snowydog
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Posts posted by snowydog
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20 minutes ago, ForeverPomeroysnow said:
Is it me or does there appear to be a bit of moaning in the Model Thread ?
Lol lots of bickering and complaining. Am I totally wrong if I think the latest models this evening seem better for us?
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What a beautiful crisp day out there today! Even loving this weather. No rain = result
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I just read from one of the posts in the model thread that one of the posters think Northern Ireland has heavy snow potential.
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2 minutes ago, Roger J Smith said:
Did not include Scotland or Ireland in my forecast, haven't had time to look at Scotland in any great detail looks to be mostly eastern half snow potential there, heavy snow potential in Northern Ireland especially eastern half. ROI my thoughts are posted elsewhere, widespread heavy snow potential especially central Leinster.
Thanks for the quick run through
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3 minutes ago, Sawel said:
Nothing for Scotland and Ireland then? I enjoy reading your posts and I'm sure many fellow folk north of the border do and the same across the Irish sea so perhaps you can include the UK and Ireland in your thoughts?
When UK wide is mentioned in here, I often wonder if Northern Ireland is included in those statements ... purely because I want to understand the excellent analysis of charts provided here and the impacts across all areas ..... I am learning a lot though keep up the great work people ?
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Just now, Sperrin said:
@snowydog yeah, I’ve lost count of the number of snow days we’ve had at elevation here in the West. This was by far the biggest. Over a foot lying in the garden.
You don’t hear about it in the news cause it’s west of the Bann, we’re not too important over here haha!!
Looks like these scenes will be coming your way next week! Will have to reschedule my work diary to get more days out east!
Nice one! Here’s hoping would love it (snow) to hang around for a bit (less hockey for me ?) but I know it’s start of March next week so will see. Certainly an interesting week or two ahead
Haha true - I’m sure it’ll Be pasted all over the news here if Belfast’s involved lol. Get yourself over to the East for plenty of work ?
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5 minutes ago, Sperrin said:
According to the 18z the low pushes the whole way through Ireland giving us a great pasting. However, look at this for Tuesday evening, even the west gets in on the action!
You guys in the east are going to get buried!
I have a feeling you'll be getting the 30cm plus I got on 19/01/2018! You'll need your farmer neighbours out to clear the roads!
Wow - that pic from this year up your way! Didn’t realise how much you guys got. Wasn’t much on news or weather about it. Nice!
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Sorry Neiller just seen your post - Tues evening
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lol I know somethings up when I see the Ireland thread showing as a hot topic ?
So what’s actually happening? Low pushing things North? What’s the timeframe?
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5 minutes ago, Aliaalu said:
Please share a picture, I'd love to see Vic Park like that. I've only ever seen a thin layer of ice there. I walk the dogs and run there regularly.
Here’s a pic of the water frozen behind me. (Scundered lol)
Also, for anyone interested, here’s a video someone took from 2010 showing the lovely scenes around NI in 2010. Just beautiful - lovely freezing but sunny days. I know we aren’t exactly in the same set up but every winter I’ve always hoped we could relive something like that. Being 30 - that was the major winter for my time.
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26 minutes ago, Weegaz said:
Now your talking bma.....I have never been snowed in, always made it into work, even through 2010 living in Lisburn and working in mallusk.....hopefully over next couple of weeks i’ll have the joy of doing so.
How’d Mallusk fair in 2010? I didn’t live here then - lived up in castlereagh hills - can’t remember much of 2010 lol - I do remember Victoria park frozen over and going with my dad for a walk .. venturing on to the sides of the frozen lake - really stupid of me but didn’t go far. Funny - I was looking at pics my dad took that day - lovely bright crisp freezing day
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1 hour ago, Weegaz said:
By Friday 6z would have most of us needing a bigger shovel
Just wondering for my own learning - see the way it says precipitation type (mm) - so is that millimetres? As in we are showing 2-3mm? Like is that per hour or what? I’m always confused looking at them. I know pink = good, darker pink = better lol but basically someone explain pls lol ?
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15 minutes ago, ukpaul said:
On the east coast of Northern Ireland and with your elevation I'd be very pleased at the output. Depending on wind direction that little stretch of water will do wonders in pepping up your snowfall.
Thanks. You’re a star. Trying my best to keep up with all the info ?
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3 minutes ago, ukpaul said:
A little request regarding comments being made, as many are on their phones at this time and rely on commentary. There have just been more comments about 'for the south' (and that could have been for elsewhere) and, yes, you are looking at your backyard, but these are countrywide events as shown by the charts.
For the benefit of others - these are 'great for the midlands', 'great for Wales', great for Ireland', 'great for northern England' and, maybe a little less, 'great for Scotland'.
Just to be clear.
Thanks for this. On the East Coast of NI and have no idea how these charts affect us as I use the commentary for understanding.
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4 minutes ago, Aliaalu said:
Snowydog my good friend lives not a million miles from you. One bad spell her car was trapped in her cul de sac for over a week. The cul de sac is down in a dip and other people had abandoned their cars as they too couldn't get out.
I'd personally plan ahead and buy a few wee extras in like tinned goods that won't go to waste, some UHT milk and extra bread for the freezer and wine!!! At least that's one thing that you wouldn't have to worry about if we did get a good dumping.... you can just sit back and lamppost watch instead!
Oh yes mustn’t forget the Wine. Can leave it in cooler out the back - be colder than my fridge ??
2 minutes ago, Weegaz said:You’ll prob need to wait another couple of days snowy, but this looking favourable at present for a good pasting.
i would commence the precautionary measures just in case ?
Ah yes, I seen the post above suggesting conditions are favourable I have the images of mountains of snow shovelled up at side of country roads higher than my car back in 2010 when the tractors cleared some roads (this was when I lived in castlereagh hills). I remember getting so far up a country road then coming to a halt from where the tractors stopped - snow in front of my car was higher than the bonnet ?
I’m scared to commence precautionary measures in case I jinx it ???
Think I’ll start by trying to get my wood burner sorted - has needed done for ages now so at least that’s something that needs done regardless - plus would be nice to have a lovely fire going and to come back to after walking the dog in a winter wonderland ???
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So y’all know I live up Mallusk at back of cavehill - 180-200ms. Should I seriously be considering stocking up on some things? I have trouble getting out of my street (steepish enough hill) after small snow showers and during some heavy frost. If there’s any chance of significant snow I reckon my area could be extremely difficult to get in and out of. It would be a case of leaving my car on the main road about ¾mile away and hiking up and down. Am I being extreme lol? Private development with no gritters and 1 grit box that’s prob empty from the winter. Steep hill as only entrance to development.
We have a snow shovel bought at end of last snow period last month (lol still sitting in my partners car unused). Prob top up gas if we can’t get our wood burner fixed before Tues (would prefer the burner as I’ve loads of wood but it’s dangerous atm?)
Basically I don’t know how much of a threat the east coast of NI faces. I understand the cold is locked in and I’m jealously reading the regional forums in England but not sure of relevancy for here.
Prob just getting caught up in the drama and wishful thinking ? But would still be nice to prepare just incase.
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What’s he on about? Doesn’t make sense to me? I thought it will be very cold and potential for snow on east fuelled by Irish Sea?
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The model thread is hilariously irritating ???
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2 hours ago, CreweCold said:
It really depends how far N the instability gets. if we manage to find ourselves under the blue areas on the pressure charts then, given the projected uppers, there is no reason why showers wouldn't be able to penetrate this far in land. Bear in mind that by now the sun is strong enough to initiate some over land convection. Therefore, any showers during the daytime should be able to sustain over land where they might not be able to in December and January.
Even if we miss the core instability, there seems to be a wide spread of low 850s outside of this core zone which would bring night temps down to about -10C IMO under clear skies.
Hey. Sorry not normally in this thread, but I've possible travel next week to the NW (plus I used to spend my summers between Blackpool, Liverpool and the Lake District ?, therefore I also love this part of the country)
Anyway - I'm interested in what you said about land convection and the sun etc. I'm not very knowledgable but would appreciate learning what you mean by this / why that is the case?
Thanks ?
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Just now, somofagun said:
Just don't tell the family yet whatever you do
?? Scared to say anything in case I jinx it ? Maybe by Fri/Sat I'll mention possibility of a few flurries come Monday
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Catching up on this evenings events. What's the prospects then? I see orange - red warnings being floated about come sat if models continue to verify. Am I a tad excited? Yes. Am I a tad worried that it's too good to be true? Hell yeh. Am I ready for it? No.
I live approx 180-200m asl, with big hills around me to get to my house so now I'm thinking practically that if this happens, I may actually be snowed in and will need supplies. Closest shop within walking distance may not actually be able to receive deliveries as it's up a big hill. I may need to stock up on gas and groceries. Am I getting a bit carried away? Maybe lol
Anyone got snow chains for the car? Lol. How do they work when you've come out of a snow covered road on to a clear but gritted road?
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Hi All,
Just checking to say hello! Been following but haven't contributed since the last snow shower - mainly because I'm a complete novice in reading charts etc. lol. Thanks to all those for their expertise in contributing to the thread. The model thread is interesting but mental - I try to learn a bit through it but it can be difficult :-/
Anyway - hopefully, next week, when I check the forums - Ireland will be right up there at the top as a hot topic
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13 minutes ago, ronan said:
Going by forecasts showers are to turn frequent and heavy for a time.
Is that just NW?
Its snowing heavy here again on top of earlier heavy snow shower and roads frozen over. SHould be an interesting evening if they keep coming
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THE last heavy one we had has covered everything but it’s frozen solid now and the cars are have proper trouble getting in and out of our area - out walked the dog there and it was dodgy crossing the road - I’m an experienced ice skater so used the principles of that to basically skate across the roads lol
Ireland Regional Weather Discussion 16/01/2018 Onwards
in Regional
Posted
Following on from my throwback pics yesterday - here’s a pic I found of the snow in a March 2013 - this was up in the Castlereagh hills. Hoping for some similar accumulations up here in Mallusk next week. Will follow up later with short 30sec video from YouTube link (too large to upload here)