Village

Lets hope so, although I have to say that last February in Essex we broke many record minimum temps with the extreme cold spell.

My hunch is as I stated before; that this could be the first warm, zonal winter we have had for some years because it is well overdue ....its been five years at least since the last proper zonal winter without a good measure of snow across the country. Last year was not a zonal winter, it was very mixed. We had two bouts of cold and severe winter weather and some record minimums recorded due to the Meridional nature and blocking at times. The Met Office issued a level three severe weather warning at the end of January this year for the severe cold which came right at the beginning of February and continued for a few weeks. Thats the opposite to a Zonal winter where strong westerly winds race across the UK bringing lots of rain, wind, warmth and cloud with little or no snow in lowland UK. Just to express how much colder on average our winters have been over recent years; It is typical of this country to experience three zonal winters out of every four. The last five have been of a meridional nature with blocking or a mixture of zonal and meridional. As a result our average winter temperatures here in the UK over the three winter months have been significantly lower than they were twenty five years ago when UK temperatures were on a strong warming trend. Our SST's (sea temps) have also been recording lower as a result and Cod stocks in the south have incresed again in recent years in the south. If we dont experience a typical zonal winter again this year it will simply again confirm that temperatures here in the UK have not only stopped rising over the last decade but again show no signs of returning to warming.

Try this one during the daytime.: If you suspect icy rain and the chance of turning to sleet or wet snow, just look directly up at the clouds ...try to pick a brighter area of cloud. If its icy rain or melted wet snow you will see billions of large snowflakes blowing along in the wind above, they will look dark grey silhoueted against the brighter sky. After a few years of observing this you will begin to see more and work out the altitude of the snow above. As a rule...if its sleet reaching the ground then you will see snow only 500 feet above you. If its icy rain then the snow will be more than one thousand feet above. Beyond one thousand feet above you the snow begins to merge to look like blowing fog or sheets of cloud. If the snow is at or within the cloud base then you will see more definite cloud outlines. The snow tends to blurr the individual clouds when it is present beneath the cloud bases.

Its not the expected weather, they cant predict the weather. Its a response to past weather.

Ball lightning is quiet though! well, at least the one I saw was and it lasts longer than a split second. mine was about four or five seconds.

I am happy with the winters we get. Its great to see it gloomy and dark at 3:40pm, its exciting to have aggressive weather systems racing through with gales, its great to have bright sunshine and frost, its great to have snow. Its great to have thick fog at times too.....havent you ever made yourself dissapear in a field in dense fog as a kid? We get the lot here. Yellowknife would bore anyone to tears....relentless white, freezing day after day after day with little wind and cloud for most of the time. Its a desert in winter .... a desert of snow crystals instead of sand.

Its probably long overdue for us to have an above average warmer winter. The last four winters in Essex have seen plenty of frost, ice and snow. I cant remeber the last time we had a warm zonal winter like we used to in the late 1980's and early 1990's.

So in short, birds cant predict the weather, they just respond to past weather.

In a strange but round about sort of way the hoaxer has probably advanced the cause of science by encouraging new techniques in forensics!

Hi PM, i would love to divulge what I have peiced together, however, I will only do this in person. There is no conspiracy, but you have to understand that its a huge subject and it involves almost all persuations of science to take on board. If you PM me I can give you pointers as to what to study that will lead you to what I have found out. The answers are there to find out. It just needs a huge amount of time and dedication. I personally do feel that for anyone to understand they need to have done the reading and study and going places themselves to grasp the magnitude and the reasoning behind why things are the way they are and why there is no possible way in which it can be spelled out by ayone in a simple statement, brief or release etc. I have been in the very slow process of puting together a book for the last 15 years. Again its a huge undertaking, but I know I have found the answers to many things and the reasons why there is no conspiracy and it cant simply be told. The only thing I will say to you on here in public is that if one wants the truth then one has to pay more attention to what is not done, not said, not given. There is a reason for everything.

My take on this whole subject for what its worth: Firstly, If I may be so bold as to say so, I count myself as an exceptionally keen observer. I know this because nobody I know has ever spent the amount of time that I have observing the sky in daytime, dusk and night under all conditions. Very little if anything I have seen ever is not easilly explainable. Almost every one of my strangest sightings that have had me dumbfounded I have usually worked out and explained inside ten minutes of careful consideration. I have spent decades looking at most of all the evidence from other sources out there and I have concluded the following: 99.9% of all cases are either easilly explained phenomena, hoaxes or just plain garbage IMHO. However, there is a tiny proportion of qualified sightings, experiences, encounters or whatever you want to call them which have been documented, corroborated and confirmed. Within this tiny percentage of cases one can be in no doubt that they did take place and that it doesnt matter how much time one spends on them there is no explanation other than there is something else out there going on which we cant explain. In my lifetime I have only whitnessed two such events, one in the daytime and one in the evening which I just cant explain away. i have my own thoughts, understandings now about what I think is taking place and I am now very comfortable with what I have worked out for myself. I am pretty sure that if any reasonably inteligent person questioning person spends enough time and effort on the subject that over the years they too will find the evidence and peice it all together for themselves. But it takes an awful long time and most people simply dont have the time, conviction or energies for it.

The Sky at night can never be the same again. they should end the program now and start a new program under a different title I think.

Dont believe in the models. They dont work well at times of maximum and minimum insolation.....thats now and around the summer solstice too! Even the Met Office fall for the models....they should know better.

I have had my fair share of snow already to last me to January. Had about 3 -4 centimeters last week which wrecked all the transport on the roads because nothing here in Essex was gritted. It lay in the garden for three days. Now this week we have had a hard hoar frost for the past three days, day and night which has built up to look like more snow again. On that basis all the shaded roofs in my town have been white with ice for six out of the past nine days. Be good to get back to double digits for a while and be able to get out and about without the risk of an accident.

http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/74778-first-taste-of-winter-for-europe/

Hi Bottesford, There are too very easy ways to stop the condensation that you complain of. Firstly, you need an extractor fan in your kitchen and in your bathroom / shower room. The extractor should be vented to the outside whenever you ar cooking, showering or running a bath. These can be timed to switch off aftre say fifteen minutes so that they cant be left running. Secondly, dont have clothes stored against northerly external walls. If you do then you can line the inside of the wall with foil or thin sheets of polystyrene. However, the best thing you can do is to purchase a dehumidifier which start at as little as £25. If you run the dehumidifier in the spot where you are having problems it will heat and dry out the room. The fresh water that it extracts as a by-product can be used in your steam iron so you dont have lime scale issues and you can use it as a battery electrode top up for the car. I have air conditioning throughout my home and so I dont get the problem and its much cheaper to run than boilers and radiators. I have air sourced heat pumps which are inverters and are super efficient taking heat from outside and pumping it indoors and in the summer they revers to cool the house and pump the heat out. Next time somebody tries to sell you a new boiler, tell them where to go and get yourself a heat pump. They are so efficient that they qualify for 5% VAT only. I cant even hear mine running its that quiet. That will also totally eliminate your damp problems in an instant. Vill

The first taste of winter for all of Europe is set to take hold at the end of this week. The culprit is expected to be a blocking High pressure cell which will become established over or near Iceland and this will open the door to an Arctic airstream which will plunge right down into the Mediteranean next weekend. Temperatures will fall to around -5C under clear night skies in Europe and some parts of the UK. Scandinavia will see temperatures as low as -10C at night in some places with -15C a possibility in favoured valeys in Norway. Daytime temperatures will remain at or below freezing in much of Scandinavia and some central parts of Europe. The UK should see daytime temperatures of between 4 and 7 centigrade inland. However, again, in some favoured mountain valleys, temps may stay only hovering just above freezing where suitable conditions prevail. Next week low pressure will spill down into the North Sea from north of Iceland around the top of the High pressure and this will produce the first low level snows of the winter in northern Europe and some mountain or hill snow here in the UK. Coastal regions exposed to the northerly wind in Europe and the UK will remain above freezing with more cloud and showers at times.

It will be a large spider

I think we here can forget about winter for another month and even then it will be short lived I think. December is the first month where snow and ice can exist in ernest. The SST's dictate that for us here in the UK.

Nope, still no heating on yet at home. Dont really need the additional heat until daily temps are sustained below 12C outside for a run of a few days or more.....thats usually November before that starts to happen down here. Yesterday was in shorts and no shirt cutting the hedge.....so nowhere near cold yet.

Finally, ten years later my theories have been proved to have weight. I posted up this theory on UK weather world in 2003. I wrote to the University of East Anglia climate department with it because I felt that they were 100% wrong in predicting dryer summers and summer droughts more commonplace here in the Uk due to global warming. The EEDA at that time were using public money to encourage farmers and industry in the east of England to invest money in preparation for water shortages due to the UEA's predictions of summer droughts becoming much more likely. In 2003 I gave the UEA a full appraisal of my thoughts as to why the UK was much more likely to become cooler and wetter in the summer if the north Atlantic warmed slightly. This new report backs me up and so does the last six years of weather data. The University of East Anglia by contrast never bothered to reply to me or to try and substantiate their predictions after my email. The EEDA dropped their advice to businesses and farmers in the region two years later after my discussions with them. The UDA now have more explainiung to do I think....but dont expect it to be forthcoming. I think their reputation is in tatters now on a number of issues, this being one of them.

I cant see any videos of any link to any videos. Can you post a link to text so that I can read about the theory? I personally believe that our weather and climate here on the Earth is governed by the Solar cycles. But not just the orbital variation that we know does affect long term climate of 27,000 years because the long wave infra red is variable. I think that the whole electromagnetic spectrum offers up variability and this in tern affects our climate in other ways. For instance; the changes to the solar wind affects the atmospheric charge strength and variability. This in tern I believe offers greatly enhanced or reduced airbourne particulate levels....ie condensation nuclie. This I believe can effect long term precipitation distribution at the earth's surface and therefore the climate.

Hiya, when you say "solid brick walls" are you saying that you dont have a cavity between your outside and inside walls?

I still dont have my heating on. I actually ran the airconditioning for half an hour last night to clear the humidity. The best thing I have ever done was to have cavity wall insulation installed this year. It really has made a difference......highly recomend it.

It is more likely to have a southerly misplaced jet if the sea ice is less IMO. The reason is that if more Arctic sea is exposed to the atmosphere then there will be a tendency for lower atmospheric pressure in the Arctic. That gives rise to high pressure cells at our lattitude creating the blocking paterns IMO. As for cold fresh water!! forget it....the ice melt water will be at sea temperature within hours so wont influence the weather. SST's should be warmer in southern Greenland if there has been a predominantly southerly component due to a persistent mid Atlantic high .