offerman

Isolated Frost Nice looking charts there but GFS doesn`t agree , gfs showing no real cold early days and any that show are to far out as been the case for weeks now. What are the most reliable charts on mean out of the lot of them?

Daniel WMD, Spot on bud.

Guy`s , I think the problem is all these cold runs keep getting pushed back, for the last 3 weeks many inc myself have been saying cold,snow on the way, but realistically it is to far out as is the case now, the previous deep cold would of hit us by now accoring to older charts but to many delays and uncertainty is happening, really we need to look at no more than 3 days out i reckon, any longer than that and its just pie in the sky. No matter how powerful computer are/get, they will NEVER predict the weather AIMHO of course.

Hi all, i cant quite see what most are looking at, i saw deep cold charts recently but every run i have view doesnt now have raw northeasterlies or northerlies but atlantic coming back in to the frame. Im a fan of cold weather and wish recent wonder charts were true but they seemed to have gone and next weeks later cold seems to have vanished. I hope they reignite and they might well do.

Big lesson, dont get to carried away with cold runs which i do as mild seems to be trying to get back in, cold not so likely as on some arlier runs but still possible.live in hope.

Still looking good so far for some cold mild battle weather next week which will most likely result in some snow coming later next week if not a olittle before to,maybe Tuesday.

Whats the chances of some rain turning to snow on the back edge of the low on Tuesday as winds swing northery? As long as heavy precipitaion comes from this i view the chances qujite good. the reason i say this is because a few weeks ago here in somerset the excat same thing happended where everyone expected rain but some cooler air suck in behind changing this to snow for a few hours, The pressure patter looks very similar to what happened then so could this be upgraded to a snow even on late Tuesday.?

It would actually be good if the uk were to drift North by about 300 Miles so us down south can get more of a share of the white stuff while still getting warmth in summer. 3 years before last were good in my region but many a year gone past when i remember snow from midlands northward and rain in the south, Or just continue weather patterns we had for 3 winters before last. latest charts are looking quite rosy overall with minor changes expected with each run.At leat we are within a week now on these charts for cold which will be much more reliably time frame albeit with some changes still possible but overall cold coming.

Weather Eater, yes, Ive been smack bang in the middle of it here in North East Somerset, A lot of rain through the night and a torrential deluge this .am for about 2 hours solid. Looks like more to come down here to Thursday and Saturday before the cold arrives. Near term Charts are looking good.

O/T...

Cold now starting to show right on the edge of 1 week period so at leat thats getting nearer as opposed to 2 weeks off which gfs was showing continously for about 2 weeks now but always at the end of the run which is not good enough. So some excitment possibly to come within a 1.5 week period? Lets see what countryfile say this coming Sunday.

Latest charts have us stuck under a huge low but Higher pressure over Scandi. Europe is quite warm at present so any easterly outbreaks will need to persist for a few days to bring in cold from there. However, i personally think our cold will come from the North/North-East with higher pressure over greenland and maybe lows running just south of uk but close enough to bring precipitation. i may be completely wrong and its only my opinion. IMHO no one can predict the weather with great accuracy especially more than 1 week out, but hey its all fun trying and gives us plenty to speak about. Our country does provide huge changes which is a good topic.

Well i think its safe that we wont get any cold for the rest of november but better that way and hopefully december will bring some festive weather. Charts been showing atlantic weather through and through now. I still think winter might be a good one. Alreay had 1.5inches of snow here this year and 3miles away had 5inches so a good albeit breif start.

AWD, Sorry if i misunderstood I thought Ian was talking about the West Country as thats where i see him forecasting on T.V for points West.

Hi Ian, Now wouldn`t that be crazy if that happened again as it did here in Frome, Radstock, Bath, and other surrounding areas!!

Hi Brady, Agree with that sentiment, the longer the charts keep pointing to cold then that synopsise will have a greater chance of happening. GaleForce, Agree with you about the similar pattern to 2010.

Brady, yes but if the charts showing the cold are always at the end of the run then they don`t creep in to the 1 week period as they keep shifting away. I.E first chart might of show cold 23rd November , but as the charts progress by day they keep showing cold but as the end and not following the days as they get nearer.So the elusive 1 week is a good target to really get excited about.

EML, A notherly might be better than an Easterly, The Easterlies of the 80`s were good , granted, but the 3 winters before last years bought good snow from lows running in or developing from the west or southwest and hitting in to the cold arctic air brought about by a huge Greenland High to Northeast Somerset.

Hi, are you the real Ian Ferguson off points west, or is this just a wind up? If it is then fair play to you and thanks for posting on here. How is Richard Anguin doing as havent seen him since he finished on P.W. Anyway, the charts are looking fantastic, if only they can stay that way nearer to the time. Still , certainly something to get us all buzzing.

I did post a link to a video that BBC Jay Wynn put out discussing mild/cold possibilities which links to Netweathers charts and that if it happens could be a high to our north and slightly east but the link dissapeared for some reason.t.

Looking good toward the end of November for cold spell potentially lenghty one as warm air gets pushed in to Greenland from Mid-Atlantic displacing the normal cold high cell over Greenland and pushing it in to the Atlantic just west of Ireland. These setups can change so far out but if these runs keep repeating then late Novemeber earluy december could be interesting.AIMHO of course. I`m no expert

Now this chart looks very similar to the pattern seen the year before last when we had a very cold December, it will be interesting to see what the next run brings in a couple of hours time. http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=nwdc;sess=

Snowing very heavy here in frome, huge massive wet flakes and settlling. Not being funny, but i have seen any websites, netweather, weatheroutlook, bbc, met office or metcheck forecast this. How can they all be so wrong? Good covering now and still throwing it down. Has everywhere got snow?

Any snow due in Wilts/Somerset tonight or tomorrow??

Will it snow in Frome on Sunday 9.am as now being shown on Precpitaion charts on netweather?