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sclarke

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Everything posted by sclarke

  1. Out of interest, what was the setup prior to the huge snowfall in the hampshire area last December? I didn't follow that on here, so haven't got a clue what the models were saying then.
  2. All subject to alot of change, but IMO the further west you are the better chances we will have - as I think the models are pushing the front too far east at the mo, and we'll see this sort it's self out in the next couple of days. Saying that though, the entire situation is still extremely volitile, and I'm still confident that this will be a nowcasting event as it will chop and change before then.
  3. If it stays at it is, we're in the sweet spot for sure. Central Southern Britain is where it will be based on the output....but the front may still move slightly further west.
  4. I think that's the point! If I'm thinking of the right event, everything was setup like this time, but the front went too far west so there was no PPN.
  5. I'm kind of new to these forums, and model following in all honesty, but out of interest - what were the models showing a couple of Februaries ago? We had that insane snowfall event that caught a few by surprise. Alot of times in the little experience I have, these turn out to be now casting events rather than studying the charts days before as it's such a dynamic situation.
  6. Better than nothing! All we've had this year is double figure temperatures, damaging winds..... Snow for however long in is a bonus based on this winter so far! Probably snowed for about 1 hour continuous in Southampton, ground was wet so nothing laid.
  7. Well it's Raining in Southampton with a temp of 6 degrees, so I'd find that hard to believe!
  8. Yep exactly, i reckon we'll feel the force in some way. I'm actually not too far from you, I'm in the Nursling area which is the west side too. I'm hoping for snow more than anything though, last year around this time was amazing for this area - never seen anything like it since I've been here.
  9. Not sure we'll get anything in Southampton......anyone else have any thoughts on our chances? I'm thinking more of a rain/sleet event here.
  10. Hi peter....what part of soton are you in? I'm also in Southampton and have noticed the pressure dropping. I've always felt that we'd still get some pretty strong winds here as we're right on the coast. Not as strong as it could have been, but noticable IMO. The snow risk for us is there too looking at the latest output, but it is extremely marginal for us. More of a sleet event for the far south IMO.
  11. I still think exposed areas along the Solent and the South Coast could potentially take quite a hit, even if it tracks slightly further south. Anyway - these models have been chopping and changing for days now, I honestly don't think we’ll truly know what's going to happen until a good few hours before, it's very volatile.
  12. Current reading in Soton: Current: 988.0 mb 1-Hour Trend: Falling Rapidly 3-Hour Trend: Falling rapidly
  13. It's totally raging out there in Southampton. Lamp posts are swaying in the wind, bins are being blown over. Not much rain yet, just drizzle being blown around at great force.
  14. i'd keep and eye on the ''event'' coming in from the west for Monday, if our temps drop over the next few days due to the NE wind then it may push west enough to give us something to talk about.
  15. temps now dropping like a stone here Temp: -.0.1c Humidity: 84% Decreased 4% since last hour Humidex: -2.6°C Dew Point: -2.3°C I still don't think the Hampshire area will see anything from this low pushing from france, maybe the odd flurry but nothing more. (please prove me wrong!!!)
  16. sorry - didn't make that clear, yep i was refering to late into boxing day and into the bank holiday. on our local weather station site it's given us a 30% chance through to a 50% chance of snow during monday night into monday. Although i'm not sure how acurate that thing ever is.
  17. Not too sure, the models do show mild air coming in but it now looks like it isn't going to last for long, or even effect some areas of the UK. In fact boxing day looks absoloutley bitter at the moment with lots of PPN but we'll have to wait and see. Got a feeling we're going to see much more distruption before the winters out.
  18. Possibly is part of some system - posters on the south eastern thread seem to think so. They've tracked it's trajectory NE - hitting Southampton, Farnborough - Heathrow... etc Whether it hits land as snow though is another thing - temp is just bouncing between -0.4 / -0.2 at the mo (same with the DP) Possibly not long till it hits the west of the IOW (it's really growing in intensity, but looks to be pretty fast moving) - would be interesting to know if it hits you lot as snow or plain rain.
  19. got it... currently 0.4c and falling, Dew Point: 0.5°C and falling
  20. interestingly the temp has almost dropped below freezing here again, not quite...but it's been dropping steadily for the last 30mins (got up to +0.7) I have no idea wht the DP is here though as the weather station doesn't show that info, or i can't find it..!
  21. I must admit, it does seem to be pushing along the coast. This winter has been a total nowcast event, new fronts and streamers developing all of the time. Although the BBC have really got the last 3 days as bang on as they could. Really impressive forecasts tbh.
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