Adi F
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Posts posted by Adi F
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Isn't that called "looking at the weather", Adi.
Re: http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/77020-thunderstorm-potential-and-activity-for-wednesday-19th-into-thursday-20th-june-2013/?p=2719508 and the concluding sentence.My eyes are peeled on the encroaching mass in the SE quadrant although my area may be hard-pressed to get much from it I guess.
Ummm it is look at the weather, I failed lol
There are some tempory TAF,s issued for Thunderstorms & Thunderstorm Rain but they are all between 30 & 40% probability.
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High Level SIGWX for noon UTC
Not that exciting but embedded CB!
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Last time I went to Sussex it felt dark, creepy, and I had a compelling feeling to keep looking over my shoulder. I don't think was an excess of ozone, though ...
You had good reason too Sparkicle lol.
I am not going to look at the weather today
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I guess you can tell i dropped the subject haha, anyway tonight is so boring we are all squeaking up on our foreign languages instead of discussing storms, thats how boring our weather is
Погода - дерьмо
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Type in storm porn germany....Either way you may be in for a surprise
After being based in Germany for a number of years and knowing what goes on at the lakes during the summer I am not sure it would be much of a surprise
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Danke jungs, ich leibe whone in hamburg! Not sure if that makes sense but i did a bit of german in school but yeah i would love to live in hamburg!
I think you mean 'Danke jungs, ich würde gerne in Hamburg leben'
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Oh and German is Deutsch
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Does anyone that knows german know what i will have to search into youtube to find these storms tommorow?
Stürme is storm and Blitz is lightning
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The ridge of high pressure across the country needs to bugger off its just blocking all the interesting stuff.
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I am in Germany next month
Problem is I am at a trade show so will be indoors for ten hours a day and the storms will go else where as soon as I put a foot in country! -
With the divergence in the upper air there should be convergence at the surface giving some UUV. That can be seen on the Surface Observations so there is still hope.
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Looking at the 500hPa winds this is my prediction for , any thunderstorms which develop in the yellow zone look to travel across the channel but then turn back around. Any thunderstorms which develop in the orange zone (over France) will move in the directions shown (If they survive the channel of course!) Any places which develop to the west of the orange zone will miss the UK and head into the North Sea.
Orange area over the UK is also where I think places will have the best chance of seeing any thunderstorms if they do survive the channel.
Image is valid between 7:30pm to 3am, then after this time the winds steer less over the UK, so instead of a NW > NE movement of thunderstorms, it is a NW > ENE movement. (Hopefully that made sense!)
That's the way I see it.
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Lets hope things pep up once those cells cross the channel.
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Adi, you going up the hill tonight?
I am going to radar watch and make a decision if things kick off. But if it kicks off then I will be out somewhere so maybe lol.Are you out to play and what time do you have to be in by? Do I have your number? does it end with 235?
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All of the london airports going for storms on the latest METAR output
long-TAF: EGLL 191059Z 1912/2018 05006KT 9999 SCT026 PROB30 TEMPO 1915/1920 6000 -SHRA BECMG 1920/1923 8000 PROB30 TEMPO 2000/2011 4500 TSRA SHRA HZ BKN014 BECMG 2010/2013 19010KT 9999
They are only giving a probability of 30% at the stations they have issued TEMPO's at.
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I know it has been 8 to 10 years since i was on the forecast team but other then the lack of storms the principles of the weather have not changed that much to my knowledge. lol
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Yes this is true. From what I gather you need to look at the upper wind direction to determine where storms are going to be steered and not winds at the surface.
That was what I understood, Harry's answer to my post provoked my question. I think he is getting old.
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Had some CU pop up a couple of hours ago but they hit the cap and spread out now, no more blue sky here know.
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But wasn't this morning surface winds from the SE. Something was sending the MCS east up the channel. Wouldn't that be winds aloft? From my understanding winds aloft have the greater steering effect on storms than surface winds. .
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The winds aloft are starting to move around so they are coming from the SE, this morning it was coming from the SW.
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I want a storm as much as the next nutter!
Coast, I think nutter is the only thing you have got right this week!
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Cheers for that Coast...
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interesting..
Your looking in the wrong place mate...
Im talking about this one..
And looking at the animation on that map it wont miss you...
I have been watching that one but knowing my luck it will go to the west of the IofW!
Problem is I am at a trade show so will be indoors for ten hours a day and the storms will go else where as soon as I put a foot in country! 
I want a storm as much as the next nutter! 
Thunderstorm potential and activity for Wednesday 19th into Thursday 20th June 2013
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
In hindsight the low over Biscey was too small, too close and weak. it just dragged air from the Atlantic around to the UK. It needed to be larger, further away and slightly deeper to have been able to drag the heat if the Med Up to us. In conclusion the low was too close to us as seen yesterday by the storms in northern Germany.