matty40s
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Posts posted by matty40s
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Temperature 1.5 / 2 deg c in Loughborough, lot of melting gone on in the last 6 hours here.
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31st Jan - 2pm matty40s
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It appears the Metoffice rainfall radar is broken!!
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Complete newby here: at what point or time can there be certainty in what's going to happen on Friday and the weekend. Or will it keep changing?
Well you can be sure that most places will see snow on Friday, how much and for how long is still not completely clear......but it could be a lot for a lot of people.
You will notice that there are no weather warnings out yet for Saturday or Sunday, this is because the Met Office still have no real idea of what Fridays progression will lead to, and it may be late tommorow, or even Friday when this becomes more clear.
You may also fing that the Regional thread for your area gives you more localised information, on here is mainly the whole of the UK model analysis
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a lot of this snizzle and snow yesterday and today isn't showing up on the radars.
I'm flying out of East Midlands tommorow which shouldn't be a problem, however, flying back in on Saturday.......could be fun!!
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I don't post much but I just feel compelled to do so in these situations! What a pathetic whiff of a cold spell, blink and you'll miss it! Yes we had a dusting earlier but t'was all gone by 11am after it rained the last remnants of any white stuff away
When you think back to the expectation just 48 hours ago it's a massive downgrade in my books. Nothing like the snow events of 09/10. rant over!Lukey, because the people on here are nationwide, not just in Solihull, and a bit of a damp squib for you today could mean that someone 30 miles further east has had a winterwonderland.
It is also the precursor to the temperatures dropping remarkably as the block sets in with the Easterlies. Models such as the GFS are using software that relies on a west-east atlantic flow, and struggle to cope with the vagaries of blocking and East winds.
The main model guidance seems to be moving away from a quick breakdown and snow could happen anywhere later this week, it is just an educated guess at this point, where that snow will fall, and if we have a batleground between atlantic and block, there could be snowfest anywhere.
Given the altitude of the West Midlands, it could well stick as well if it happens over you.
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interesting to see that the Met Office has just shifted todays amber warning mightily South and mightily close to London, so we might see something on the news now !!!!
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?tab=map
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East Midland Airport, near Derby.
Stuck in an office with no windows, so can't comment on the snow here. Pretty frustrating!
I can assure you there is more snow being added tothe last two nights covering. From Loughborough where the tiny flakes are slowly getting bigger.
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Snowing then raining ghen snowing again in Smethwick west mids. Its a real fine line as this system moves across.
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Dont know,but its snowing in Smethwick West Midlands now.
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it is a bit silly in there isn't it Glenn, the mods have a monumental task when an event like this comes about.
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The river level on the Soar hasn't dropped today as expected by the EA, the amounts on the fields running off has kept the level in the red. The next batch should fill the fields back up!!
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are you trying to tell us this is just a little bit of a BIG system coast??
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some good wind across the Midlands now, the pylon wires are singing well ahead of the oncoming rain band.
I guess I will be stuck on this mooring for another week yet.
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There is some concern over the Thames levels, they are at the highest level since 2009 and still rising. This coupled with todays low pressure tracking across the South Midlands has resulted in the Thames Barrier being closed before the tide rises.
The low has pulled the water level up through the channel, and the back edge will force the extra water up the Thames Estuary.
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I managed to get out yesterday, The Soar has an incredible amount of water in it, and I couldn't get to the Trent. Loughborough secondary emergency flood gates were closed by the EA as the first line of defence was breached.
kegworth flood lock, usually the towpath is 4 feet above the water
Ratcliffe Lock from EastMidlands Parkway station side
SilebyMill Lane
Barrow On Soar, Procters Holiday camp
The Air Sea Rescue chopper was called in to Sawley Marina to evacuate an old lady who had fallen ill. There is no road access possible.even for 4X4
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http://www.flickr.com/photos/environment-agency/sets/72157628747631277/with/6647770467/
3 more severe warnings gone up for the above location. The West Down above the town must be like a full sponge and can't take any more
edited to add, that is the EA photostream of the new flood defences finished 12 months ago"!!
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Afew piccies I took on a tour today
The new defences in Upton on Severn are doing a good job,
however, the Avon Valley is suffering.....again
and then North Leicester, towpath gone and cars fast being swamped in Syston
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The flood free marina at Pillings Lock near Loughborough has just emailed all residents to let them know it might flood tonight. The EA has taken the drastic measure of opening the sluice gates fully at 4pm to try to protect Loughborough, however, the level has only visibly dropped 3" with lots more water further up the watercourse. This also means that villages further down, Zouch, Hathern, Kegworth will suffer again.
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Lot more expexted in worst effected areas .About how meto award alerta and warnings to keep us
safe. Firstly likely hood of weather in area. Population effectwd and likely disruption. Thirdly severity likelyhood and liferisk to area. Rhey will look at rainfall amounts but also current water table.YAq Have a flood bag prepared. Move stuff upstairs and may be to friends or family home. Monitor forecasts and flood warnings. Listen to local news and heed vice from emergency agwncies. Take care do not drivethru floot qater. A foot can drag a car away. Walking in it dangerous too. Contaminents and bacteria. Trip hazards kerbs debri. Open drains can suck u in. Driving in floodwater can get you stuck and car deatroyed. Insuranse companies did say not paying out if you purposely drove in it. Plus laatly if yo did get thru chance u damqge catlyatic converter
. That willl cost a bit further down the line.
Hope you all avoid the mes and inconvenie but if not get aelf sorted as easier than after.
If you put a flood bag togethwr include food. Hot flask. Importand tocuments including certificatwa inaurance forma. Valuable photos that can not be replaced and warm clothing. Lets hope you do not need it but if you do then you saved aome stuff. Laatly can u make you home flood resiliant. If u can do it as early as you can
pyrotech has fat fingers or is using a keyboard set to nepalese.
A lot of rain since 4pm here, I had a mad dash in the dark from Sileby down the river soar to barrow where the towpath is less likely to disappear. The river was flowing well and I was probably touching 8-9mph in some stretches.
The EA meters are showing some alarming jumps already and we are less than half way through this first system.
This will be worse than the November floods.
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I am in the East Midlands and need to move my boat off the river on Thursday.
Is the bulk of the rain coming on Thursday and only a weather front tommorow??
There hasn't been much discussion about this system due to cold rampers getting the hump.
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the Met are now looking at a spell of more persistent and widespread unwanted rain in the middle of next week, Where does this appear in the model guidance? I can only see the progression to the low this Friday.
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i think an interesting debate here, and highlighted by this weekends model mash. The Metoffice issued a level 3 warning on Friday lunchtime that showed snow falling everywhere and intense cold with it .
Joe Bloggs public would have been reading this until 08.26 this morning when the new warning was issued.
The breakdown of the ramped and much expected model progression was showing from late Friday that there would be a change, however, the Met did not reflect this in it's general public forecasting.
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I am gobsmacked and worried that the MetOffice is dumbing down..
How much do we pay the Chief Forecaster??
Here's what he has to say today...........
Chief Forecaster’s View
A frost is expected in many places toinght away from eastern coastal districts.
THE SPELLING MISTAKE IS THE MET'S!!!!!
When you think back to the expectation just 48 hours ago it's a massive downgrade in my books. Nothing like the snow events of 09/10. rant over!
Winter Model Discussion 12Z 22/1/13 onwards.
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
really strange here tonight, I hope the mods move this elsewhere and do not delete as I am witnessing something I hae not seen before in the uk and is prevalent in the us, an ice storm.
The snow started about 8pm, but it was ice crystals mixed with snow, the road surfaces were immediately white as the ice and snow intermingled.
I am seeing a previously unfrozen canal stretch turn to a slush puppy and the TV signal give up.
Now I have torrential rain/hail mix. The models give some strange short term forecasts, with heavy flooding a possibility again, which is not good for us boat owners in the uk.