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Posts posted by SuttonStorm
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The 12z NAE is now out and shows precip toptals by 12z sunday to be as high as 17mm nw kent. seems as though there is plenty more of the onionse stuff to come. just be patient. also, the showers really pepping up over EA at the moment and headed sw.
Now that is one of the most IMBY statements I have seen Come on matey.....spill the beans and give a general report for the rest of us
SS
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Are we talking little tiny flakes here or lots of 20p ones , silly question i know
Neil - not really a sill question, but I believe the size of the flake is not actually anything to do with how heavy the ppn rate is, but more with the temperature and humidity levels.
If the air is at or slightly above freezing, and humidity is high, the flakes tend to clump together whilst circulating in the cloud or falling from it, whereas in really low temps, they will fall as very fine flakes (as you quite regularly see in the Alps for example)
Cheers
SS
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da12
You might get the southern part of it...but I think it will be a good hour before it gets to you...........will it be worth the wait?????
SS
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could any one tell me if the shower coming down from ipswich will hit the north west kent coast in gravesend? or should i give up and go to bed?
Not sure - whats the first part of yr post code?
SS
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I firmly believe that the 'streamer' you want to be watching is the one out to sea off the EAST coast of EA (that I mentioned about 30 mins ago)
It is clearly starting to tilt NW'wards and I feel this indicates it is coming over the top of our small low. As the low slips SSW this will come more into play, firstly over Suffolk, and Essex, then through the estuary, and as history shows, it doesn;t take too much through the estuary to start picking up energy................
I have been wrong before tho :-)
SS
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I would imagine the flash warning has been prompted by the large area of ppn shown approaching the east coast of EA on the radar. This apprears to be on the east edge of the LP and will probably start tilting somewhat more NW then W as the LP slips south.
Looks fairly potent - keep watching the radar........
SS
And now I'm deeply depressed......Collingwood is out.......................:sob:
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Kold or Paul
Given that there is a convergence of two small systems (the one over Kent is pushing towards the NW, and the one over you guys atm is pushing SW) is there a possiblility of the two patterns interacting somewhat and producing a line on ppn through the estuary and into London (aka Feb 09)???
Just a thought as the ppn may be starting to come ever-so-slightly more towards the west from SW
SS
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It pains me to say this, but I have watched the radar loop for the last hour, and I think the main band MAY have reached it furthest point east. If you look closely it isn't really making much more northward progres, and the general movement is just to the west of north. This would echo what was expected as it starts to loop westward.
Either that or the sutton snow shield is working overtime!!!!
SS
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everybody including met office is saying west london is the place to be hammered tonight.. but look at the radar developmant coming across eastbourne /brighton way.. thats heading straight for central london maybe west kent.. seriously i think the met may have the position wrong tonight?? i think the whole of london is in the fireing line now for early tonight!!
I would love you to be right, but I think not. The radar is showing the main intense ppn coming up through portsmouth and then slightly east of north uptowards Reading. This is the area that will get buckets of snow tonight as you can see the ppn just lining up. It may come slightly more east than that, but the showers that have just come through Brighton are NOT the main event. That is just further west.
SS
(Sutton - Surrey)
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Can I confirm a couple of temp reading here in the SE- maybe my thermom is broke- I have -2.1C here already-- !!
If thats accurate I will get -5/-6 here tonight-
Is mike stanton online or anyone local to the SE-
S
Steve - a bit away from you, but I am showing -1.3 atm......so you are prob there or there abouts.
SS
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I know the MetO/BBC aren't going for any snow to the south of London for tonight, but I have to say they didn't forecast the ppn as widely as it has fallen today from the central trough, and the showers now moving across Wales def have a more southerly track than the earlier ones.
Just got to hope they don't fade as the temps drop fast overnight.
SS
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An over-excited Kaddy ends her forecast just nicely
I like her ........can't we have her on the country-wide forcast.....and you can have Jay Wynn instead! :lol:
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In a funny way I am actually more excited about the weather in the Alps this week than I am about the astonishing prospects closer to home, 'because I'm off to Courchevel on 19th with the family for a week and its looking mighty good for some fresh powder.
That said at the moment I have one or two concerns about the drive to Gatwick!
Thanks for returning with the skiing thread this season - keep it up.
SS
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Overall this evening so far some very good runs, the gfs, ukmo, the gem upto 144hrs and the cannon fodder gme are all very good, the ukmo though is a real bite your finger nails time, i think i'll be watching the next few outputs from behind the sofa. I'm not overstating the obvious here but its very close to being a great set up for you guys and gals in the uk and pretty good for down here.
If Lourdes was still open this evening i'd be off to light a good luck candle! and have a good prayer!
LOL - Nick....I am in the best of both worlds as I'm off to the Alps on the 19th so I get the big build up here whilst keeping a close eye on the Alpine models too
I have to say I am finding it VERY difficult to get anything done at work with the models so engrossing!
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Does anyone know what direction these are headed, i think i can currently see three cells, one towards maidstone, one over south london and the other over sutton i think.
LOL I can tell you there is nothing over Sutton but blue sky
SS
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<_< I always determine sleet by car windscreen and conservatory roof - SPLODGE - very descriptive!!
So, sleet here in Sutton!
SS
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LOL - light snow just started in Sutton 0.2c DP -1.4c
Snow is quite dry and falling slowly, but I fear it will get wetter quite soon, as the 850s are rising fast as the ppn approaches from the south.
Still, cant be too grumpy as the snow we have already had was great, with the prospects improving for some more!
SS
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Doesn't seem to be streaming Paul?
SS
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I think that is just about it for Sutton/Kiev. Radar seems to show it will continue with the light fine snow, but nothing more, and this should stop in about 1 hour.
Temp 0.4c (although I suspect there may be a small amount of snow on the sensor!!!) and DP -1c.
Cant complain about it stopping really - 26cm level snow on my garden table - more than I have seen in this country for many years!
SS
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hi newbie here :wacko:
been trying to keep up with you guys over the last few days thread jumping lol
we have lots of snow here in braintree but im greedy and was wondering if we will get more??
weather report i just saw said its going north ???
General direction is NW. Look at a Euro radar (www.meteox.com) or the NW xtra one (much superior) and it shows the extent and direction.
SS
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Good snowfall again in Sutton - gets better and better!
Currently 0.9c DP -0.7c
NW Xtra Euro radar shows another strong pulse of ppn coming out towards Kent and the SE!
SS
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Enough for a Snowman - Will post picture when Upload of said Article later "Am Calling him Saviour09"
Paul S
BACK Garden Now Disappeared, no longer grass Visible
Really pleased for youPaul, your frustration was tangible last night!
SS
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Just thought I would have a quick peek at the models as I had forgotten about them for 24 hours - WOW, all three in agreement for the whole week! - Worth having a butchers.... :o
SS
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One word to describe the snow here - WOW! The most snow I've seen here in memory with depths approaching a foot! Heavy snow for much of the night, but not snowing at the moment. No chance of getting into work today.
LOL "Snowless Surrey" really has come up with the goods today!
SS
East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
Hi Alan - welcome to the forum, and hope you can get used to sorting the wheat from the chaff on threads such as this.
It would be useful for you to put your location on your profile so that it shows up on yr posts.
As for Sunday, it is looking highly likely that we could see up to 15 cm of snow from saturday night, and sweet spots could get more.....watch the radar and listen to the more respected members on here.
SS