Weather Boy

Summer8906 Good to read a bit of balance. Since when did the GFS determine the synoptic pattern? It's a chocolate teapot beyond c. T192!

(Small) point of order. You omitted to call it "the mighty" NAVGEM. Do better.

Is the 13 June hoodoo going to be broken today? (Only summer date where the UK has never seen 30°C recorded). Looking close, but on balance, no?

I know that it's the model thread, but I don't really see the merit in discussing the likely surface conditions relating to a chart that has close to 0% chance of verifying, given the range of the chart. No offence intended to all those doing so!

Agreed, if it didn't the MetO would dismiss it. They haven't (as of yesterday, anyway). However, in the video that you refer to, they gave the GFS prospects as 15%. This seems about right as of yesterday. Maybe less now that it has moved somewhat towards the other models (IMO anyway).