matty40s

Still nothing in the Atlantic, however, we are up to H on the other side. ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sun Aug 1 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Hilda, located about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Nine-E, located about 1400 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. 1. Showers and a few thunderstorms persist near a low pressure system located about 350 miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. The low is likely to become a tropical depression during the next day or so while continuing to move west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, away from the coast of Mexico. Development is not likely by late Monday once the system begins moving over cooler waters. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Very heavy base clouds here in Northants, with light drizzle, if the sun manages to break through could go nuclear...or just heavy drizzle.

Dangerous driving, constantly looking and talking to the camera, removing his hands from the wheel and directing his camera to the passenger window to view storms. He needs someone with him to either drive him or film him, hes good but not safe.

The jetstream is in the right place, maybe not defined enough??, hope not anyway.

One farmer has moved the entire campsite to a more sheltered field. Definite change of pattern in the sky tonight...

Sorry, I've diverted it towards Daventry.

Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1114 AM CDT Wed Jul 28 2021 Valid 281630Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT OVER MUCH OF WISCONSIN... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... Potentially widespread severe thunderstorms are expected late this afternoon through tonight along a corridor from northeastern Minnesota across Wisconsin into southwest Lower Michigan. A few severe storms are also expected this afternoon over parts of Virginia and North Carolina. ...Upper Midwest... Strong west/northwesterly mid-level winds stretch from southern Canada into the Great Lakes region today, with several embedded shortwave troughs and jet maxima. One of these features currently over ND/MB will track southeastward into MN this afternoon. Morning clouds and scattered convection has limited heating thus far across MN, but at least pockets of afternoon destabilization will result in MLCAPE values of 1500-2500 J/kg. Most 12z guidance suggests that the ongoing convection will not significantly impact the development of afternoon thunderstorms across northern MN, where effective shear values of 45-55 knots and large hodographs will promote supercell structures and the potential for very large hail and a few tornadoes. Storms are expected to race southeastward through the evening across northern/central WI, and into southern WI/southern LM/southwest Lower MI overnight. The primary severe concern is if storms congeal into a bowing complex, widespread and potentially significant wind damage will be possible. Most guidance suggests the MCS will weaken late tonight as it moves into a slightly less moist/unstable air mass over MI/IN/OH. However, if mesoscale organization is sufficiently high, the complex could persist longer than model depictions. ...VA/NC... Clear skies are present today from the Tidewater region of VA into northeast and central NC. This area is very moist/unstable with dewpoints in the mid 70s and 500mb temperatures cooling slightly through the day. Rather widespread thunderstorms are expected today in this region, with sufficient for organized multicell storm clusters, or even a transient supercell or two. Damaging winds may occur in the stronger cells. Therefore have added a SLGT risk to this region.

I would think the Northants cell will turn tornadic, great rotation and large hail. Workshop flooded!! 20210728_151138.mp4

That's 6 minutes and...47 sec

I can verify, followed that up the A5, turned right and got caught in the monsoon, drains lifting in the road through the Bringtons. Long distance shot...

Hail came put of nowhere and now a shelf cloud!!just northw of Northampton on A5.

Defined rotation to the right hand side, hoping enough for a funnel... Better shot

Its OK, the trigger has just arrived West of Northampton...

... And the aftermath

The Chinese government still says there are only 50 dead....

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sat Jul 24 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. Showers and thunderstorm activity has increased a bit this morning in association with the low pressure system located about 200 miles east of Daytona Beach, Florida. Nearby buoy observations also indicate that surface pressures have been falling close to the center of this system. However, the associated shower and thunderstorm activity remains disorganized and located primarily south and east of the center. Environmental conditions are forecasted to become a bit more favorable for development, and a tropical depression could form over the next day or so while the low meanders offshore of the Florida Peninsula. Interests in Florida should continue to monitor the progress of this system. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system later today, if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

A big bust in Andover......bust roof that is... Lightning destroys roofs as storms end heatwave in southern England and Wales WWW.BBC.CO.UK Southern Britain is hit by torrential rain but there's a sunny start to school holidays further north.

He's new and enthusiastic.

The rains and floods are now moving downstream. Blowing up dams to protect one city is only going to create problems elsewhere....

Humidity very high after evening storms near Northampton, clouds forming earlier than yesterday.