:
I've been quiet today as I was told on Saturday night and this morning when I said it was disappointing and my luck wasn't in that I was being negative and it will come. Tomorrow will be the day. Well tomorrow may never come.
The original forecast was for heavy stuff Sat afternoon through to Monday with showers right through the week before a south westerly front hit on Thursday and dumped another few inches. Then it was Saturday night. Then Sunday morning. Then it was 'yeah this morning was always going to be quiet, wait till later'. Now it's showers Mon to Wed and dry after that.
If we get a good dumping over the next 48 hours I'll eat my hat, but I can see 2 or 3cm blowing in the wind as all we'll get sadly this week. The jury is out for the rest of this month but it looks to be cold with HP so no snow, but high gas bills.
Anyway, I blame myself. I bought a new sledge on Saturday morning for my little one.
I'm with you. Believe me, I desperately wanted my negativity to be proved unduly pessimistic, rather than realistic, but at the moment... :/
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Sorry but this is rubbish. There is actually less activity between the Northumberland streamer and the Teesside streamer (not that either of them are very good) than an hour ago.
I've noticed people keep pushing this back... now it's "nah, it was never due to get going until Monday". Sat pm... then Sunday... then Sunday evening/night... I'm spotting a pattern.
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Oh, look. In between the streamers. :|
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4 minutes ago, Jarrow Posh said:
That streamer is actually intensifying as it moves east to west across the country
It's official: the weather is trolling us. The streamers only intensify once they're past the newly-coined Stanhope Gap.
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5 minutes ago, seabreeze86 said:
It’s not then exact showers we are focusing on it’s the conditions that where there to make them. The instability will come its a matter of time
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Far north and northeast of England weather discussion
in Far Nth and NE of England Weather Discussion
Posted
I tend to be very wary when forecasters completely downplay an event. Since Saturday we've talked about the low, lack of troughs, high cloud... maybe they saw this and we didn't back on Friday/Saturday.